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Journal of Integrative Agriculture  2014, Vol. 13 Issue (7): 1555-1564    DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(14)60816-9
Special Issue: Systematic Synthesis of Impacts of Climate Change on China’s Crop Production System Advanced Online Publication | Current Issue | Archive | Adv Search |
Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Yield in China From 1961 to 2010 Based on Provincial Data
1、Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, P.R.China
2、Sichuan Provincial Climate Center, Chengdu 610072, P.R.China
1、Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, P.R.China
2、Sichuan Provincial Climate Center, Chengdu 610072, P.R.China
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摘要  The impacts of climate change on rice yield in China from 1961 to 2010 were studied in this paper, based on the provincial data, in order to develop scientific countermeasures. The results indicated that increase of average temperature improved single cropping rice production on national level by up to 11% relative to the average over the study period, however, it resulted in an overall loss of double cropping rice by up to 1.9%. The decrease of diurnal temperature range (DTR) in the major producing regions caused the decrease by up to 3.0% for single cropping rice production and 2.0% for double cropping rice production. Moreover, the contribution of precipitation change reached about 6.2% for single cropping rice production, but no significant effect for double cropping rice production in recent 50 years.

Abstract  The impacts of climate change on rice yield in China from 1961 to 2010 were studied in this paper, based on the provincial data, in order to develop scientific countermeasures. The results indicated that increase of average temperature improved single cropping rice production on national level by up to 11% relative to the average over the study period, however, it resulted in an overall loss of double cropping rice by up to 1.9%. The decrease of diurnal temperature range (DTR) in the major producing regions caused the decrease by up to 3.0% for single cropping rice production and 2.0% for double cropping rice production. Moreover, the contribution of precipitation change reached about 6.2% for single cropping rice production, but no significant effect for double cropping rice production in recent 50 years.
Keywords:  impact       climate change       warming       precipitation       rice yield       provincial level       China  
Received: 12 October 2013   Accepted:
Fund: 

This work was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2010CB951303), the Special Fund for Agro-Scientific Research in the Public Interest (200903003) and the Basic Operation Cost of China Meteorological Administration (CMA).

Corresponding Authors:  ZHOU Guang-sheng, Tel: +86-10-68409148, E-mail: gszhou@cams. cma.gov.cn   
About author:  CHEN Chao, Mobile: 13666152298, E-mail: chenchao16306@sina.com

Cite this article: 

CHEN Chao, ZHOU Guang-sheng , ZHOU Li. 2014. Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Yield in China From 1961 to 2010 Based on Provincial Data. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 13(7): 1555-1564.

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