[1] 姜大膀, 王会军, 郎咸梅. 全球变暖背景下东亚气候变化的最新情景预测. 地球物理学报, 2004, 47(4): 590-596.
Jiang D B, Wang H J, Lang X M. East Asian climate change trend under global warming background. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2004, 47(4): 590-596. (in Chinese )
[2] Jones P D, Osborn T J, Briffa K R. The evolution of climate over the last millennium. Science, 2001, 292(5517): 662-667.
[3] Oseni T O, Masarirambi M T. Effect of climate change on maize (Zea mays) production and food security in Swaziland. American-Eurasian Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, 2011, 11(3): 385-391.
[4] 黄美丽, 林振敏, 丘平珠, 黄雪松, 陈德诚. 广西气候变暖及其对农业的影响. 山地农业生物学报, 2008, 27(3): 200-206.
Huang M L, Lin Z M, Qiu P Z, Huang X S, Chen D C. Global warming and its influences on agriculture in Guangxi. Journal of Mountain Agriculture and Biology, 2008, 27(3): 200-206. (in Chinese )
[5] 杨晓光, 刘志娟, 陈阜. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响Ⅰ. 气候变暖对中国种植制度北界和粮食产量可能影响的分析. 中国农业科学, 2010, 43(2): 329-336.
Yang X G, Liu Z J, Chen F. The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China Ⅰ. The possible effects of climate warming on Northern limits of cropping systems and crop yields in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2010, 43(2): 329-336. (in Chinese )
[6] 张正斌, 王德轩. 小麦抗旱生态育种. 西安: 陕西人民教育出版社, 1992.
Zhang Z B, Wang D X. Wheat Drought Resistance and Ecology Breeding. Xi’an, Shaanxi People Education Press, 1992. (in Chinese )
[7] 高懋芳, 邱建军 刘三超, 覃志豪, 王立刚. 我国低温冷冻害的发生规律分析. 中国生态农业学报, 2008, 16(5): 1167-1172.
Gao M F, Qiu J J, Liu S C, Qin Z H, Wang L G. Spatio-temporal pattern of cold and frost damage in China. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2008, 16(5): 1167-1172. (in Chinese )
[8] 丁一汇, 王守荣. 中国西北地区气候与生态环境概论. 北京: 气象出版社, 2001: 77-154.
Ding Y H, Wang S R. Introduction to Climate and Ecological Environment for Northwest China. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2001: 77-154. (in Chinese )
[9] 王绍武, 董光荣. 中国西部环境演变评估1C2//秦大河. 中国西部环境特征及其演变: 第一卷. 北京: 科学出版社, 2002: 71-145.
Wang S W, Dong G R. Assessment of environmental changes in Western China 1C2.//Qin D H. Environmental Characteristics and Its Evolution in Western China: Vol 1. Beijing: Science Press, 2002: 71-145. (in Chinese )
[10] 陶健红, 王遂缠, 王宝鉴. 中国西北地区气温异常的特征分析. 干旱区研究, 2007, 24(4): 510-515.
Tao J H, Wang S C, Wang B J. Analysis on the abnormity of air temperature in northwest China. Arid Zone Research, 2007, 24(4): 510- 515. (in Chinese )
[11] 高振荣, 田庆明, 刘晓云, 王秀芬, 杨庆华. 近58年河西走廊地区气温变化及突变分析. 干旱区研究, 2010, 27 (2) : 194-203.
Gao Z R, Tian Q M, Liu X Y, Wang X F, Yang Q H. Characteristics and abrupt change of temperature in the Hexi corridor in recent 58 years. Arid Zone Research, 2010, 27(2): 194-203. (in Chinese )
[12] 王劲松, 费晓玲, 魏锋. 中国西北近50a来气温变化特征的进一步研究. 中国沙漠, 2008, 28(4): 724-732.
Wang J S , Fei X L, Wei F. Further study of temperature change in Northwest China in recent 50 years. Journal of Desert Research, 2008, 28(4): 724-732. (in Chinese )
[13] 李玲萍, 杨永龙, 钱莉. 石羊河流域近45年气温和降水特征分析. 干旱区研究, 2008, 25(5): 705-710.
Li L P, Yang Y L, Qian L. Analysis on the characteristics of temperature and precipitation in the Shiyang river basins in recent 45 years. Arid Zone Research, 2008, 25(5): 705-710. (in Chinese )
[14] Lobell D B, Field C B. Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impact of recent warming. Environmental Research Letters. 2007, 2(1): 1-7.
[15] Tao, F L, Yokozawa M, Xu Y L, Hayashi Y, Zhang Z. Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2006, 138(14): 82-92.
[16] Ghaffari A, Cook H F, Lee H C. Climate change and winter wheat management: a modeling scenario for south-eastern England. Climatic Change, 2002, 55: 509-533.
[17] Nicholls N. Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends. Nature, 1997, 387(29): 484-485.
[18] Lal M, Singh K K, Rathore L S, Srinivasan G, Saseendran S A. Vulnerability of rice and wheat yields in NW India to future changes in climate. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 1998, 89: 101-114.
[19] Mavromatis T, Jones P D. Evaluation of HadCM2 and direct use of daily GCM data in impact assessment studies. Climatic Change, 1999, 41: 583-614.
