Scientia Agricultura Sinica ›› 2018, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (1): 49-59.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2018.01.005
• TILLAGE & CULTIVATION·PHYSIOLOGY & BIOCHEMISTRY·AGRICULTURE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • Previous Articles Next Articles
LIU Wei, LI YiJun, Lü HouQuan
[1] 任国玉, 郭军, 徐铭志, 初子莹, 张莉, 邹旭凯, 李庆祥, 刘小宁. 近50 年中国地面气候变化基本特征. 气象学报, 2005, 63(6): 942-956.
Ren G Y, Guo J, Xu M Z, Chu Z Y, Zhang L, Zou X K, Li Q X, Liu X N. Climate changes of China’s mainland over the past half century. Acta Meteologica Sinica, 2005, 63(6): 942-956. (in Chinese)
[2] 田红, 李春, 张士洋. 近50a我国江淮流域气候变化. 中国海洋大学学报, 2005, 35(4): 539-544.
Tian H, Li C, Zhang S Y. The climates change in the Yangtze Huaihe river valley over the past 50 years. Periodical of Ocean University of China, 2005, 35(4): 539-544. (in Chinese)
[3] 陈特固, 曾侠, 钱光明, 赵美霞, 余克服. 华南沿海近100年气温上升速率估算. 广东气象, 2006(3): 1-5.
Chen T G, Zeng X, Qian G M, Zhao M X, Xu K F. Estimation on the warming rate at South China coastal regions over last 100 years. Guangdong Meteorology, 2006(3): 1-5. (in Chinese)
[4] 许吟隆, 黄晓莹, 张勇, 林万涛, 林而达. 中国21世纪气候变化情景的统计分析. 气候变化研究进展, 2005, 1(2): 80-84.
Xu Y L, Huang X Y, Zhang Y, Lin W T, Lin E D. Statistical analyses of climate change scenarios over China in the 21st century. Advances in Climate Change Research, 2005, 1(2): 80-84. (in Chinese)
[5] 顾俊强, 杨军. 中国华南地区气候和环境变化特征及其对策. 资源科学, 2005, 27(1): 128-135.
Gu J Q, Yang J. Features of climatic and environmental changes in the South China. Resources Science, 2005, 27(1): 128-135. (in Chinese)
[6] 吴志伟, 江志红, 何金海. 近50 年华南前汛期降水、江淮梅雨和华北雨季旱涝特征对比分析. 大气科学, 2006, 30(5): 391-401.
Wu Z W, Jiang Z H, He J H. The comparison analysis of flood and drought features among the first flood period in South China, meiyu period in the Yangtze River and the Huaihe river valleys and rainy season in North China in the last 50 years. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2006, 30(5): 391-401. (in Chinese)
[7] 陈海山, 范苏丹, 张新华. 中国近50a极端降水事件变化特征的季节性差异. 大气科学学报, 2009, 32(6): 744-751.
Chen H S, Fan S D, Zhang X H. Seasonal differences of variation characteristics of extreme precipitation events over China in the last 50 years. Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences, 2009, 32(6): 744-751. (in Chinese)
[8] 赵东, 罗勇, 高歌, 祝昌汉, 申彦波. 1961至2007年中国日照的演变及其关键气候特征. 资源科学, 2010, 32(4): 701-711.
Zhao D, Luo Y, GAO G, Zhu C H, Shen Y B. Long-term changes and essential climatic characteristics of sunshine duration over China during 1961-2007. Resources Science, 2010, 32(4): 701-711. (in Chinese)
[9] 伍红雨, 杜尧东, 潘蔚娟. 近48年华南日照时数的变化特征. 中山大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 50(6): 120-124.
Wu H Y, Du Y D, Pan W J. The change characteristics of sunshine duration during the past 48 years in South China. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni, 2011, 50(6): 120-124. (in Chinese)
[10] 段居琦, 周广胜. 我国双季稻种植分布的年代际动态. 科学通报, 2013, 58(13): 1213-1220.
Duan J Q, Zhou G S. Dynamics of decadal changes in the distribution of double-cropping rice cultivation in China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2013, 58(13): 1213-1220. (in Chinese)
[11] 钟甫宁, 刘顺飞. 中国水稻生产布局变动分析. 中国农村经济, 2007(9): 39-44.
Zhong F N, Liu S F. The analysis of production layout of rice in China. Chinese Rural Economy, 2007(9): 39-44. (in Chinese)
[12] Gao J, Liu Y. Climate warming and land use change in Heilongjiang province, Northeast China. Applied Geography, 2011, 31(2): 476-482.
