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The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia |
Robert Mendelsohn |
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven CT 06511, USA |
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摘要 Asian agriculture is responsible for two thirds of global agricultural GDP. There have been numerous studies exploring the impact of climate change on crops in specific locations in Asia but no study has yet analyzed crops across the entire continent. This study relies on a Ricardian study of China that estimated climate coefficients for Chinese crops. These coefficients are then used to interpolate potential climate damages across the continent. With carbon fertilization, the model predicts small aggregate effects with a 1.5°C warming but damages of about US$84 billion with 3°C warming. India is predicted to be especially vulnerable.
Abstract Asian agriculture is responsible for two thirds of global agricultural GDP. There have been numerous studies exploring the impact of climate change on crops in specific locations in Asia but no study has yet analyzed crops across the entire continent. This study relies on a Ricardian study of China that estimated climate coefficients for Chinese crops. These coefficients are then used to interpolate potential climate damages across the continent. With carbon fertilization, the model predicts small aggregate effects with a 1.5°C warming but damages of about US$84 billion with 3°C warming. India is predicted to be especially vulnerable.
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Received: 04 November 2013
Accepted:
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Corresponding Authors:
Robert Mendelsohn, E-mail: Robert. Mendelsohn@yale.edu
E-mail: Mendelsohn@yale.edu
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About author: Robert Mendelsohn, E-mail: Robert. Mendelsohn@yale.edu |
Cite this article:
Robert Mendelsohn.
2014.
The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 13(4): 660-665.
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