中国农业科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (11): 2377-2388.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2021.11.011
收稿日期:
2020-08-03
接受日期:
2021-01-06
出版日期:
2021-06-01
发布日期:
2021-06-09
通讯作者:
邓燕
作者简介:
周一帆,E-mail:基金资助:
ZHOU YiFan(),YANG LinSheng,MENG Bo,ZHAN Jian,DENG Yan(
)
Received:
2020-08-03
Accepted:
2021-01-06
Online:
2021-06-01
Published:
2021-06-09
Contact:
Yan DENG
摘要:
【目的】对中国甘蔗主产区的产量潜力与产量差现状进行研究,进而分析讨论产量的主要影响因素及消减产量差的潜力,以期为中国甘蔗增产增效提供参考依据。【方法】基于统计数据和文献数据收集,从国家统计局获得1999—2018年各省(自治区、直辖市)及国家的甘蔗产量及种植面积数据147条;从数据库中国知网和Web of Science对1980—2019年发表的关于中国甘蔗主产区的下种量、施肥量、品种及对应产量的国内外期刊与硕、博士论文等进行检索,排除异常数据后,共获文献93篇,其中广西54篇,云南14篇,广东25篇。以不同产区试验产量数据前5%的平均值为产量潜力,以统计数据平均值为农户产量,以此计算各产区的产量差;进一步分析产量与施肥量、下种量及甘蔗品种的关系,得出各产区的推荐施肥量、下种量及高产品种,并讨论了优化施肥量、下种量和品种消减产量差的潜力。【结果】广西、云南、广东是中国三大甘蔗主产区,产量潜力分别为137.1、147.2、145.8 t·hm-2,农户平均产量分别为74.2、62.0、78.3 t·hm-2,分别实现产量潜力的 54.1%、42.1%和53.7%。施肥量、下种量和品种是影响甘蔗产量的主要因素,并仍有较大的优化空间。为提高甘蔗产量,广西产区推荐施肥量270 kg N·hm-2、99 kg P2O5·hm-2、208 kg K2O·hm-2,云南产区推荐施肥量228 kg N·hm-2、117 kg P2O5·hm-2、281 kg K2O·hm-2,广东产区推荐施肥量240 kg N·hm-2、71 kg P2O5·hm-2、193 kg K2O·hm-2;广西、云南、广东推荐下种量分别为8×104—10×104、10×104—12×104、8×104—10×104芽/hm2;三大产区高产品种分别是桂辐系列、桂糖系列和粤糖系列。【结论】广西、云南、广东三大产区甘蔗的增产潜力分别为62.9、85.2、67.5 t·hm-2;优化施肥可使广西、云南、广东分别增产16.9、28.4、25.3 t·hm-2,优化下种量可分别增产23.6、27.9、22.1 t·hm-2,优化品种可分别增产26.8、42.4、15.1 t·hm-2。
周一帆,杨林生,孟博,战健,邓燕. 中国甘蔗主产区产量差及影响因素分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(11): 2377-2388.
ZHOU YiFan,YANG LinSheng,MENG Bo,ZHAN Jian,DENG Yan. Analysis of Yield Gaps and Limiting Factors in China’s Main Sugarcane Production Areas[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2021, 54(11): 2377-2388.
表1
中国各省(自治区、直辖市)甘蔗的种植情况"
省(自治区、直辖市) Province (autonomous region, municipality) | 产量 Yield (×104 t) | 种植面积 Planting area (×103 hm2) | 单位产量 Unit yield (t·hm-2) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
广西 | Guangxi | 7292.8 | 886.4 | 82.3 |
云南 | Yunnan | 1640.1 | 260.1 | 63.1 |
广东 | Guangdong | 1412.7 | 172.6 | 81.9 |
海南 | Hainan | 132.5 | 20.8 | 63.8 |
江西 | Jiangxi | 64.6 | 14.3 | 45.0 |
贵州 | Guizhou | 62.5 | 10.6 | 59.1 |
浙江 | Zhejiang | 40.6 | 6.2 | 66.0 |
四川 | Sichuan | 36.2 | 9.3 | 38.7 |
湖南 | Hunan | 33.8 | 7.4 | 45.8 |
湖北 | Hubei | 27.7 | 6.5 | 43.0 |
福建 | Fujian | 26.1 | 4.9 | 53.3 |
河南 | Henan | 15.4 | 2.0 | 75.8 |
安徽 | Anhui | 10.1 | 1.7 | 58.1 |
重庆 | Chongqing | 9.1 | 2.2 | 41.5 |
江苏 | Jiangsu | 5.3 | 0.9 | 61.9 |
上海 | Shanghai | 0.2 | 0.1 | 34.3 |
陕西 | Shaanxi | 0.1 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
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