Scientia Agricultura Sinica ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (21): 4399-4415.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2013.21.002

• SPECIAL FOCUS: STUDIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON CROP AND ANIMAL PRODUCTION FROM CHINA • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Tendency of Use Efficiency of Rice Growth Season in Southern China Under the Background of Global Warming

 YE  Qing-12, YANG  Xiao-Guang-2, JIE  Wen-Juan-23, LI  Yong-24, LIU  Zi-Qi-2, DONG  Chao-Yang-2, SUN  Shuang-2   

  1. 1.College of Landscape Architecture and Art, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang 330045
    2.College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193
    3.Agricultural College, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866
    4.Guizhou Key Laboratory of Mountainous Climate and Resources, Guiyang 550002
  • Received:2013-05-22 Online:2013-11-01 Published:2013-07-11

PDF

596

Cited

7

Abstract: 【Objective】Based on the analysis of the spatial and temporal patterns of the use efficiency of rice growth season in the rice production region of Southern China during 1951 to 2010, this study could provide a insight to improve rationally arrange rice production activities under global warming. 【Method】 In this study, classification method of cropping system referred to previous work was used to divide the rice production region of Southern China into 16 zones. And assuming the breed collocation is unchanged in different cropping systems, the ratio of the potential length of growing season to theoretical length and a ecometeorological simulation method of the rice growth period were used to evaluate the distribution characteristics and the evolution trend of the use efficiency of the rice growth period in sub regions under the background of climate change in the study area.【Result】In this study, ArcGIS was used to calculate the geographic distribution function of the potential growing season length from 1951 to 2010, and got the 10 km×10 km spatial distribution data of the rice growing season length in 80% guaranteed rate in southern rice area. Results show that the potential growth season length of rice increased first and then reduced under the background of climate change in Southern China, and increased greater in single rice planting regions compared with that in double rice planting regions. In addition, there was a decreasing trend in the theoretical growth season length in different cropping systems, and the shorten days in the single rice planting regions was more than the double rice planting regions. The extension of the potential growth season length and shortening of the theoretical growth season length result in the increasing trend of the use efficiency of the rice growth period.【Conclusion】The use efficiency of the rice growth period in Southern China has an increasing trend under the background of global warming. Arranging accommodative cropping system and increasing the multiple crop indexes are the main measures to increase the use efficiency of the rice growth period.

Key words: climate change , rice , growing season length , use efficiency , tendency

[1]IPCC. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis // Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt K B, Tignor M, Miller H L. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, New York: Cambridge University Press: 2007.

[2]程勇翔, 王秀珍, 郭建平, 赵艳霞, 黄敬峰. 中国水稻生产的时空动态分析. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(17): 3473-3485.

Cheng Y X, Wang X Z, Guo J P, Zhao Y X, Huang J F. The temporal-spatial dynamic analysis of China rice production. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(17): 3473-3485. (in Chinese)

[3]章秀福, 王丹英, 方福平, 曾衍坤, 廖西元. 中国粮食安全和水稻生产. 农业现代化研究, 2005, 26(2): 85-88.

Zhang X F, Wang D Y, Fang F P, Zeng Y K, Liao X Y. Food safety and rice production in China. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2005, 26(2): 85-88. (in Chinese)

[4]胡忠孝. 中国水稻生产形势分析. 杂交水稻, 2009, 24(6): 1-7.

Hu Z X. Analysis of the situation of rice production in China. Hybrid Rice, 2009, 24(6): 1-7. (in Chinese)

[5]陈印军, 尹昌斌. 对南方双季稻主产区“玉米替代”的反思. 中国农村经济, 1999(2): 20-25.

Chen Y J, Yin C B. The reflection on the replacement of rice with maize in the south China double rice area. Chinese Rural Economy, 1999(2): 20-25. (in Chinese)

[6]Zhou L M, Tucker C J, Kaufmann R K, Slayback D, Shabanov N V, Myneni R B. Variations in northern vegetation in activity inferred from satellite data of vegetation index during 1981 to 1999. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2001, 106(D17): 20069-20083.

