





中国农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (15): 3120-3133.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2020.15.012
赵晴月1(
),许世杰1,张务帅2,张哲1,姚智2,陈新平2,邹春琴1(
)
收稿日期:2019-09-18
接受日期:2020-02-13
出版日期:2020-08-01
发布日期:2020-08-06
联系方式:
赵晴月,Tel:15210169662;E-mail: 946910453@qq.com。
基金资助:
ZHAO QingYue1(
),XU ShiJie1,ZHANG WuShuai2,ZHANG Zhe1,YAO Zhi2,CHEN XinPing2,ZOU ChunQin1(
)
Received:2019-09-18
Accepted:2020-02-13
Published:2020-08-01
Online:2020-08-06
摘要:
【目的】分析中国玉米主产区耕层土壤养分含量现状、区域空间变异规律及其影响因素,以期为各地玉米田土壤养分调控和合理施肥提供指导。【方法】以全国玉米主产区为研究区,于2017年玉米收获季开展大规模土壤采集和农户调研工作。结合地统计学和地理信息系统(GIS),探究土壤养分的区域变异特征和分布格局;根据相关分级标准,评价玉米主产区当前土壤肥力现状;并通过相关性分析和方差分析,对引起土壤养分变异的主要影响因素(土壤质地、气候和肥料施用)进行探讨。【结果】中国玉米主产区耕层土壤pH中值为 6.9,养分含量的中值分别为有机质21.0 g·kg-1、全氮1.5 g·kg-1、有效磷22.4 mg·kg-1和速效钾164.5 mg·kg-1,上述指标的变异系数分别为12.7%、48.5%、50.0%、83.6%和52.0%,均表现为中等程度变异。土壤有机质、全氮、有效磷和速效钾含量主要集中在中等至极高肥力水平,共占主产区总面积的93.5%。土壤养分存在明显的区域变异性,土壤有机质、全氮和有效磷含量在东北春玉米区最高,分别为32.0 g·kg-1、2.2 g·kg-1、32.3 mg·kg-1,在西北春玉米区最低,分别为17.2 g·kg-1、1.2 g·kg-1、16.2 mg·kg-1;速效钾含量在西南玉米区最低,其他3个区域无显著差异。在国家尺度上,土壤pH值具有强烈的空间自相关性(块基比<25%),其变异主要受自然因素(土壤质地和降水)影响;有效磷具有较弱的空间自相关性(块基比>75%),其变异主要受人为因素(肥料施用)影响;有机质、全氮和速效钾具有中等的空间自相关性(块基比25%—75%),其变异受自然和人为因素共同影响。【结论】东北区土壤肥力高,玉米生产应适量减少施肥量,以节约肥料成本;华北区土壤养分含量适中,应严格控制氮、磷化肥投入,以增加肥料利用率并减少环境污染;西北区土壤养分含量较低,可以适当增加肥料用量进一步实现玉米增产;西南区内土壤肥力变异较大,各亚区应采用适宜的施肥方式,以提高土壤的保肥能力和玉米产量。
赵晴月,许世杰,张务帅,张哲,姚智,陈新平,邹春琴. 中国玉米主产区土壤养分的空间变异及影响因素分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(15): 3120-3133.
ZHAO QingYue,XU ShiJie,ZHANG WuShuai,ZHANG Zhe,YAO Zhi,CHEN XinPing,ZOU ChunQin. Spatial Regional Variability and Influential Factors of Soil Fertilities in the Major Regions of Maize Production of China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2020, 53(15): 3120-3133.
表1
全国玉米主产区土壤养分含量描述性统计"
| 土壤养分 Soil fertility | 样品数 Sample size | 分布类型 Distribution types | 中值 Median | 5%—95%置信区间 5%-95% confidence interval | 均值 Mean | 标准差 Standard derivation | 变异系数 Variance coefficient (%) | 偏度 Skewness | 峰度 Kurtosis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pH | 980 | 对数正态 Lognormal | 6.9 | 5.1—7.9 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 12.7 | -0.70 | -0.11 |
| 有机质 Organic matter (g·kg-1) | 980 | 对数正态 Lognormal | 21.0 | 10.7—48.6 | 23.9 | 11.6 | 48.5 | 1.62 | 3.26 |
| 全氮 Total N (g·kg-1) | 980 | 对数正态 Lognormal | 1.5 | 0.7—3.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 50.0 | 1.48 | 2.70 |
| 有效磷 Olsen-P (mg·kg-1) | 980 | 偏态 Skewed | 22.4 | 4.6—84.2 | 30.5 | 25.5 | 83.6 | 1.66 | 2.90 |
| 速效钾 Available K (mg·kg-1) | 980 | 偏态 Skewed | 164.5 | 66.0—358.9 | 183.8 | 95.5 | 52.0 | 1.55 | 5.59 |
表2
我国玉米主产区各区域土壤养分含量差异"
| 区域 Region | 样本量 Sample size | pH | 有机质 Organic matter (g·kg-1) | 全氮 Total N (g·kg-1) | 有效磷 Olsen-P (mg·kg-1) | 速效钾 Available K (mg·kg-1) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 中值 Median | 5%—95%置信区间 5%-95% confidence interval | 中值 Median | 5%—95% 置信区间 5%-95% confidence interval | 中值 Median | 5%—95% 置信区间 5%-95% confidence interval | 中值 Median | 5%—95% 置信区间 5%-95% confidence interval | 中值 Median | 5%—95% 置信区间 5%-95% confidence interval | ||