[13] 杨晓光, 刘志娟, 陈阜. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响Ⅰ.气候变暖对中国种植制度北界和粮食产量可能影响的分析. 中国农业科学, 2010, 43(2): 329-336.
Yang X G, Liu Z J, Chen F. The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China Ⅰ.The possible effects of climate warming on northern limits of cropping systems and crop yield in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2010, 43(2): 329-336. (in Chinese)
[14] 辛良杰, 李秀彬. 近年来我国南方双季稻区复种的变化及其政策启示. 自然资源学报, 2009, 24(1): 58-65.
XIN L J, LI X B. Changes of multiple cropping in double cropping rice region of southern China and its policy implications. Journal of Natural Resources, 2009, 24(1): 58-65. (in Chinese)
[15] 郭瑞鸽, 刘寿东, 杜筱玲. 江西气温稳定通过10℃初日变化及其对双季早稻物候期的影响. 中国农业气象, 2011, 32(1): 12-16.
Guo R G, Liu S D, Du X L. Daily variation of beginning date of 10℃ and its impacts on phonological period of double-season early rice in Jiangxi. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2011, 32(1): 12-16. (in Chinese)
[16] 杨爱萍, 王保生, 刘文英, 郭瑞鸽. 气候变暖对江西双季早稻适播期的影响. 气象与减灾研究, 2013, 36(3): 50-56.
Yang A P, Wang B S, Liu W Y, Guo R G. Impact of climate warming on optimum sowing period of double-cropping early rice in Jiangxi. Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research, 2013, 36(3): 50-56. (in Chinese)
[17] 段居琦, 周广胜. 中国双季稻种植区的气候适宜性研究. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(2): 218-227.
Duan J Q, Zhou G S. Climatic suitability of double rice planting regions in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(2): 218-227. (in Chinese)
[18] 黄俊, 翟志宏, 陈慧华. 气候变化背景下广东早稻温度适宜度的变化特征. 广东气象, 2012, 34(3): 60-63.
Huang J, Zhai Z H, Chen H H. Variation characteristics of temperature suitability of early rice in Guangdong province under the climate change. Guangdong Meteorology, 2012, 34(3): 60-63. (in Chinese)
[19] 张卫建, 陈金, 徐志宇, 陈长青, 邓艾兴, 钱春荣, 董文军. 东北稻作系统对气候变暖的实际响应与适应. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(7): 1265-1273.
Zhang W J, Chen J, Xu Z Y, Chen C Q, Deng A X, Qian C R, Dong W J. Actual responses and adaptations of rice cropping system to global warming in northeast China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(7): 1265-1273. (in Chinese)
[20] 王晓煜, 杨晓光, 吕硕, 陈阜. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响Ⅻ. 气候变暖对黑龙江寒地水稻安全种植区域和冷害风险的影响. 中国农业科学, 2016, 49(10): 1859-1871.
Wang X Y, Yang X G, Lv S, Chen F. The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China Ⅻ. The possible effects of climate warming on geographical shift in safe planting area of rice in cold areas and the risk analysis of chilling damage. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2016, 49(10): 1859-1871. (in Chinese)
[21] 张厚瑄. 中国种植制度对全球气候变化响应的有关问题Ⅰ.气候变化对我国种植制度的影响. 中国农业气象, 2002, 21(1): 9-13.
Zhang H X. The problems concerning the response of China’s cropping systems to global climatic changesⅠ. The effect of climatic changes on cropping systems in China. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2002, 21(1): 9-13. (in Chinese)
[22] 张厚瑄. 中国种植制度对全球气候变化响应的有关问题Ⅱ.我国种植制度对气候变化响应的主要问题. 中国农业气象, 2002, 21(2): 10-13.
Zhang H X. Response of cropping system in China to global climatic changes Ⅱ.Effect of cropping system in China to global climatic changes. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2002, 21(2): 10-13. (in Chinese)
[23] 赵海燕, 姚凤梅, 张勇, 徐宾, 袁静, 胡亚南, 许吟隆. 长江中下游水稻开花灌浆期气象要素与结实率和粒重的相关性分析. 中国农业科学, 2006, 39(9): 1765-1771.
Zhao H Y, Yao F M, Zhang Y, Xu B, Yuan J, Hu Y N, Xu Y L. Correlation analysis of rice seed setting rate and weight of 1000-grain and agro-meteorology over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2006, 39(9): 1765-1771. (in Chinese)
[24] Lobell D B, Schlenker W, Costa-Roberts J. Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science, 2011, 333(6042): 616-620.
[25] Peng S B, Huang J L, Sheehy J E, Laza R C, Visperas R M, Zhong X H, Centeno G S, Khush G S, Cassman K G. Rice yield decline with higher night temperature from global warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 2004, 101(27): 9971-9975.
