





中国农业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (8): 1727-1747.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2026.08.010
收稿日期:2025-06-06
接受日期:2025-08-26
出版日期:2026-04-16
发布日期:2026-04-21
联系方式:
邹利林,E-mail:zoull@scau.edu.cn
基金资助:Received:2025-06-06
Accepted:2025-08-26
Published:2026-04-16
Online:2026-04-21
摘要:
【目的】农业面源污染防治政策是指导农业环境治理的主要依据,针对中国农业面源污染防治政策逻辑的系统分析亟待学术跟进。本文以1978—2022年国务院及各部委颁布的469条农业面源污染防治政策为研究对象,系统分析中国农业面源污染防治政策的演进脉络与实践逻辑,并测量政策文本的有效性。【方法】采用政策文本分析明晰农业面源污染防治政策的演进路径,修正并运用模糊-冲突模型与制度环境三维度理论框架阐释农业面源污染防治政策的实践逻辑,以及应用文本挖掘测量农业面源污染防治政策的有效性。【结果】中国农业面源污染防治政策经历了孕育、初创、确立、调适与深化五个阶段,并已基本形成“宏观制度与微观细则并重、纵向传导与横向衔接并行、系统治理与源头管控并施”的政策框架体系。农业面源污染防治政策的制发逻辑在于“先立法、后调适、再实践”,执行逻辑在不同阶段呈现出差异化的执行模式与支配因素,偏差逻辑则源于环境规制、政府激励与主体认知的诱致性变通。农业面源污染防治政策数量与综合效力均呈波动上升趋势,具体来看政策力度呈“先高后低”的变化趋势,政策目标持续聚焦减少农药化肥使用、推进禽畜粪尿治理与提高秸秆利用效率,政策措施总体呈现行政规制>技术支持>经济激励>教育引导的特征,并且相关政策的部门协同度、目标协同度与措施协同度均持续提高。【结论】改革开放以来,中国政府越来越主张通过政策干预实施农业面源污染防治,注重通过强化顶层设计、明确主体责任与完善配套机制,破解农业面源污染防治政策的调适性、模糊性与诱致性弊端。中国依靠行政力量主导所推行的农业面源污染防治取得了显著成效,这可为全球发展中国家农业面源污染防治政策的优化调整提供参考。
邹利林. 中国农业面源污染防治政策的演进、实践逻辑与有效性测量[J]. 中国农业科学, 2026, 59(8): 1727-1747.
ZOU LiLin. Evolution, Practical Logic, and Effectiveness Measurement of China’s Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Control Policies[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2026, 59(8): 1727-1747.
表1
农业面源污染防治政策力度量化标准"
| 分值 Score | 政策力度评分标准 Score criteria of policy efforts |
|---|---|
| 5 | 全国人民代表大会及其常务委员会颁布的法律 The laws promulgated by the National People’s Congress and its Standing Committee |
| 4 | 国务院、最高人民法院、最高人民检察院颁布的条例、指令、意见、方案、规定、决定、办法、解释等 The regulations, directives, opinions, plans, provisions, decisions, measures, and interpretations issued by the State Council, the Supreme People’s Court, and the Supreme People’s Procuratorate |
| 3 | 国务院颁布的暂行条例、暂行规定、通知、规划以及国家部委颁布的条例、决定、规定 The provisional regulations, interim provisions, notices, and plans issued by the State Council, as well as the regulations, decisions, and provisions issued by state ministries and commissions |
| 2 | 国家部委颁布的意见、办法、方案、指南、决定、细则、条件、标准 The opinions, measures, plans, guidelines, decisions, detailed rules, conditions, and standards issued by state ministries and commissions |
| 1 | 国务院各部委颁布的通知、公告、规划 The notices, announcements, and plans issued by state ministries and commissions |
表2
农业面源污染防治政策目标量化标准"
| 政策目标 Policy objective | 分值 Score | 政策目标评分标准 Score criteria of policy objectives |
|---|---|---|
| 树立污染防治理念 Establish the concept of pollution control | 5 | 从立法角度要求加大污染防治宣传,全面提升污染防治意识,并制定了详细的工作方案 From a legislative perspective, it is required to strengthen the publicity of pollution control, comprehensively enhance the awareness of pollution control, and formulate detailed work plans |
| 3 | 政府十分支持树立污染防治理念,并明确要求制定全面提升污染防治意识的方案或办法 The government strongly supports the establishment of pollution prevention principles and explicitly mandates the development of plans or measures to comprehensively enhance pollution prevention awareness | |
| 1 | 仅提及上述内容,但未出台相关措施办法 It only mentions the above content without introducing any related measures or methods | |
| 建立高效节水体系 Build an efficient water-saving system | 5 | 从立法角度对农业节水管理提出了强制性规定,并制定了详细的标准 From a legislative perspective, mandatory regulations on agricultural water management are introduced, along with detailed standards |