[20] Ye L M, Xiong W, Li Z G, Yang P, Wu W B, Yang G X, Fu Y J, Zou J Q, Chen Z X, Ranst E V, Tang H J. Climate change impact on china food security in 2050. Agronomy Sustain Development, 2013, 33: 363-374.
[21] 杜瑞英, 杨武德, 许呤隆, 冯强. 气候变化对我国干旱半干旱区小麦生产影响的模拟研究. 生态科学, 2006, 25(1): 34-37.
Du R Y, Yang W D, Xu Y L, Feng Q. Simulation study on impacts of climate change on the production of wheat. Ecologic Science, 2006, 25(1): 34-37. (in Chinese )
[22] Holger K, Holger T. Challenging targets for future agriculture. European Journal of Agronomy, 2000, 12(3): 145-161.
[23] Tao F L, Yokozawa Masayuki, Xu Y L, Zhang Z. Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2006, 138(1): 82-92.
[24] Garcia-Mozo H, Mestre A, Galan C. Phenological trends in southern Spain: a response to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2010, 150: 575-580.
[25] 王修兰, 徐师华, 崔读昌. CO2浓度倍增及气候变暖度农业生产影响的诊断与评估. 中国生态农业学报, 2003, 11(4): 47-48.
Wang X L, Xu S H, Cui D C. The diagnosis and estimation of CO2 concentration increasing and climate warming on the agricultural production. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2003, 11(4): 47-48. (in Chinese )
[26] 杨国航, 唐世伟, 季广德, 孙世贤. 国家玉米品种试验中对照品种更迭与发展. 玉米科学, 2010, 18(4): 49-51, 57.
Yang G H, Tang S W, J G D, Sun S X. Change and development of check in maize varieties plot trial at state-level. Journal of Maize Sciences, 2010, 18(4): 49-51, 57. (in Chinese)
[27] 王洁, 廖琴, 胡小军, 万建民. 北方稻区国家水稻品种区域试验精确度分析. 作物学报, 2010, 36(11): 1870-1876.
Wang J, Liao Q, Hu X J, Wan J M. Precision evaluation of rice variety regional trials in northern China. Acta Agronomica Sinica, 2010, 36(11): 1870-1876. (in Chinese)
[28] Mba C, Guimaraes E P, Ghosh K. Re-orienting crop improvement for the changing climatic conditions of the 21st Century. Agriculture and Food Security, 2012, 1(1): 7.
[29] Collette L. Save and grow-a policy Maker's guide to the sustainable intensification of smallholder crop production. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2011: 7-10.
[30] 高辉明, 张正斌, 杨引福, 卫云宗, 刘新月. 2001-2009年北部冬麦区小麦品种农艺性状变化, 中国农业科学, 2013, 46(11): 2201-2210.
Gao H M, Zhang Z B, Xu P, Yang Y F, Wei Y Z, Liu X Y. Changes of winter wheat growth period and yield in northern China from 2001-2009. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2013, 46(11): 2201-2210. (in Chinese)
[31] 张丽英, 张正斌, 徐萍, 卫云宗, 刘新江. 黄淮小麦农艺性状进化及对产量性状调控机理分析, 中国农业科学, 2014, 47(5): 1013-1028.
Zhang LY, Zhang Z B, Xu P, Wei Y Z, Liu X J. Evolution of agronomic traits of wheat and analysis of the mechanism of agronomic traits controlling the yield traits in the Huang-Huai Plain. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2014, 47(5): 1013-1028. (in Chinese)
[32] 王玉莹, 张正斌, 杨引福, 王敏, 赵久然, 杨国航. 2002-2009东北早熟春玉米生育期及产量变化, 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(24): 4959-4966.
Wang Y Y, Zhang Z B, Yang Y F, Wang M, Zhao J R, Yang G H. Growth period and yield of early-maturing spring maize in northeast China from 2002-2009. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(24): 4959-4966. (in Chinese)
[33] 姬兴杰, 朱业玉, 刘晓迎, 熊淑萍, 王鸽. 气候变化对北方冬麦区冬小麦生育期的影响. 中国农业气象, 2011, 32(4): 576-581.
Ji X J, Zhu Y Y, Liu X Y, Xiong S P, Wang G. Impact of climate change on the winter wheat growth stages in North China. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2011, 32(4): 576-581. (in Chinese)
[34] Sadras V O, Monzon J P. Modelled wheat phenology captures rising temperature trends: Shortened time to flowering and maturity in Australia and Argentina. Field Crops Research, 99(2/3): 136-146.
[35] 张正斌. 作物抗旱节水的生理遗传育种基础. 北京: 科学出版社, 2003: 45-48.
Zhang Z B. Physiology and Genetics and Breeding Base of Crop Drought Resistance and Water Saving. Beijing: Science press, 2003: 45-48. (in Chinese)
[36] 李朴芳, 程正国, 赵鸿, 张小丰, 李冀南, 王绍明, 熊又才. 旱地小麦理想株型研究进展. 生态学报, 2011, 31(9): 2631-2640.
Li P F, Cheng Z G, Zhao Hong, Zhang X F, Li J N, Wang S M, Xiong Y C. Current progress in plant ideal type research of dryland wheat. Acta Ecological Sinica, 2011, 31(9): 2631-2640. (in Chinese) |