[7]Frich P, Alexander L V, Della-Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Klein Tank A M G, Peterson T. Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Climate Research, 2002, 19(3): 193-212.

[8]Parmesan C, Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate impacts across natural systems. Nature, 2003, 421: 37-42.

[9]Root T L, Price J T, Hall K R, Schneider S H, Rosenzweig C, Pounds J A. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature, 2003, 421: 57-60.

[10]Linderholm H W. Growing season changes in the last century.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2006,137: 1-14.

[11]Linderholm H W, Walther A, Chen D. Twentieth-century trends in the thermal growing season in the Greater Baltic Area. Climatic Change, 2008, 87: 405-419.

[12]Ren J, Liu H, Yin Y, He S. Drivers of greening trend across vertically distributed biomes in temperate arid Asia. Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, 34: L07707, DOI: 10.1029 / 2007GL029453.

[13]Yu F, Price K P, Ellis J, Shi P. Response of seasonal vegetation development to climatic variations in eastern central Asia. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2003, 87: 42-54.

[14]高素华, 潘亚茹. 温室效应对气候和农业的影响. 环境科学, 1991, 12(2): 73-76, 23.

Gao S H, Pan Y L. Greenhouse effects on climate and agriculture. Journal of Environmental Sciences, 1991, 12(2): 73-76, 23.(in Chinese)

[15]王宏, 李晓兵, 韩瑞波, 盖永芹. 利用NOAA NDVI和MSAVI遥感监 测中国北方不同纬度带植被生长季变化. 应用生态学报, 2006, 17(12): 2236-2240.

Wang H, Li X B, Han R B, Gai Y Q, Variability of vegetation growth season in different latitudinal zones of North China: A monitoring by NOAA NDVI and MSAVI. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2006, 17(12): 2236-2240. (in Chinese)

[16]Shen M G, Tang Y H, Chen J, Yang W. Specification of thermal growing season in temperate China from 1960 to 2009. Climatic Change, 2012, 114(3/4): 783-798.

[17]徐铭志, 任国玉. 近40年中国气候生长期的变化. 应用气象学报, 2004, 15(3): 306-312.

Xu M Z, Ren G Y. Chang in growing season over China: 1961-2000. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 2004, 15(3): 306-312. (in Chinese)

[18]Jiang F Q, Hu R J, Zhang Y W, Li X M, Li T. Variations and trends of onset, cessation and length of climatic growing season over Xinjiang, NW China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2011, 106(3/4): 449-458.

[19]Song Y L, Linderholm H W, Chen D L, Walther A. Trends of the thermal growing season in China, 1951-2007. International Journal of Climatology, 2010, 30: 33-43.

[20]宋艳玲, 刘波, 钟海玲. 气候变暖对我国南方水稻可种植区的影响. 气候变化研究进展, 2011, 7(4): 259-264.

Song Y L, Liu B, Zhong H L. Impact of global warming on the rice cultivable area in Southern China in 1961-2009. Advances in Climate Change Research, 2011, 7(4): 259-264. (in Chinese)

[21]孙雯. 气候变暖对中国水稻生产的影响[D]. 南京: 南京农业大学, 2011.

Sun W. Global warming impacts on production and photosynthetic thermal productivity of rice in China[D]. Nanjing: Nanjing Agriculture University, 2011. (in Chinese)

[22]李勇, 杨晓光, 代姝玮, 王文峰. 长江中下游地区农业气候资源时空变化特征. 应用生态学报, 2010, 21(11): 2912-2921.

LI Y, Yang X G, Dai S W, Wang W F. Spatio temporal change characteristics of agricultural climate resources in middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2010, 21(11): 2912-2921. (in Chinese)

[23]Ohta S J, Kimura A. Impacts of climate changes on the temperature  of paddy waters and suitable land for rice cultivation in Japan. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2007,147(3/4): 186-198.