| 3 | 政府十分支持建立高效农业节水体系,并明确要求制定具体的方案或办法 The government strongly supports the establishment of an efficient agricultural water-saving system and explicitly mandates the development of specific plans or measures | |
| 1 | 仅提及上述内容,但未出台相关措施与办法 It only mentions the above content without introducing any related measures or methods | |
| 减少农药化肥使用 Reduce the use of pesticides and chemical fertilizers | 5 | 从立法角度对农药化肥生产、管理等环节提出了强制性规定,并制定了详细的减量措施 From a legislative perspective, mandatory regulations are established for the production and management of pesticides and fertilizers, accompanied by detailed measures for the reduction |
| 3 | 政府十分支持减少农药化肥使用,并明确要求制定相关方案或办法 The government strongly supports reducing the use of pesticides and chemical fertilizers and has explicitly required the formulation of relevant plans or measures | |
| 1 | 仅提及上述内容,但未出台相关措施与办法 It only mentions the above content without introducing any related measures or methods | |
| 推进禽畜粪尿治理 Promote the management of livestock and poultry manure | 5 | 从立法角度对畜禽养殖污染防治提出了强制性规定,并制定了标准化管理办法 From a legislative perspective, mandatory regulations are established for the pollution control from livestock and poultry farming, accompanied by the development of detailed standard management procedures |
| 3 | 政府十分支持推进禽畜养殖污染治理,并明确要求制定的具体方案或办法 The government strongly supports advancing pollution control in livestock and poultry farming and explicitly mandates the development of specific plans or measures | |
| 1 | 仅提及上述内容,但未出台相关措施与办法 It only mentions the above content without introducing any related measures or methods | |
| 提高秸秆利用效率 Improve the efficiency of straw utilization | 5 | 从立法角度对秸秆资源化利用提出了强制性规定,并制定了详细的标准 From a legislative perspective, mandatory regulations are established concerning the resource utilization of straws, accompanied by detailed standards |
| 3 | 政府十分支持开展秸秆资源化利用,并明确要求制定具体方案或办法 The government strongly supports enhancing the resource utilization of straws and mandates the development of specific plans or measures | |
| 1 | 仅提及上述内容,但未出台相关措施与办法 It only mentions the above content without introducing any related measures or methods | |
| 推进农业固碳减排 Advance agricultural carbon sequestration and emission reduction | 5 | 从立法角度对推进农业固碳减排提出了强制性规定,并制定了详细的技术标准 From a legislative perspective, mandatory provisions have been put forward for promoting agricultural carbon sequestration and emission reduction, and detailed technical standards have been formulated |
| 3 | 政府十分支持推进农业固碳减排,并明确要求制定具体方案或办法 The government strongly supports promoting agricultural carbon sequestration and emission reduction, and explicitly requires the formulation of specific plans or measures. | |
| 1 | 仅提及上述内容,但未出台相关措施与办法 It only mentions the above content without introducing any related measures or methods |
表3
农业面源污染防治政策措施量化标准"
| 政策措施 Policy measure | 分值 Score | 政策措施评分标准 Score criteria of policy measures | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 行政规制 Administrative regulations | 5 | 对产生农业面源污染的项目实施严格的行政审批与上级控制,并制定了专门的管理办法 Strict administrative examination and approval and superior control are implemented for projects that generate agricultural non-point source pollution, and special management measures have been formulated | |
