Scientia Agricultura Sinica ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (21): 4454-4463.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2013.21.007

• SPECIAL FOCUS: STUDIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON CROP AND ANIMAL PRODUCTION FROM CHINA • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Influence of Meteorological Factors on Soil Moisture Dynamics of Upland Soil in Taihu Lake Region

 ZHANG  Cong-Cong, CHEN  Xiao-Min, ZHANG  Yong, QIU  Jin-Si, YU  Xiao, PAN  Gen-Xing, ZHANG  Xu-Hui   

  1. College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095
  • Received:2013-04-18 Online:2013-11-01 Published:2013-09-30

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Abstract: 【Objective】The purpose of this study is to integrate and then select the main meteorological factors of soil moisture by analyzing the effects of meteorological factors on soil moisture in dry farmland, and to provide a scientific basis for water management under the climate change conditions. 【Method】 The monitoring data (including the daily meteorological data and the soil moisture data) of drought crop growing season on the field experimental platform were extracted, and analyzed by using the correlation analysis, stepwise regression analysis and path analysis methods. The direct path coefficient, indirect path coefficient and determination coefficient between meteorological factors and soil moisture were calculated. 【Result】 The soil moisture of experimental base was highly positively correlated with daily precipitation and daily maximum air humidity, and was extremely negatively correlated with daily evaporation, sunshine duration and average wind speed (The correlation coefficients were 0.648, 0.371, -0.566, -0.454 and -0.331, respectively), but no significant correlation was observed between the soil moisture and the daily maximum air temperature. The path analysis showed that the decreasing influence sequence of meteorological factors on soil moisture was as follows: daily precipitation, average wind speed, sunshine duration, daily evaporation, daily mean air humidity, daily minimum air temperature, daily minimum air humidity, daily maximum air temperature, daily maximum air humidity and daily mean temperature, and that the daily precipitation had the largest comprehensive influencing ability on soil moisture. The multiple regression function between soil moisture and meteorological factors was Y=10.17+0.386X4 +1.095X7-0.509X8-0.766X9-0.345X10, reached a significant level (R2 = 0.912, P＜0.01). 【Conclusion】The effect of meteorological factors on controlling the soil moisture of upland soil in Taihu Lake plain was obvious, and the daily precipitation was the most important factor. The established multiple regression models could be used to forecast the changes of soil moisture in upland soil when some or all of the meteorological factors vary, but it needs to be further validated with longer-term monitoring data.

Key words: climate change , upland soils , soil moisture , multivariate statistical analysis , Taihu Lake region

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