Scientia Agricultura Sinica ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (13): 2695-2708.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2013.13.008

• SOIL & FERTILIZER·WATER-SAVING IRRIGATION·AGROECOLOGY & ENVIRONMENT • Previous Articles     Next Articles

The Parameter Sensitivity Analysis and Calibration of DNDC Model in Quzhou Agricultural Experiment Station

 XUE  Jing, MAO  Meng, REN  Li   

  1. Soil and Water Science Department, College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University/Key Laboratory of Arable Land Conservation (North China), Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100193
  • Received:2012-08-10 Online:2013-07-01 Published:2013-05-14

PDF

845

Cited

6

Abstract: 【Objective】Based on a large number of field measured data in Quzhou Agricultural Experiment Station, detailed sensitivity analysis and calibration of DNDC model parameters were conducted. 【Method】The independent parameter perturbation method was adopted to carry out parameter sensitivity analysis and using trial and error method was used to calibrate parameters. 【Result】In Quzhou Agricultural Experiment Station, the accuracy of the simulated soil volumetric water content was higher after calibration, the average normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) value was 22.41%. It showed a clear seasonal trend and captured its peak for the simulation of soil nitrous oxide emission. The NRMSE of leaf area index, aboveground biomass and yield of winter wheat were, respectively, 22.04%, 30.46% and 28.10%. The NRMSE of leaf area index, aboveground biomass and yield of summer maize were, respectively, 28.49%, 25.15% and 26.92%. 【Conclusion】In a word, the above mentioned simulation accuracy is acceptable. After the detailed parameter calibration of DNDC model, it will provide a scientific and effective way to realize both grain production and agricultural emission reduction under different cropland management measures.

Key words: Quzhou Experiment Station , DNDC model , sensitivity analysis , parameter calibration

[1]李海波, 韩晓增, 王风. 长期施肥条件下土壤碳氮循环过程研究进展. 土壤通报, 2007, 38(2): 384-388.

Li H B, Han X Z, Wang F. Review of soil carbon and nitrogen cycling under long-term fertilization. Chinese Journal of Soil Science, 2007, 38(2): 384-388. (in Chinese)

[2]王立刚. 黄淮海平原地区农业生态系统土壤碳氮循环规律的初步研究——以河北省邯郸市为例[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2002.

Wang L G. Study on the soil carbon-nitrogen cycle of agro-ecosystem in Huanghuaihai Plain-a case study of Handan district Hebei province[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2002. (in Chinese)

[3]Bouwman A F, Boumans L J M, Batjes N H. Emissions of N2O and NO from fertilized fields: summary of available measurement data. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2002, 16(4): 1080-1088.

[4]Mcswiney C P, Robertson G P. Nonlinear response of N2O flux to incremental fertilizer addition in a continuous maize cropping system. Global Change Biology, 2005, 11(10): 1712-1719.

[5]邹国元, 张福锁, 巨晓棠, 陈新平, 刘学军. 冬小麦-夏玉米轮作条件下氮素反硝化损失研究. 中国农业科学, 2004, 37(10): 1492-1496.

Zou G Y, Zhang F S, Ju X T, Chen X P, Liu X J. Study on soil denitrification in winter wheat-summer maize rotation system. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2004, 37(10): 1492-1496. (in Chinese)

[6]巨晓棠, 刘学军, 邹国元, 王朝辉, 张福锁. 冬小麦-夏玉米轮作体系中氮素的损失途径分析. 中国农业科学, 2002, 35(12): 1493-1499.

Ju X T, Liu X J, Zou G Y, Wang Z H, Zhang F S. Evaluation of nitrogen loss way in winter wheat-summer maize rotation system. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2002, 35(12): 1493-1499. (in Chinese)

[7]邱建军, 秦小光. 农业生态系统碳氮循环模拟模型研究. 世界农业, 2002(9): 39-41.

Qiu J J, Qin X G. Study on simulation model of carbon-nitrogen cycle of agro-ecosystem. World Agriculture, 2002(9): 39-41. (in Chinese)

[8]王立刚, 邱建军. 高产粮区农业生态系统土壤碳氮循环的模拟研究——以河北省曲周县为例. 中国农业大学学报, 2003, 8(增刊): 31-35.