| 3 | 制定了关于减少农业面源污染考核、监督、检查的补充性政策或制度 Supplementary policies for the assessment, supervision, and inspection of reducing agricultural pollution have been formulated | ||
| 1 | 对相关的管理控制较为松散,或仅谈及上述条款 The management controls related to this issue are relatively lax or only address the aforementioned provisions | ||
| 经济激励 Economic incentives | 5 | 制定了详细的税收、补贴、罚款等措施,并且针对各项措施列出了明确数额或比例 Detailed measures such as taxation, subsidies, and fines have been formulated, with clear amounts or proportions specified for each measure | |
| 3 | 列出了相关的激励措施,但缺少具体数额或比例 Relevant incentive measures are outlined, but lacking specific amounts or proportions | ||
| 1 | 仅提及加强经济激励,但没有具体的举措 Only mention is made of strengthening economic incentives, but there are no specific measures | ||
| 技术支持 Technical support | 5 | 明确提及研发或推广某项具体的技术,并针对该项技术做出了详细的说明 A specific technology for development or promotion is explicitly mentioned, and detailed explanations are provided for that technology | |
| 3 | 明确提出技术支持,并且针对该项技术做出了较为具体的说明,或列举了多项具体的技术 Technical support is clearly proposed, and specific explanations are given for the technology, or multiple specific technologies are listed | ||
| 1 | 仅谈及鼓励相关技术的开发运用 It only mentions encouraging the development and application of relevant technologies | ||
| 教育引导 Educational guidance | 5 | 明确提出引导农村或农民加强对农业面源污染防治的关注与治理,并制定了具体的方案措施 It clearly proposes to guide rural areas or farmers to strengthen their attention to agricultural pollution control, and formulates specific plans | |
| 3 | 提出加强对农业面源污染防治的宣传,并提出相关引导措施但不够具体 It is proposed to strengthen the publicity on pollution control, and relevant guiding measures are put forward but not specific enough | ||
| 1 | 仅提及鼓励对教育宣传措施的运用,但未出台的具体措施 Only the use of educational and publicity measures is mentioned as being encouraged, but no specific measures have been introduced | ||
表4
中国农业面源污染防治政策的部门协同度"
| 年份 Year | 综合协同度 Comprehensive synergy degree | 平均协同度 Average synergy degree | 年份 Year | 综合协同度 Comprehensive synergy degree | 平均协同度 Average synergy degree |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978 | 0 | 0 | 2003 | 4 | 4.00 |
| 1979 | 0 | 0 | 2004 | 0 | 0 |
| 1981 | 0 | 0 | 2005 | 10 | 5.00 |
| 1982 | 0 | 0 | 2006 | 8 | 8.00 |
| 1983 | 0 | 0 | 2007 | 21 | 5.25 |
| 1984 | 0 | 0 | 2008 | 8 | 8.00 |
| 1988 | 0 | 0 | 2009 | 0 | 0 |
| 1989 | 15 | 15 | 2010 | 8 | 8.00 |
| 1990 | 0 | 0 | 2011 | 10 | 3.33 |
| 1991 | 0 | 0 | 2012 | 21 | 10.50 |
| 1993 | 0 | 0 | 2013 | 17 | 5.67 |
| 1994 | 0 | 0 | 2014 | 22 | 4.40 |
| 1995 | 0 | 0 | 2015 | 74 | 6.17 |
| 1996 | 4 | 4 | 2016 | 28 | 5.60 |
| 1997 | 0 | 0 | 2017 | 66 | 6.00 |
| 1998 | 0 | 0 | 2018 | 55 | 4.23 |
| 1999 | 12 | 12 | 2019 | 103 | 9.36 |
| 2000 | 0 | 0 | 2020 | 60 | 6.00 |
| 2001 | 0 | 0 | 2021 | 63 | 5.25 |
| 2002 | 0 | 0 | 2022 | 86 | 6.62 |
表5
中国农业面源污染防治政策的目标协同度"
| 年份 Year | 目标3&1 Objective 3&1 | 目标3&2 Objective 3&2 | 目标3&4 Objective 3&4 | 目标3&5 Objective 3&5 | 目标3&6 Objective 3&6 | 目标4&1 Objective 4&1 | 目标4&2 Objective 4&2 | 目标4&5 Objective 4&5 | 目标4&6 Objective 4&6 | 目标5&1 Objective 5&1 | 目标5&2 Objective 5&2 | 目标5&6 Objective 5&6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978 | 0 | 0 | 4.44 | 0 | 11.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1979 | 0 | 0 | 34.22 | 24.44 | 45.89 | 0 | 0 | 15.56 | 21.78 | 0 | 0 | 15.56 |