[26] 李琪, 任景全, 王连喜. 未来气候变化情景下江苏水稻高温热害模拟研究Ⅰ: 评估孕穗-抽穗期高温热害对水稻产量的影响. 中国农业气象, 2014, 35(1): 91-96.
Li Q, Ren J Q, Wang L X. Simulation of the heat injury on rice production in Jiangsu province under the climate change scenariosⅠ: Impact assessment of the heat injury on rice yield from booting to heading stage. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2014, 35(1): 91-96. (in Chinese)
[27] 王连喜, 任景全, 李琪. 未来气候变化情景下江苏水稻高温热害模拟研究Ⅱ:孕穗-抽穗期水稻对高温热害的适应性分析. 中国农业气象, 2014, 35(2): 206-213.
Wang L X, Ren J Q, Li Q. Simulation of the heat injury on rice production in Jiangsu province under the climate change scenariosⅡ: Adaptability analysis of the rice to heat injury from booting to heading stage. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2014, 35(2): 206-213. (in Chinese)
[28] 艾治勇, 郭夏宇, 刘文祥, 马国辉, 青先国. 长江中游地区双季稻安全生产日期的变化. 作物学报, 2014, 40(7): 1320-1329.
Ai Z Y, Guo X Y, Liu W X, Ma G H, Qing X G. Changes of safe production dates of double-season rice in the middle reaches of the Yangtze river. Acta Agronomica Sinica, 2014, 40(7): 1320-1329. (in Chinese)
[29] 陈新光, 王华, 邹永春, 林青山, 蔡立. 气候变化背景下广东早稻播期的适应性调整. 生态学报, 2010, 30(17): 4748-4755.
Chen X G, Wang H, Zou Y C, Lin Q S, Cai L. Adaptation and determination of sowing date under climate change in early matured rice in Guangdong province. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2010, 30(17): 4748-4755. (in Chinese)
[30] 邢志鹏, 曹伟伟, 钱海军, 胡雅杰, 张洪程, 戴其根, 霍中洋, 许 轲, 魏海燕, 郭保卫, 罗学超, 李德剑, 刘国林. 播期对机插水稻产量构成特征的影响. 农业工程学报, 2015, 31(13): 22-31.
Xing Z P, Cao W W, Qian H J, Hu Y J, Zhang H C, Dai Q G, Huo Z Y, Xu K, Wei H Y, Guo B W, Luo X C, Li D J, Liu G L. Effect of sowing date on yield component characteristics of mechanically transplanted rice. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2015, 31(13): 22-31. (in Chinese)
[31] 马树庆. 吉林农业气候研究. 北京: 气象出版社, 1994.
Ma S Q. Agroclimatic research in Jilin province. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 1994. (in Chinese)
[32] 赖纯佳, 千怀遂, 段海来, 松秋洪. 淮河流域双季稻气候适宜度及其变化趋势. 生态学杂志, 2009, 28(11): 2339-2346.
Lai C J, Qian H S, Duan H L, Song Q H. Climate suitability and its change trend of double-cropping rice in Huaihe river basin. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2009, 28(11): 2339-2346. (in Chinese)
[33] 金志凤, 杨太明, 李仁忠, 雷媛, 高素华. 浙江省高温热害发生规律及其对早稻产量的影响. 中国农业气象, 2009, 30(4): 628-631.
Jin Z F, Yang T M, Li R Z, Lei Y, Gao S H. High temperature induced heat damage and its impacts on early rice yields in Zhejiang province. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2009, 30(4): 628-631. (in Chinese)
[34] 张倩, 赵艳霞, 王春乙. 长江中下游地区高温热害对水稻的影响. 灾害学, 2011, 26(4): 57-62.
Zhang Q, Zhao Y X, Wang C Y. Study on the impact of high temperature damage to rice in the lower and middle reaches of the Yangtze river. Journal of Catastrophology, 2011, 26(4): 57-62. (in Chinese)
[35] 黄嘉宏, 李江南, 李自安, 王安宇, 冯瑞权. 近45 a广西降水和气温的气候特征. 热带地理, 2006, 26(1): 23-28.