Wang L G, Qiu J J. Study on the simulation of soil carbon and nitrogen cycle in agro-ecosystem in high yields area-a case study of Quzhou county Hebei province. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2003, 8(Suppl.): 31-35. (in Chinese)

[9]王立刚, 邱建军. 华北平原高产粮区土壤碳储量与平衡的模拟研究. 中国农业科学导报, 2004, 6(5): 27-31.

Wang L G, Qiu J J. Study on simulating soil carbon storage and balance in high-yield Huabei Plain. Review of China Agricultural Science and Technology, 2004, 6(5): 27-31. (in Chinese)

[10]王效科, 庄亚辉, 李长生. 中国农田土壤N2O排放通量分布格局研究. 生态学报, 2001, 21(8): 1225-1232.

Wang X K, Zhuang Y H, Li C S. The distribution pattern of N2O emission from agriculture soil in China. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2001, 21(8): 1225-1232. (in Chinese)

[11]高秀文. 华北高产粮区土壤温室气体排放及碳氮平衡研究[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2003.

Gao X W. Study on greenhouse gas emissions and carbon-nutrient balance of high productivity region in Huabei [D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2003. (in Chinese)

[12]李虎, 王立刚, 邱建军. 黄淮海平原河北省范围内农田土壤二氧化碳和氧化亚氮排放量的估算. 应用生态学报, 2007, 18(9): 1994-2000.

Li H, Wang L G, Qiu J J. Estimation of CO2 and N2O emissions from farmland soils in Hebei Province in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2007, 18(9): 1994-2000. (in Chinese)

[13]王秀斌, 周卫, 梁国庆. 典型潮土N2O排放的DNDC模型田间验证研究. 植物营养与肥料学报, 2011, 17(4): 925-933.

Wang X B, Zhou W, Liang G Q. Field validation of DNDC model for nitrous oxide emission from typical fluvo-aquic soils. Plant Nutrition and Fertilizer Science, 2011, 17(4): 925-933. (in Chinese)

[14]高春雨. 县域农田N2O排放量估算及其减排碳贸易案例研究[D]. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2011.

Gao C Y. Case study on estimation of N2O emissions from cropland and its carbon trade at county scale[D]. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 2011. (in Chinese)

[15]Li C S, Frolking S, Frolking T A. A model of nitrous oxide evolution from soil driven by rainfall events: 1. model structure and sensitivity. Journal of Geophysical Research, 1992, 97: 9759-9776.

[16]Li C S, Frolking S, Frolking T A. A model of nitrous oxide evolution from soil driven by rainfall events: 2. model applications. Journal of Geophysical Research, 1992, 97: 9777-9783.

[17]Li C S, Frolking S, Harriss R. Modeling carbon biogeochemistry in agricultural soils. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 1994, 8: 237-254.

[18]李虎. 黄淮海平原农田土壤CO2和N2O释放及区域模拟评价研究[D]. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2006.

Li H. Study on regional simulation and CO2 and N2O emissions from farmland soil in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain[D]. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 2006. (in Chinese)

[19]乔玉辉. 土地利用系统分析模型试验及应用研究——以河北曲周县冬小麦为例[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 1999.

Qiao Y H. Experimental and application study on Land Use Analysis Model[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 1999. (in Chinese)

[20]肖新华. 冬小麦-夏玉米轮作下灌溉农田水氮平衡的定量评价[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2004.

Xiao X H. Quantitative evaluation of water and nitrogen under winter wheat-summer maize cropping system in irrigative field[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2004. (in Chinese)

[21]胡克林. 农田尺度下土壤属性的空间变异性及硝酸盐淋失的随机模拟[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2000.

Hu K L. Spatial variability of soil properties and stochastic simulation of nitrate leaching at field scale[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2000. (in Chinese)

[22]张娟. 河北曲周农田冬小麦和夏玉米水分利用效率的研究[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2006.

Zhang J. Study on water use efficiency of winter wheat- summer maize in Quzhou county[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2006. (in Chinese)

[23]胡小康, 黄彬香, 苏芳, 巨晓棠, 江荣风, 张福锁. 氮肥管理对夏玉米土壤CH4和N2O排放的影响. 中国科学: 化学, 2011, 41(1): 117-128.

Hu X K, Huang B X, Su F, Jü X T, Jiang R F, Zhang F S. Effects of nitrogen management on methane and nitrous oxide emissions from summer maize soil in North China Plain. Scientia Sinica: Chimical, 2011, 41(1): 117-128. (in Chinese)

[24]沈健林, 刘学军, 张福锁. 北京近郊农田大气NH3与NO2干沉降研究. 土壤学报, 2008(1): 165-169.

