近30年我国谷子生产时空变化与区域优势研究

doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2019.11.004

Abstract

Abstract:

【Objective】 Foxtail millet (Setariaitalica (L.) P. Beauv.) is rich in nutrition, has a short growth period, and is resistant to drought and barren. Planting foxtail millet plays an important role in optimizing the agricultural planting structure and promoting farmers’ income in arid and semi-arid areas. It was of great significance for the sustainable development of foxtail millet production to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics and regional advantages of foxtail millet production in China. 【Method】 Based on the provincial and county production statistics of foxtail millet from 1985 to 2015, the spatial and temporal variation rules of foxtail millet production in China were analyzed by using the yield contribution rate, center of gravity migration, comparative advantage index and other indicators.【Result】 In the last thirty years, the sown area of foxtail millet in China decreased from 3.318×10 ⁶hm ² to 7.88×10 ⁵ hm ² and then recovered to 8.39×10 ⁵hm ². The yield increased from 1 801.2 kg·hm ^-2 to 2 342.9 kg·hm ^-2. The area contribution rate of total production change was 80.3%, the yield contribution rate was 18.4%, and the yield contribution rate gradually increased. The center of foxtail millet production in China varied little in recent 30 years. The advantageous production areas were stable in the midwest part of northeast China, the north-central part of the North China Plain and the southeastern part of the middle-low plateau area in the north, which were concentrated in the counties bordering Inner Mongolia and the three provinces in northeast China, most of Hebei, northwest Henan, central Shandong, most of Shanxi, northern Shaanxi, eastern Gansu and central Ningxia. In the last thirty years, the yield increased in the North China Plain, the northeast plain and some counties in the northwest area, but the sown area decreased significantly, which made these regions show efficiency advantage and scale disadvantage. After 2000, the sown area of Jilin Tongyu, Inner Mongolia Aohan banner and some counties in Shanxi province in the middle and low plateau area in the north were recovered. The counties with scale advantage and efficiency disadvantage were concentrated in Shaanxi and parts of north-central Shanxi in Loess Plateau area.【Conclusion】 In the past 30 years, the sown area of millet decreased first and then increased, the concentration of foxtail millet production in China had been increasing, the advantageous production areas tended to be stable, and the yield had been gradually increased. The summer foxtail millet replaced by summer corn in North China Plain was difficult to recover, and the foxtail millet production in the midwest regions of northeast China, the northern agro-pastoral interleaving areas and the areas along Taihang mountain had the potential to recover. The progress of foxtail millet breeding, cultivation technology and production processing machinery were very important for improving the quality and efficiency of foxtail millet production and realizing industrialization development.

Key words: foxtail millet, county, ArcGIS, spatio-temporal changes, contribution rate, migration of center of gravity, comparative advantage

LIU JieAn, WANG XiaoHui, WU Yao, JIA Hao, YIN XiaoGang, SHI LeiGang, CHU QingQuan, CHEN Fu. Spatiotemporal Variation and Regional Advantages of Foxtail Millet Production in Recent 30 Years in China[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2019, 52(11): 1883-1894.

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References 35

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时段 Period of time	播种面积变化量 Change in sown area (hm²)	总产量变化量 Change in total production (t)	单产变化量 Change in yield (kg·hm^-2)	面积贡献率 Area contribution rate (%)	单产贡献率 Yield contribution rate (%)	互作贡献率 Mutual contribution rate (%)
1985-1990	-1040000.0	-1402.0	206.7	67.5	24.7	7.7
1990-1995	-756066.7	-1556.0	-24.9	95.3	3.6	1.2
1995-2000	-272400.0	-893.9	-282.9	51.5	41.1	7.4
2000-2005	-400800.0	-340.1	401.9	50.7	37.4	12.0
2005-2010	-40500.0	-212.0	-156.9	37.9	59.3	2.8
2010-2015	30673.3	393.5	397.8	15.2	81.7	3.1

省（区） Province (Region)	县（市） County (City)
河北省 Hebei	武安市 Wuan、赤城县 Chicheng、威县 Weixian、宣化县 Xuanhua、涉县 Shexian、南宫市 Nangong、涿鹿县 Zhuolu 、青龙满族自治县 Qinglong、沙河市 Shahe、蔚县 Weixian、曲阳县 Quyang、下花园区 Xiahuayuan、广宗县 Guangzong、枣强县 Zaoqiang、宽城满族自治县 Kuancheng、新河县 Xinhe、唐县 Tangxian、临西县 Linxi
山西省 Shanxi	武乡县 Wuxiang、左权县 Zuoquan、榆社县 Yushe、昔阳县 Xiyang、沁县 Qinxian、和顺县 Heshun、郊区 Jiaoqu、阳城县 Yangcheng、平顺县 Pingshun、陵川县 Lingchuan、襄垣县 Xiangyuan、灵丘县 Lingqiu、平定县 Pingding、阳曲县 Yangqu、沁源县 Qinyuan、米脂县 Mizhi、寿阳县 Shouyang、盂县 Mengxian、壶关县 Huguan、娄烦县 Loufan、岚县 Lanxian、沁水县 Qinshui、长治县 Changzhi、古交市 Gujiao
内蒙古自治区 Inner Mongolia	松山区 Songshan、敖汉旗 Aohanqi、喀喇沁旗 Harqin Banner、宁城县 Ningcheng、翁牛特旗 Ongniud Bannar
辽宁省 Liaoning	建平县 Jianping
陕西省 Shaanxi	延长县 Yanchang、安塞县 Ansai

Spatiotemporal Variation and Regional Advantages of Foxtail Millet Production in Recent 30 Years in China

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