| I-1 | 82 | 6.5 | 5.4—7.4 | 44.6 | 22.0—71.2 | 3.1 | 1.2—5.1 | 28.2 | 8.2—80.2 | 208.7 | 87.7—357.9 |
| I-2 | 90 | 6.0 | 4.6—7.0 | 32.2 | 16.6—43.3 | 2.3 | 1.0—3.5 | 42.5 | 8.4—93.2 | 195.1 | 80.5—436.0 |
| I-3 | 25 | 6.8 | 5.8—7.3 | 25.6 | 13.7—42.8 | 1.5 | 1.0—2.9 | 26.4 | 3.8—62.0 | 154.2 | 95.0—329.6 |
| I-4 | 59 | 6.5 | 4.8—7.5 | 17.0 | 11.5—33.6 | 1.3 | 0.8—2.6 | 25.4 | 5.6—134.9 | 119.3 | 60.4—414.4 |
| 东北区 I The region of the Northeast China I | 256 | 6.4 | 5.0—7.3 | 32.0 | 13.0—58.0 | 2.2 | 0.9—4.5 | 32.3 | 7.2—95.8 | 175.6 | 74.2—377.7 |
| II-1 | 265 | 7.3 | 5.5—8.0 | 20.4 | 12.8—28.4 | 1.5 | 0.8—2.2 | 24.4 | 5.5—92.7 | 183.1 | 80.6—346.6 |
| II-2 | 55 | 6.8 | 5.1—7.3 | 20.3 | 11.2—27.4 | 1.4 | 0.7—2.1 | 20.7 | 5.2—70.7 | 154.0 | 52.2—324.7 |
| 华北区II The region of the North China Plain II | 320 | 7.2 | 5.4—7.9 | 20.3 | 12.7—28.3 | 1.4 | 0.8—2.2 | 23.6 | 5.3—86.8 | 176.2 | 72.6—345.4 |
| III-1 | 92 | 7.6 | 6.6—8.0 | 17.4 | 10.7—32.0 | 1.3 | 0.7—2.3 | 15.2 | 4.0—46.5 | 171.6 | 103.3—316.3 |
| III-2 | 110 | 7.5 | 6.9—8.1 | 17.0 | 6.6—34.6 | 1.2 | 0.5—2.6 | 18.1 | 4.2—64.6 | 138.2 | 44.8—323.2 |
| III-3 | 20 | 7.2 | 6.6—7.5 | 17.4 | 10.2—40.4 | 1.2 | 0.6—3.0 | 8.6 | 1.9—55.2 | 385.6 | 201.8—832.5 |
| 西北区III The region of the Northwest China III | 222 | 7.5 | 6.8—8.0 | 17.2 | 8.1—33.2 | 1.2 | 0.6—2.4 | 16.2 | 4.2—61.0 | 162.5 | 63.0—398.1 |
| IV-1 | 33 | 6.6 | 5.1—7.0 | 13.6 | 7.5—27.4 | 1.1 | 0.5—2.0 | 9.3 | 0.5—54.5 | 132.9 | 54.2—313.9 |
| IV-2 | 92 | 6.4 | 4.5—7.4 | 21.8 | 11.8—42.7 | 1.6 | 0.8—3.4 | 18.2 | 1.7—93.6 | 138.8 | 46.8—334.0 |
| IV-3 | 57 | 6.4 | 4.6—7.7 | 31.6 | 13.4—72.7 | 2.3 | 0.9—4.6 | 28.5 | 3.3—96.8 | 162.0 | 63.2—377.0 |
| 西南区IV The region of the Southwest China IV | 182 | 6.4 | 4.6—7.4 | 22.4 | 10.5—53.6 | 1.6 | 0.7—3.8 | 18.3 | 1.9—94.5 | 141.8 | 49.2—340.4 |
表4
全国玉米主产区土壤养分含量的空间变异特征"
| 土壤养分 Soil fertility | 理论模型 Theory model | 块金值 Nugget | 基台值 Sill | 块基比 Nugget/Sill (%) | 变程 Range (km) | 决定系数 R2 | 残差 RSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pH | 指数 Exponential | 0.00101 | 0.00426 | 23.7 | 2319 | 0.593 | 5.708E-06 |
| 有机质 Organic matter | 高斯 Gaussian | 0.0204 | 0.0626 | 32.6 | 4108 | 0.904 | 3.253E-04 |
| 全氮 Total N | 高斯 Gaussian | 0.026 | 0.0657 | 39.6 | 4117 | 0.909 | 2.708E-04 |
| 有效磷 Olsen-P | 线性 Linear | 0.0814 | 0.108 | 75.4 | 4252 | 0.778 | 7.680E-04 |
| 速效钾 Available K | 线性 Linear | 0.0687 | 0.0944 | 72.8 | 4252 | 0.449 | 1.072E-03 |
表5
全国玉米主产区土壤养分含量等级情况"
| 土壤养分 Soil fertility | 项目 Item | 极高 Extremely high | 高 High | 中 Middle | 低 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 有机质 Organic matter | 分级标准 Grading standard (g·kg-1) | ≥40 | 20—40 | 10—20 | <10 |
