中国农业科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (24): 4527-4539.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2019.24.008

• 土壤肥料·节水灌溉·农业生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

华北平原五省冬小麦产量和氮素管理的时空变异

任思洋,张青松,李婷玉,张福锁()   

  1. 中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京 100193
  • 收稿日期:2019-04-11 接受日期:2019-08-28 出版日期:2019-12-16 发布日期:2020-01-15
  • 通讯作者: 张福锁
  • 作者简介:任思洋,E-mail:siyangr@126.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点基础研究发展计划(2015CB150405)

Spatiotemporal Variation of Winter Wheat Yield and Nitrogen Management in Five Provinces of North China Plain

SiYang REN,QingSong ZHANG,TingYu LI,FuSuo ZHANG()   

  1. College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193
  • Received:2019-04-11 Accepted:2019-08-28 Online:2019-12-16 Published:2020-01-15
  • Contact: FuSuo ZHANG

摘要:

【目的】通过对华北地区冬小麦产量及氮素管理时空变化的分析,明确华北平原五省2005—2014年冬小麦产量、效率及环境效益的演变规律。【方法】基于2005—2014年农户调研数据,分析华北平原产量、产量差与氮素管理的时间和空间变异趋势,从粮食安全、资源高效和环境保护3个维度设计了华北地区氮素可持续管理评价体系,并据此对该区目前氮素管理现状进行评价。【结果】(1)2005—2014年华北冬小麦产量均值为6.5 t·hm -2,呈逐年递增趋势,10年增幅达7%,产量从高到低依次为河南、安徽北部、山东、河北、江苏北部。10年产量差均值为1.4 t·hm -2,整体呈下降趋势,10年降幅高达47%,产量差从高到低依次为山东、河北、江苏北部、河南、安徽北部。安徽北部产量差降幅最大,产量差最小;山东省内产量差差异较大,呈东部高于西部的趋势。(2)2005—2014年华北冬小麦施氮量均值为226 kg·hm -2,除江苏北部外均呈增加趋势,10年平均增幅为3%,施氮量从高到低依次为江苏北部、河北、山东、安徽北部、河南。同省施氮量差异较小而省间差异明显。(3)2005—2014年华北冬小麦氮素利用效率(NUE)均值为44%,从高到低依次为河南、安徽北部、山东、河北、江苏北部。空间差异大,施氮量高的地区NUE较低。(4)2005-2014年华北冬小麦氮盈余均值为165 kg·hm -2,从高到低依次为江苏北部、河北、山东、河南、安徽北部。施氮量高的地区氮盈余较高。(5)2005—2014年华北冬小麦满足华北地区氮素可持续管理评价体系安全边界的县数仅占总体的2%。以该区域氮盈余及产量均值分区,其中河南省均值位于低氮盈余高产量区;山东及安徽北部均值位于低氮盈余低产量区;河北及江苏北部均值位于高盈余低产量区。【结论】2005—2014年华北地区冬小麦产量增加,产量差减小;同时氮肥投入增加,氮盈余较高,氮素利用效率低。五省中河南氮素管理较为合理,山东和安徽北部氮盈余较低,产量提升空间大;河北及江苏北部氮肥投入量高、效率低、环境压力大,将是未来华北氮素管理的重点地区。

关键词: 冬小麦, 华北地区, 氮肥, 产量, 氮素利用效率, 氮盈余, 时空变异

Abstract:

【Objective】By analyzing the spatial and temporal changes of winter wheat yield and nitrogen management differences in North China Plain, the evolution of winter wheat yield, efficiency and environmental impacts in the five provinces of North China Plain from 2005 to 2014 were clarified. 【Method】 Based on the farmer household survey data in 2005-2014, the time and space variation of yield, yield gap and nitrogen management differences of winter wheat in the five provinces of North China Plain was analyzed. In addition, the evaluation system of nitrogen sustainable management in North China was designed from three dimensions of food security resource efficiency and environmental protection, and the current status of nitrogen management in the five provinces of North China Plain was evaluated. 【Result】(1) The average of winter wheat yield in the five provinces of North China Plain from 2005 to 2014 was 6.5 t·hm -2, showing an increasing trend year by year, with an overall increase of 7% in ten years. The ten-year average of yield from high to low was Henan, Northern Anhui, Shandong, Hebei, Northern Jiangsu. The average yield gap of North China Plain in the past ten years was 1.4 t·hm -2, which was a downward trend. The decline in the decade was as high as 47%. The average of yield gap from high to low, it was Shandong, Hebei, Northern Jiangsu, Henan, Northern Anhui. The yield gap of Northern Anhui had the largest decline, which was the smallest; the difference of the yield gap in Shandong Province was large, showing a trend higher in the east than in the west. (2) The average nitrogen application in North China Plain was 226 kg·hm -2, which was increasing year by year except for Northern Jiangsu. The average growth rate was 3% in ten years. And the order of Northern Jiangsu>Hebei>Shandong>Northern Anhui>Henan was maintained. The nitrogen application in the same province had changed little and the inter-provincial difference was obvious. (3) The average nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) in North China Plain was 44%, from high to low was Henan, Northern Anhui, Shandong, Hebei, Northern Jiangsu. The spatial variation of NUE was large; while the NUE in areas with high nitrogen application was low. (4) The mean value of nitrogen surplus was 165 kg·hm -2. The order of Northern Jiangsu>Hebei>Shandong>Henan>Northern Anhui was maintained, which was similar to the regional distribution trend of nitrogen application. (5) Based on comprehensive evaluation of the North China Plain during 2005-2014, the number of counties that met the safety boundary of the sustainable management evaluation system for nitrogen was only 2% of the total. The nitrogen surplus and yield mean of the region were divided into four zones. The mean value of Henan was in the high yield area with low nitrogen surplus. The mean values of Shandong and Northern Anhui were in low nitrogen surplus and low yield zone. Hebei and Northern Jiangsu were in high surplus and low production zone. 【Conclusion】 During 2005-2014, the yield of winter wheat in North China Plain increased year by year, and the yield gap decreased year by year. At the same time, the input of nitrogen application increased, the nitrogen surplus was too high, and the nitrogen use efficiency was low. The nitrogen management in Henan was relatively reasonable, while nitrogen surplus in Northern Anhui and Shandong were low, and there were a large space for production improvement. High nitrogen fertilizer input in Hebei and Northern Jiangsu led to high environmental pressure of low nitrogen use efficiency, which would be the key areas for nitrogen management in North China Plain in the future.

Key words: winter wheat, North China Plain, nitrogen fertilizer, grain yield, nitrogen use efficiency, nitrogen surplus, spatiotemporal variation