[24]葛道阔, 金之庆, 石春林, 高亮之. 气候变化对中国南方水稻生产的阶段性影响及适应性对策. 江苏农业学报, 2002, 18(1):1-8

Ge D K, Jin Z Q, Shi C L, Gao L Z. Gradual impacts of climate change on rice production and adaptation strategies in southern China. Jiangsu Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2002, 18(1): 1-8. (in Chinese)

[25]崔读昌. 气候变暖对水稻生育期影响的情景分析. 应用气象学报, 1995, 6(3): 361-365.

Cui D C. The scenario analysis of possible effect of warming climate on rice growing period. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 1995, 6(3): 361-365. (in Chinese)

[26]高亮之, 李林, 郭鹏. 中国水稻生长季与稻作制度的气候生态研究. 中国农业气象, 1983(1): 50-55.

Gao L Z, Li L, Guo P. Study on the rice growth season and the meteor-ecology model of rice cropping system. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 1983(1): 50-55. (in Chinese)

[27]刘巽浩, 韩湘玲. 中国的多熟种植. 北京: 北京农业大学出版社, 1987.

Liu X H, Han X L. China's Multiple Cropping System. Beijing: Beijing Agricultural University Press, 1987. (in Chinese)

[28]魏凤英. 现代气候统计诊断与预测技术. 北京: 气象出版社, 2007.

Wei F Y. Modern Climate Statistical Diagnosis and Prediction Technology. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2007. (in Chinese)

[29]杨晓光, 刘志娟, 陈阜. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响Ⅰ气候变暖对中国种植制度北界和粮食产量可能影响的分析. 中国农业科学, 2010, 43(2): 329-336.

Yang X G, Liu Z J, Chen F. The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems  in China(Ⅰ)The possible effects of climatic warming on Northern limits of cropping systems and crop yields in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2010, 43(2): 329-336. (in Chinese)

[30]李义珍, 彭嘉桂, 蔡金禄, 陈维高. 福建亚热带山区水稻生态和丰产技术体系. 福建省农科院学报, 1992, 7(1): 1-8.

Li Y Z, Peng J G, Cai J L, Chen W G. The rice ecology of Fujian subtropical mountain and hilly areas and it’s high yield technical system. Journal of Fujian Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 1992, 7(1): 1-8. (in Chinese)

[31]葛道阔, 金之庆. 气候及其变率变化对长江中下游稻区水稻生产的影响. 中国水稻科学, 2009, 23(1) : 57-64.

