Scientia Agricultura Sinica ›› 2020, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (21): 4470-4484.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2020.21.015

• SOIL & FERTILIZER·WATER-SAVING IRRIGATION·AGROECOLOGY & ENVIRONMENT • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Analysis of Suitable Irrigation Schemes with High-Production and High-Efficiency for Spring Maize to Adapt to Climate Change in the West of Northeast China

HUANG QiuWan(),LIU ZhiJuan(),YANG XiaoGuang,BAI Fan,LIU Tao,ZHANG ZhenTao,SUN Shuang,ZHAO Jin   

  1. College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193
  • Received:2019-05-16 Accepted:2019-06-25 Online:2020-11-01 Published:2020-11-11
  • Contact: ZhiJuan LIU E-mail:hqw893784946@163.com;zhijuanliu@cau.edu.cn

Abstract:

【Objective】 The three provinces of Northeast China are not only an important grain production commodity in the country, but also the most sensitive areas to climate change. Thus, it is critical to clarify the suitable irrigation schemes for spring maize in arid areas of the west of Northeast China, which may be benefit on spring maize yield and its stability with higher water use efficiency under climate change. 【Method】 Based on the accumulated temperature and water deficit rate (k) during the growing season in 1981-2017, the potential planting areas of spring maize in Northeast China were divided into 10 climate zones (CZs). Five of them (k>0) in the west portion were selected as research areas. With meteorological data, experimental data, and soil data, maize yield potential was assessed by the well-calibrated and validated agricultural production system model (APSIM-Maize) in each CZ under different irrigation scenarios. According to the comprehensive analysis of both yield and water use efficiency, the suitable irrigation measures and the yield increment in different decades in each CZ were identified. 【Result】 (1) In the past 37 years, the water limitation on spring maize yield in CZ1 and CZ3 were less than that in three other CZs, with a range of 0-27% and 0-9%, respectively. Irrigation contributed little to yield increase, but it could improve the yield stability. The coefficient of yield variation reduced from 0.24 to 0.11 in CZ1, respectively, and reduced from 0.14 to 0.12 in CZ3, respectively. In CZ5, CZ7 and CZ9, more water limitation was found on maize yield, with a range of 27%-69%, 15%-35%, and 31%-51%, respectively. Moreover, irrigation also reduced the coefficients of yield variation by 0.39, 0.33 and 0.52 in the three CZs. The results indicated that irrigation could lead to a high and stable maize yield in the arid areas of Northeast China. (2) The suitable irrigation amount was 40 mm, which could produce high spring maize yield with high water use efficiency in CZ1 and CZ3. However, irrigation time had a little influence on the yield and water use efficiency of spring maize. Meanwhile, the suitable irrigation amounts for high yield and high water use efficiency were 60-80 mm in CZ5, CZ7 and CZ9, and the suitable irrigation times were from silking to 20 days after silking, jointing to 10 days after jointing and jointing to 10 days after jointing. (3) Compared with the rain-fed conditions, the yield increments varied in different CZs under suitable irrigation measures, which ranged from 33% to 86%, 24% to 46% and 50% to 77% in CZ5, CZ7 and CZ9, respectively. Lower yield increments were found in CZ1 and CZ3, with ranges of 5% to 43% and 9% to 19%, respectively. 【Conclusion】 The suitable irrigation amount for spring maize decreased with the latitude increased, and the suitable irrigation time delayed with the increased latitude. In addition, the suitable irrigation time in each CZ advanced because of warming climate. Compared with the rain-fed conditions, spring maize yield could be increased by 0-86% under suitable irrigation measures in each CZ. In particular, the yield increments in CZ5, CZ7 and CZ9 were greater than those in CZ1 and CZ3.

Key words: spring maize, irrigation measures, APSIM-Maize, water use efficiency, drought, climate zone

Fig. 1

Climate zones and locations selected in the spring maize planting areas of Northeast China"

Table 1

Characteristics of climate resources during the spring maize growing season in 5 climate zones in Northeast China (1981- 2017)"

气候区
Climate zone
站点
Station
≥10℃有效积温
Growth degree day ≥10℃
降水量
Precipitation
日照时数
Sunshine hour
37年平均值
37 year average (℃·d)
变化趋势
Trend
(℃·d·(10a)-1)
37年平均值
37 year average (mm)
变化趋势
Trend
(mm·(10a)-1)
37年平均值
37 year average (h)
变化趋势
Trend
(h·(10a)-1)
第一气候区 CZ1 克山 Keshan 1602 66** 419 -3** 1415 -35**
第三气候区 CZ3 哈尔滨 Haerbin 1743 101** 399 -3** 946 -25**
第五气候区 CZ5 白城 Baicheng 1772 80** 412 -3** 856 40**
第七气候区 CZ7 阜新 Fuxin 1999 23** 362 -8** 1028 3**
第九气候区 CZ9 锦州 Jinzhou 2024 68** 430 -7** 952 19**

Fig. 2

Irrigation time setting"

Fig. 3

Validation results between simulated and observed days of spring maize in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China A: From sowing to flowering, B: From sowing to maturity"

Fig. 4

Validation results between simulated and observed yield of spring maize in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China"

Table 2

Validation of APSIM-Maize model in five climate zones in the study region"

气候区
Climate zone
项目
Item
验证评价指标 Validation
R2 RMSE NRMSE (%) D MAE
第一气候区
CZ1
播种至开花天数Days from sowing to flowering (d) 0.83 2.3 3 0.94 2.17
播种至成熟天数Days from sowing to maturity (d) 0.89 4.2 3 0.96 2.83
产量Yield (t·hm-2) 0.89 0.6 10 0.88 0.55
第三气候区
CZ3
播种至开花天数Days from sowing to flowering (d) 0.76 1.5 2 0.92 1.17
播种至成熟天数Days from sowing to maturity (d) 0.80 2.8 2 0.93 2.17
产量Yield (t·hm-2) 0.60 0.6 10 0.81 0.65
第五气候区
CZ5
播种至开花天数Days from sowing to flowering (d) 0.92 1.5 2 0.96 1.17
播种至成熟天数Days from sowing to maturity (d) 0.86 1.8 1 0.95 1.33
产量Yield (t·hm-2) 0.84 1.4 14 0.84 1.28
第七气候区
CZ7
播种至开花天数Days from sowing to flowering (d) 0.72 1.8 2 0.89 1.50
播种至成熟天数Days from sowing to maturity (d) 0.84 3.0 2 0.90 2.17
产量Yield (t·hm-2) 0.90 0.9 15 0.81 0.86
第九气候区
CZ9
播种至开花天数Days from sowing to flowering (d) 0.91 2.0 2 0.93 1.67
播种至成熟天数Days from sowing to maturity (d) 0.82 4.9 3 0.77 4.33
产量Yield (t·hm-2) 0.95 1.6 16 0.81 1.55

Fig. 5

Precipitation and water demand of spring maize during the period in 1981—2017 in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China A: From sowing to jointing, B: From jointing to tasseling, C: From tasseling to mature, D: Entire period"

Fig. 6

Potential yield, rain-fed yield and water constraints to yield of spring maize in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China"

Fig. 7

Effect of irrigation amount on yield and water use efficiency of spring maize in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China"

Fig. 8

Effect of irrigation period on yield and water use efficiency of spring maize in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China"

Fig. 9

The yield increments in each climate zone in the west of Northeast China under suitable irrigation schemes"

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