| 百分比 Area percentage (%) | 2.84 | 40.90 | 56.26 | 0.00 | |
| 全氮Total N | 分级标准 Grading standard (g·kg-1) | ≥2 | 1—2 | 0.75—1 | <0.75 |
| 百分比 Area percentage (%) | 13.83 | 81.96 | 4.21 | 0.00 | |
| 有效磷Olsen-P | 分级标准 Grading standard (mg·kg-1) | ≥40 | 25—40 | 10—25 | <10 |
| 百分比 Area percentage (%) | 7.21 | 19.30 | 67.02 | 6.47 | |
| 速效钾Available K | 分级标准 Grading standard (mg·kg-1) | ≥150 | 120—150 | 90—120 | <90 |
| 百分比 Area percentage (%) | 67.90 | 19.32 | 11.49 | 1.29 |
表6
不同区域土壤养分含量与气象因素的相关分析"
| 区域 Region | 影响因素 Factor | pH | 有机质 Organic matter | 全氮 Total N | 有效磷 Olsen-P | 速效钾 Available K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 东北区I The region of the Northeast China I | 平均气温 Average temperature | -0.006 | -0.775** | -0.742** | 0.098 | -0.291 |
| 年降水量 Total precipitation | -0.439** | -0.123 | -0.112 | 0.437** | -0.170 | |
| 年蒸发量 Total evaporation | -0.017 | -0.754** | -0.721** | 0.098 | -0.309* | |
| 华北区II The region of the North China Plain II | 平均气温 Average temperature | 0.043 | 0.071 | -0.061 | -0.172 | -0.043 |
| 年降水量 Total precipitation | -0.397** | -0.145 | -0.179 | 0.069 | -0.181 | |
| 年蒸发量 Total evaporation | -0.177 | -0.318* | -0.256* | 0.116 | 0.157 | |
| 西北区III The region of the Northwest China III | 平均气温 Average temperature | 0.103 | 0.298 | 0.276 | 0.000 | -0.176 |
| 年降水量 Total precipitation | -0.107 | -0.245 | -0.250 | -0.009 | -0.171 | |
| 年蒸发量 Total evaporation | 0.171 | 0.004 | -0.028 | 0.148 | -0.107 | |
| 西南区IV The region of the Southwest China IV | 平均气温 Average temperature | -0.223 | -0.241 | -0.197 | 0.225 | -0.322 |
| 年降水量 Total precipitation | -0.350* | 0.015 | 0.008 | 0.164 | -0.596** | |
| 年蒸发量 Total evaporation | -0.219 | 0.341* | 0.348* | 0.550** | 0.014 |
表7
全国玉米主产区氮、磷、钾养分投入量"
| 区域 Region | 养分投入量 Fertilizer rate (kg·hm-2) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 氮 N | 磷 P2O5 | 钾 K2O | |
| 东北区I The region of the Northeast China I | 239.0±90.0 | 106.1±57.8 | 95.2±54.9 |
| I-1 | 227.8±94.6 | 88.5±50.9 | 72.6±49.9 |
| I-2 | 247.8±66.6 | 117.8±44.5 | 109±38.0 |
| I-3 | 212.9±71.8 | 88.9±52.4 | 85.8±60.7 |
| I-4 | 248.3±120.4 | 113.5±78.6 | 100.3±71.8 |
| 华北区II The region of the North China Plain II | 224.7±89.9 | 71.6±45.6 | 66.7±39.8 |
| II-1 | 216.4±87.3 | 70.6±45.3 | 64.9±39.0 |
| II-2 | 294.4±81.4 | 79.9±47.5 | 81.7±44.1 |
| 西北区III The region of the Northwest China III | 330.1±132.9 | 158.4±90.9 | 79.3±69.5 |
| III-1 | 306.0±108.8 | 132.1±88.1 | 77.6±59.2 |
| III-2 | 335.7±132.7 | 166.5±90.7 | 69.0±66.0 |
| III-3 | 384.7±178.1 | 210.0±71.5 | 122.7±92.6 |
| 西南区IV The region of the Southwest China IV | 308.6±133.9 | 97.4±59.8 | 94.4±60.0 |
| IV-1 | 327.7±155.3 | 91.8±71.3 | 82.1±63.9 |
| IV-2 | 276.5±126.8 | 100.8±55.9 | 106.9±53.5 |
| IV-3 | 341.5±111.4 | 97.3±54.2 | 86.2±62.7 |
| 全国 China | 270.9±120.0 | 106.8±72.4 | 82.7±57.3 |
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