Ge D K, Jin Z Q. Impacts of climate change and its variability on rice production in the middle and lower valley of the Yangtze River, China. Chinese Journal of Rice Science, 2009, 23(1): 57-64. (in Chinese)
[1] XIAO DeShun, XU ChunMei, WANG DanYing, ZHANG XiuFu, CHEN Song, CHU Guang, LIU YuanHui. Effects of Rhizosphere Oxygen Environment on Phosphorus Uptake of Rice Seedlings and Its Physiological Mechanisms in Hydroponic Condition [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(2): 236-248.
[2] ZHANG XiaoLi, TAO Wei, GAO GuoQing, CHEN Lei, GUO Hui, ZHANG Hua, TANG MaoYan, LIANG TianFeng. Effects of Direct Seeding Cultivation Method on Growth Stage, Lodging Resistance and Yield Benefit of Double-Cropping Early Rice [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(2): 249-263.
[3] LIU ZhenShan, TU HongXia, ZHOU JingTing, MA Yan, CHAI JiuFeng, WANG ZhiYi, YANG PengFei, YANG XiaoQin, Kumail Abbas, WANG Hao, WANG Yan, WANG XiaoRong. Genetic Analysis of Fruits Characters in Reciprocal Cross Progenies of Chinese Cherry [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(2): 345-356.
[4] ZHAO ZhengXin,WANG XiaoYun,TIAN YaJie,WANG Rui,PENG Qing,CAI HuanJie. Effects of Straw Returning and Nitrogen Fertilizer Types on Summer Maize Yield and Soil Ammonia Volatilization Under Future Climate Change [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(1): 104-117.
[5] ZHANG Wei,YAN LingLing,FU ZhiQiang,XU Ying,GUO HuiJuan,ZHOU MengYao,LONG Pan. Effects of Sowing Date on Yield of Double Cropping Rice and Utilization Efficiency of Light and Heat Energy in Hunan Province [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(1): 31-45.
[6] FENG XiangQian,YIN Min,WANG MengJia,MA HengYu,CHU Guang,LIU YuanHui,XU ChunMei,ZHANG XiuFu,ZHANG YunBo,WANG DanYing,CHEN Song. Effects of Meteorological Factors on Quality of Late Japonica Rice During Late Season Grain Filling Stage Under ‘Early Indica and Late Japonica’ Cultivation Pattern in Southern China [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(1): 46-63.
[7] GUO ShiBo,ZHANG FangLiang,ZHANG ZhenTao,ZHOU LiTao,ZHAO Jin,YANG XiaoGuang. The Possible Effects of Global Warming on Cropping Systems in China XIV. Distribution of High-Stable-Yield Zones and Agro-Meteorological Disasters of Soybean in Northeast China [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(9): 1763-1780.
[8] SANG ShiFei,CAO MengYu,WANG YaNan,WANG JunYi,SUN XiaoHan,ZHANG WenLing,JI ShengDong. Research Progress of Nitrogen Efficiency Related Genes in Rice [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(8): 1479-1491.
[9] GUI RunFei,WANG ZaiMan,PAN ShengGang,ZHANG MingHua,TANG XiangRu,MO ZhaoWen. Effects of Nitrogen-Reducing Side Deep Application of Liquid Fertilizer at Tillering Stage on Yield and Nitrogen Utilization of Fragrant Rice [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(8): 1529-1545.
[10] LIAO Ping,MENG Yi,WENG WenAn,HUANG Shan,ZENG YongJun,ZHANG HongCheng. Effects of Hybrid Rice on Grain Yield and Nitrogen Use Efficiency: A Meta-Analysis [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(8): 1546-1556.
[11] HAN XiaoTong,YANG BaoJun,LI SuXuan,LIAO FuBing,LIU ShuHua,TANG Jian,YAO Qing. Intelligent Forecasting Method of Rice Sheath Blight Based on Images [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(8): 1557-1567.
[12] GAO JiaRui,FANG ShengZhi,ZHANG YuLing,AN Jing,YU Na,ZOU HongTao. Characteristics of Organic Nitrogen Mineralization in Paddy Soil with Different Reclamation Years in Black Soil of Northeast China [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(8): 1579-1588.
[13] LI Qian,QIN YuBo,YIN CaiXia,KONG LiLi,WANG Meng,HOU YunPeng,SUN Bo,ZHAO YinKai,XU Chen,LIU ZhiQuan. Effect of Drip Fertigation Mode on Maize Yield, Nutrient Uptake and Economic Benefit [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(8): 1604-1616.
[14] ZHU DaWei,ZHANG LinPing,CHEN MingXue,FANG ChangYun,YU YongHong,ZHENG XiaoLong,SHAO YaFang. Characteristics of High-Quality Rice Varieties and Taste Sensory Evaluation Values in China [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(7): 1271-1283.
[15] ZHAO Ling, ZHANG Yong, WEI XiaoDong, LIANG WenHua, ZHAO ChunFang, ZHOU LiHui, YAO Shu, WANG CaiLin, ZHANG YaDong. Mapping of QTLs for Chlorophyll Content in Flag Leaves of Rice on High-Density Bin Map [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2022, 55(5): 825-836.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!
京ICP备09089781号-30
Copyright 2018 © Editorial office of Scientia Agricultura Sinica
Tel: 86-010-82106279    E-mail: zgnykx@mail.caas.net.cn
Supported by Beijing Magtech Co.Ltd