| 1981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1983 | 0 | 1.67 | 5.00 | 0 | 11.11 | 0 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1984 | 0 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1989 | 0 | 0 | 27.00 | 27.00 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 | 27.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1993 | 0 | 140.00 | 180.00 | 106.67 | 15.00 | 0 | 122.67 | 89.33 | 11.00 | 0 | 81.33 | 13.00 |
| 1994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1996 | 0 | 4.67 | 29.00 | 18.33 | 9.67 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 7.67 | 0 | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| 1997 | 30.00 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 1998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1999 | 15.00 | 0 | 15.00 | 35.00 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 2000 | 0 | 5.00 | 35.00 | 0 | 43.33 | 0 | 3.89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.44 |
| 2001 | 13.00 | 4.33 | 13.00 | 10.11 | 21.67 | 9.00 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 7.00 | 2.33 | 11.67 |
| 2002 | 99.78 | 12.11 | 122.67 | 27.33 | 29.67 | 90.78 | 17.11 | 35.78 | 24.78 | 20.67 | 7.33 | 19.11 |
| 2003 | 35.56 | 133.33 | 164.00 | 60.67 | 4.67 | 32.33 | 150.00 | 44.89 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 28.33 | 0 |
| 2004 | 23.67 | 7.22 | 27.44 | 6.33 | 21.67 | 69.33 | 72.22 | 13.00 | 21.67 | 7.00 | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| 2005 | 44.11 | 184.67 | 180.00 | 84.11 | 139.33 | 31.67 | 202.78 | 196.22 | 151.00 | 22.00 | 99.33 | 53.33 |
| 2006 | 70.67 | 125.78 | 159.67 | 133.67 | 46.00 | 91.33 | 194.22 | 155.00 | 66.00 | 53.11 | 124.44 | 49.56 |
| 2007 | 224.22 | 222.33 | 397.11 | 422.89 | 277.44 | 286.67 | 249.67 | 546.00 | 343.00 | 271.56 | 269.67 | 345.33 |
| 2008 | 94.00 | 150.22 | 320.33 | 111.67 | 142.00 | 108.89 | 181.33 | 139.89 | 146.22 | 38.33 | 123.33 | 87.33 |
| 2009 | 13.33 | 43.67 | 46.89 | 115.78 | 98.56 | 10.67 | 36.33 | 19.22 | 14.22 | 4.67 | 63.78 | 74.89 |
| 2010 | 36.78 | 73.00 | 74.67 | 79.00 | 75.44 | 60.67 | 174.78 | 100.11 | 159.78 | 31.33 | 103.67 | 96.78 |
| 2011 | 188.00 | 204.89 | 268.22 | 227.44 | 211.33 | 187.33 | 254.67 | 241.56 | 218.33 | 105.00 | 216.78 | 181.00 |
| 2012 | 83.89 | 248.11 | 198.56 | 158.67 | 200.67 | 139.56 | 220.67 | 206.89 | 253.67 | 86.78 | 166.67 | 157.11 |
| 2013 | 34.33 | 137.78 | 294.00 | 122.44 | 190.00 | 30.00 | 173.56 | 224.11 | 159.89 | 21.33 | 122.67 | 139.11 |
| 2014 | 44.22 | 31.00 | 67.33 | 66.00 | 58.67 | 100.33 | 89.00 | 182.67 | 159.33 | 94.33 | 80.00 | 146.44 |
| 2015 | 314.67 | 404.89 | 515.00 | 421.00 | 433.44 | 356.56 | 418.44 | 499.00 | 390.00 | 260.33 | 369.00 | 407.78 |
| 2016 | 324.89 | 373.67 | 647.00 | 586.11 | 467.67 | 340.11 | 432.22 | 526.67 | 426.89 | 302.00 | 304.67 | 461.33 |
| 2017 | 378.89 | 580.22 | 844.11 | 744.78 | 596.67 | 331.00 | 491.56 | 745.11 | 543.78 | 314.33 | 487.56 | 539.56 |
| 2018 | 256.67 | 321.22 | 830.33 | 570.67 | 480.67 | 295.33 | 472.00 | 555.33 | 500.11 | 259.33 | 335.33 | 440.78 |