Shen J L, Liu X J, Zhang F S. Atmospheric dry depositions of ammonia and nitrogen dioxide to agricultural fields in perisuburbs of Beijing. Acta Pedologoca Sinica, 2008(1): 165-169. (in Chinese)

[25]刘强, 王跃思, 王明星, 李晶, 刘广仁. 北京大气中主要温室气体近10年变化趋势. 大气科学, 2005, 29(2): 267-271.

Liu Q, Wang Y S, Wang M X, Li J, Liu G R. Trend of greenhouse gas in recent 10 years in Beijing. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2005, 29(2): 267-271. (in Chinese)

[26]张颍, 刘学军, 张福锁, 巨晓棠, 邹国元, 胡克林. 华北平原大气氮素沉降的时空变异. 生态学报, 2006, 26(6): 1633-1639.

Zhang Y, Liu X J, Zhang F S, Ju X T, Zou G Y, Hu K L. Spatial   and temporal variation of atmospheric nitrogen deposition in North China Plain. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2006, 26(6): 1633-1639. (in Chinese)

[27]Zheng C, Bennett G D. Applied Contaminant Transport Modeling. 2nd ed. New York: John Wiley and Sons. 2002: 343-347.

[28]Mao M, Ren L. Simulating nonequilibrium transport of Atrazine through saturated soil. Ground Water, 2004, 42(4):10-15.

[29]Gjettermann B, Styczen M, Hansen H C B. Challenges in modelling dissolved organic matter dynamics in agricultural soil using DAISY. Soil Biology & Biochemistry, 2008(40): 1506-1518.

[30]甄兰. 应用DNDC模型和GIS技术研究区域氮肥管理的环境效益[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2006.

Zhen L. Evaluation on the environmental effects of regional nitrogen fertilizer management using DNDC model and GIS technique[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2006. (in Chinese)

[31]黄国宏, 陈冠雄, 韩冰. 土壤含水量与N2O产生途径研究. 应用生态学报, 1999, 10(1): 53-56.

Huang G H, Chen G X, Han B. Relationships between soil water content and N2O production. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 1999, 10(1): 53-56. (in Chinese)

[32]谢军飞, 李玉娥. DNDC模型对北京旱地农田N2O排放的模拟对比分析. 农业环境科学学报, 2004, 23(4): 691-695.

Xie J F, Li Y E. Comparative analysis on measured and DNDC (DeNitrification-DeComposition）modeled N2O emissions from upland farm in Beijing. Journal of Agro-Environment Science, 2004, 23(4): 691-695. (in Chinese)
[1] ZHAO ZhengXin,WANG XiaoYun,TIAN YaJie,WANG Rui,PENG Qing,CAI HuanJie. Effects of Straw Returning and Nitrogen Fertilizer Types on Summer Maize Yield and Soil Ammonia Volatilization Under Future Climate Change [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2023, 56(1): 104-117.
[2] XING HuiMin, XIANG ShiYao, XU XinGang, FENG HaiKuan, YANG GuiJun, CHEN ZhaoXia. Global Sensitivity Analysis of AquaCrop Crop Model Parameters Based on EFAST Method [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2017, 50(1): 64-76.
[3] SUN Shi-kun, LIU Wen-yan, LIU jing, WANG Yu-bao, CHEN Di-yi, WU Pu-te. Sensitivity and Contribution Rate Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Spring Wheat Water Footprint in Hetao Irrigation District [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2016, 49(14): 2751-2762.
[4] CHENG Yong-Xiang, WANG Xiu-Zhen, GUO Jian-Ping, ZHAO Yan-Xia, HUANG Jing-Feng. The Temporal-Spatial Dynamic Analysis of China Rice Production [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(17): 3473-3485.
[5]

. Modeling the Impacts of Soil Organic Carbon Content of Croplands on Crop Yields in China
 [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2009, 42(1): 154-161 .
[6] Jiaguo Qi . Simulating Temporal-Spatial dynamics of Greenhouse Gas Emits From Rice Paddy Field in Liaodong Costal Region [J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2007, 40(10): 2250-2258 .
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!
京ICP备09089781号-30
Copyright 2018 © Editorial office of Scientia Agricultura Sinica
Tel: 86-010-82106279    E-mail: zgnykx@mail.caas.net.cn
Supported by Beijing Magtech Co.Ltd