Huang J H, Li J N, Li Z A, Wang A Y, Feng R Q. Climatic characteristics of precipitation and temperature in the past 45 years in Guangxi. Tropical Geography, 2006, 26(1): 23-28. (in Chinese) |
[1] | ZHAO ZhengXin,WANG XiaoYun,TIAN YaJie,WANG Rui,PENG Qing,CAI HuanJie. Effects of Straw Returning and Nitrogen Fertilizer Types on Summer Maize Yield and Soil Ammonia Volatilization Under Future Climate Change [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(1): 104-117. |
[2] | GUO ShiBo,ZHANG FangLiang,ZHANG ZhenTao,ZHOU LiTao,ZHAO Jin,YANG XiaoGuang. The Possible Effects of Global Warming on Cropping Systems in China XIV. Distribution of High-Stable-Yield Zones and Agro-Meteorological Disasters of Soybean in Northeast China [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(9): 1763-1780. |
[3] | REN Yifang,YANG ZhangPing,LING Fenghua,XIAO LiangWen. Risk Zoning of Heat Stress Risk Zoning of Dairy Cows in Jiangsu Province and Its Characteristics Affected by Climate Change [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(22): 4513-4525. |
[4] | ZHU TieZhong,KE Jian,YAO Bo,CHEN TingTing,HE HaiBing,YOU CuiCui,ZHU DeQuan,WU LiQuan. Super-High Yield Characteristics of Mechanically Transplanting Double- Cropping Early Rice in the Northern Margin Area of Yangtze River [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2021, 54(7): 1553-1564. |
[5] | JianZhao TANG,Jing WANG,DengPan XIAO,XueBiao PAN. Research Progress and Development Prospect of Potato Growth Model [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2021, 54(5): 921-932. |
[6] | ZHANG WeiJian,CYAN ShengJi,CZHANG Jun,CJIANG Yu,CDENG Aixing. Win-Win Strategy for National Food Security and Agricultural Double-Carbon Goals [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2021, 54(18): 3892-3902. |
[7] | FANG Rui,YU ZhenHua,LI YanSheng,XIE ZhiHuang,LIU JunJie,WANG GuangHua,LIU XiaoBing,CHEN Yuan,LIU JuDong,ZHANG ShaoQing,WU JunJiang,Stephen J HERBERT,JIN Jian. Effects of Elevated CO2 Concentration and Warming on Soil Carbon Pools and Microbial Community Composition in Farming Soil [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2021, 54(17): 3666-3679. |
[8] | KaiYuan GONG,Liang HE,DingRong WU,ChangHe LÜ,Jun LI,WenBin ZHOU,Jun DU,Qiang YU. Spatial-Temporal Variations of Photo-Temperature Potential Productivity and Yield Gap of Highland Barley and Its Response to Climate Change in the Cold Regions of the Tibetan Plateau [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2020, 53(4): 720-733. |
[9] | WANG MingLei,SHI WenJiao. Spatial-Temporal Changes of Newly Cultivated Land in Northern China and Its Zoning Based on Driving Factors [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2020, 53(12): 2435-2449. |
[10] | CHEN HuiZhe,XU YiCheng,ZHANG YuPing,XIANG Jing,ZHANG YiKai,ZHU DeFeng. Effect of Pot-Mat Seedling on the Quality of Machined Transplanting and Yield Formation of Super Early Rice [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2019, 52(23): 4240-4250. |
[11] | KONG QingBo, ZHANG MingQing, LI Juan, XU WenJiang, ZHANG ZanDe, YAO JianZu. Heteroskedasticity Diagnosis and Feasible Generalized Least Squares Regression Modeling of Ternary Fertilizer Efficiency Model [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2018, 51(4): 728-737. |
[12] | SUN JianFei,ZHENG JuFeng,CHENG Kun,YE Yi,ZHUANG Yuan,PAN GenXing. Quantifying Carbon Sink by Biochar Compound Fertilizer Project for Domestic Voluntary Carbon Trading in Agriculture [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2018, 51(23): 4470-4484. |
[13] | ZHANG ZhenTao, YANG XiaoGuang, GAO JiQing, WANG XiaoYu, BAI Fan, SUN Shuang, LIU ZhiJuan, MING Bo, XIE RuiZhi, WANG KeRu, LI ShaoKun. Analysis of Suitable Sowing Date for Summer Maize in North China Plain Under Climate Change [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2018, 51(17): 3258-3274. |
[14] | JING LiQuan, HU ShaoWu, MU HaiRong, WANG YunXia, YANG LianXin. Change of Atmospheric Environment Leads to Deterioration of Rice Quality [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2018, 51(13): 2462-2475. |
[15] | ZHANG Ting, SHI ZhiGang, WANG GenPing, GAO Xiang, XIA XueYan, YANG WeiHong, ZHANG XiRui, TIAN XiaoJian, CHENG RuHong, DIAO XianMin. The Alterations of Foxtail Millet Breeding in North China Summer-Sowing Region from 2001 to 2015 [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2017, 50(23): 4475-4485. |
|