| 2019 | 63.67 | 197.44 | 399.67 | 420.22 | 338.78 | 66.11 | 170.89 | 394.67 | 274.67 | 43.44 | 164.44 | 325.67 |
| 2020 | 8.33 | 40.67 | 39.44 | 43.44 | 54.00 | 11.00 | 35.67 | 169.33 | 78.11 | 16.33 | 29.56 | 168.11 |
| 2021 | 230.44 | 422.89 | 616.11 | 433.78 | 540.67 | 242.00 | 393.67 | 508.56 | 575.00 | 169.67 | 296.56 | 470.33 |
| 2022 | 179.00 | 162.44 | 405.89 | 464.67 | 509.78 | 244.22 | 191.00 | 405.11 | 479.67 | 178.00 | 182.89 | 561.67 |
表6
中国农业面源污染防治政策的措施协同度"
| 年份 Year | 措施1&2 Measure 1&2 | 措施1&3 Measure 1&3 | 措施1&4 Measure 1&4 | 措施3&1 Measure 3&1 | 措施3&2 Measure 3&2 | 措施3&4 Measure 3&4 | 年份 Year | 措施1&2 Measure 1&2 | 措施1&3 Measure 1&3 | 措施1&4 Measure 1&4 | 措施3&1 Measure 3&1 | 措施3&2 Measure 3&2 | 措施3&4 Measure 3&4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978 | 75.11 | 40.44 | 23.11 | 40.44 | 40.44 | 12.44 | 2003 | 214.11 | 135.44 | 126.50 | 135.44 | 74.33 | 48.56 |
| 1979 | 131.67 | 98.33 | 108.33 | 98.33 | 65.44 | 42.56 | 2004 | 18.11 | 18.78 | 16.33 | 18.78 | 5.89 | 5.44 |
| 1981 | 60.00 | 46.67 | 46.67 | 46.67 | 28.00 | 21.78 | 2005 | 204.22 | 152.56 | 118.78 | 152.56 | 78.11 | 67.44 |
| 1982 | 6.67 | 60.00 | 86.67 | 60.00 | 4.00 | 52.00 | 2006 | 316.22 | 207.11 | 123.44 | 207.11 | 156.67 | 85.89 |
| 1983 | 100.11 | 65.44 | 37.22 | 65.44 | 45.44 | 17.22 | 2007 | 294.11 | 338.22 | 332.22 | 338.22 | 231.22 | 208.67 |
| 1984 | 75.00 | 41.67 | 25.00 | 41.67 | 25.00 | 8.33 | 2008 | 320.67 | 232.89 | 142.56 | 232.89 | 145.22 | 91.33 |
| 1988 | 65.00 | 21.67 | 7.22 | 21.67 | 15.00 | 1.67 | 2009 | 66.78 | 75.33 | 55.22 | 75.33 | 36.67 | 64.00 |
| 1989 | 83.33 | 55.00 | 41.67 | 55.00 | 11.67 | 8.33 | 2010 | 212.44 | 182.22 | 115.78 | 182.22 | 86.22 | 86.56 |
| 1990 | 1.33 | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.67 | 0.89 | 1.78 | 2011 | 218.67 | 297.89 | 197.78 | 297.89 | 151.11 | 164.89 |
| 1991 | 28.33 | 15.00 | 12.78 | 15.00 | 12.33 | 5.67 | 2012 | 288.78 | 242.56 | 152.33 | 242.56 | 176.56 | 101.00 |
| 1993 | 41.67 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 9.67 | 6.33 | 2013 | 531.56 | 284.78 | 217.78 | 284.78 | 165.22 | 105.22 |
| 1994 | 6.67 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 2014 | 266.89 | 192.78 | 80.56 | 192.78 | 132.44 | 54.11 |
| 1995 | 67.33 | 22.44 | 12.67 | 22.44 | 15.33 | 2.44 | 2015 | 759.22 | 504.89 | 495.22 | 504.89 | 335.11 | 270.00 |
| 1996 | 250.00 | 134.44 | 170.00 | 134.44 | 82.67 | 81.33 | 2016 | 575.00 | 468.56 | 404.00 | 468.56 | 282.89 | 251.67 |
| 1997 | 107.33 | 54.00 | 38.89 | 54.00 | 48.67 | 15.78 | 2017 | 649.22 | 728.11 | 371.56 | 728.11 | 376.56 | 263.22 |
| 1998 | 6.67 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.33 | 0.44 | 2018 | 765.22 | 519.33 | 392.89 | 519.33 | 288.11 | 177.56 |
| 1999 | 10.00 | 20.00 | 10.00 | 20.00 | 4.44 | 3.56 | 2019 | 438.11 | 457.78 | 345.00 | 457.78 | 296.78 | 260.67 |
| 2000 | 204.44 | 83.33 | 32.22 | 83.33 | 43.33 | 15.56 | 2020 | 283.44 | 255.89 | 181.11 | 255.89 | 144.78 | 109.56 |
| 2001 | 102.00 | 57.67 | 28.67 | 57.67 | 49.11 | 14.89 | 2021 | 621.89 | 510.89 | 383.11 | 510.89 | 347.00 | 249.78 |
| 2002 | 40.22 | 55.78 | 49.33 | 55.78 | 22.78 | 16.67 | 2022 | 377.89 | 416.33 | 345.11 | 416.33 | 218.78 | 204.67 |
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