中国农业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (8): 1727-1747.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2026.08.010

• 土壤肥料·节水灌溉·农业生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国农业面源污染防治政策的演进、实践逻辑与有效性测量

邹利林()   

  1. 华南农业大学公共管理学院, 广州 510642
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-06 接受日期:2025-08-26 出版日期:2026-04-16 发布日期:2026-04-21
  • 联系方式: 邹利林,E-mail:zoull@scau.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金(22BGL182)

Evolution, Practical Logic, and Effectiveness Measurement of China’s Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Control Policies

ZOU LiLin()   

  1. School of Public Administration, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou 510642
  • Received:2025-06-06 Accepted:2025-08-26 Published:2026-04-16 Online:2026-04-21

摘要:

【目的】农业面源污染防治政策是指导农业环境治理的主要依据,针对中国农业面源污染防治政策逻辑的系统分析亟待学术跟进。本文以1978—2022年国务院及各部委颁布的469条农业面源污染防治政策为研究对象,系统分析中国农业面源污染防治政策的演进脉络与实践逻辑,并测量政策文本的有效性。【方法】采用政策文本分析明晰农业面源污染防治政策的演进路径,修正并运用模糊-冲突模型与制度环境三维度理论框架阐释农业面源污染防治政策的实践逻辑,以及应用文本挖掘测量农业面源污染防治政策的有效性。【结果】中国农业面源污染防治政策经历了孕育、初创、确立、调适与深化五个阶段,并已基本形成“宏观制度与微观细则并重、纵向传导与横向衔接并行、系统治理与源头管控并施”的政策框架体系。农业面源污染防治政策的制发逻辑在于“先立法、后调适、再实践”,执行逻辑在不同阶段呈现出差异化的执行模式与支配因素,偏差逻辑则源于环境规制、政府激励与主体认知的诱致性变通。农业面源污染防治政策数量与综合效力均呈波动上升趋势,具体来看政策力度呈“先高后低”的变化趋势,政策目标持续聚焦减少农药化肥使用、推进禽畜粪尿治理与提高秸秆利用效率,政策措施总体呈现行政规制>技术支持>经济激励>教育引导的特征,并且相关政策的部门协同度、目标协同度与措施协同度均持续提高。【结论】改革开放以来,中国政府越来越主张通过政策干预实施农业面源污染防治,注重通过强化顶层设计、明确主体责任与完善配套机制,破解农业面源污染防治政策的调适性、模糊性与诱致性弊端。中国依靠行政力量主导所推行的农业面源污染防治取得了显著成效,这可为全球发展中国家农业面源污染防治政策的优化调整提供参考。

关键词: 农业面源污染, 农业政策演进, 有效性, 模糊-冲突模型, 文本挖掘, 中国

Abstract:

【Objective】Policies for controlling agricultural non-point source pollution (ANPSP) serve as the primary basis for guiding agricultural environmental governance. A systematic analysis of the policy logic of China’s ANPSP control urgently requires academic attention. This study took 469 ANPSP control policies issued by the State Council and relevant ministries and commissions from 1978 to 2022 as the research object, and systematically analyzed the evolutionary context and practical logic of China’s ANPSP control policies and measures the effectiveness of policy texts. 【Method】Policy text analysis was adopted to clarify the evolutionary path of ANPSP control policies. The Ambiguity-Conflict Model and the Three-Dimensional Theoretical Framework Based on the Institutional Environment were revised and applied to explain the practical logic of these policies, and text mining was used to measure their effectiveness. 【Result】China’s ANPSP control policies have gone through five stages, including the stage of policy incubation, the stage of policy initiation, the stage of policy establishment, the stage of policy adjustment, and the stage of policy deepening, and have basically formed a policy framework characterized by "equal emphasis on macro systems and micro rules, parallel advancement of vertical transmission and horizontal connection, and simultaneous implementation of systematic governance and source control." The logic of formulating and issuing ANPSP control policies followed the sequence of "legislation first, adjustment later, and practice finally." The implementation logic presented differentiated implementation modes and dominant factors in different stages, while the deviation logic stemmed from induced flexibility caused by environmental regulations, government incentives, and subject cognition. The number of ANPSP control policies and their comprehensive force both showed a fluctuating upward trend. Specifically, policy efforts presented a "high first, then low" trend; policy objectives continued to focus on reducing the use of pesticides and chemical fertilizers, promoting the management of livestock and poultry manure, and improving the efficiency of straw utilization; policy measures generally showed the characteristics of administrative regulation > technical support > economic incentive > educational guidance; and the departmental synergy, objective synergy, and measure synergy of relevant policies have all significantly enhanced. 【Conclusion】Since the reform and opening-up, the Chinese government has increasingly advocated to control the ANPSP through policy intervention. It has focused on addressing the drawbacks of adaptability, ambiguity and inducement in such policies by strengthening top-level design, clarifying main responsibilities and improving supporting mechanisms. China has achieved remarkable results in ANPSP control lending by administrative forces, which could provide reference for the optimization and adjustment of ANPSP control policies in developing countries worldwide.

Key words: agricultural non-point source pollution, agricultural policy evolution, effectiveness, ambiguity-conflict model, text mining, China