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Journal of Integrative Agriculture  2017, Vol. 16 Issue (07): 1520-1529    DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(16)61627-1
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Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
HE Ying-bin1, 2, ZHOU Yang-fan, CAI Wei-min2, WANG Zhuo-zhuo2, DUAN Ding-ding1, LUO Shan-jun2, CHEN Jing-zhu2
1 Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100081, P.R.China
2 School of Management, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R.China
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Abstract      A process-oriented methodology to conduct precise evaluation temporally and spatially on temperature suitability for potato growth was applied in China. Arable lands in China were gridded with 1 km×1 km geographic units, and potential potato phenology in each unit was automatically identified in terms of the potato planting initial temperature and effective accumulated temperature. A temperature thermal response coefficient model was used to compute a temperature suitability value for each day of potato phenology in each geographic unit. In addition, five temperature suitability ranking methods were applied to define suitable areas: (1) upper fourth quantile, (2) median, (3) expected value+1/4 standard deviation, (4) expected value+1/2 standard deviation, (5) expected value+1 standard deviation. A validation indicator was innovated to test the effectiveness of the five ranking methods. The results showed that from a strict degree point of view, the five methods sequence was as follows: 1=3>4>2>5, with a and c determined as the two best ranking methods. For methods 1 and 3, the suitable potato growing area was 1 of 57.76×104 km2. In addition, the suitable areas were spatially coincident with the main potato producing counties. The study output technically supports the proposal from China’s government that there is a large potential area to grow winter-ploughed potato in South China because the potential suitable area for growing potato is approximately 2×107 ha. In southeast Heilongjiang and east Jilin, where it is hilly and mountainous, there are still some potentially suitable areas for potato growing accounting for nearly 2.32×106 ha. The authors suggest to optimize the agricultural regionalization and layout in China and to adjust the cropping pattern structure.
Keywords:  potato        temperature suitability        temperature thermal response coefficient model        ranking method        validation  
Received: 17 February 2017   Accepted:

This research was funded by the Innovation Project Special Funding of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS-IARRP, 2017-727-1) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41001049).

Corresponding Authors:  Correspondence ZHOU Yang-fan, E-mail:   
About author:  HE Ying-bin, E-mail:

Cite this article: 

HE Ying-bin, ZHOU Yang-fan, CAI Wei-min, WANG Zhuo-zhuo, DUAN Ding-ding, LUO Shan-jun, CHEN Jing-zhu. 2017. Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 16(07): 1520-1529.

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