Please wait a minute...
Journal of Integrative Agriculture  2011, Vol. 10 Issue (11): 1812-1823    DOI: 10.1016/S1671-2927(11)60181-8
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC Advanced Online Publication | Current Issue | Archive | Adv Search |
Vertical Price Transmission in the China’s Layer Industry Chain: an Application of FDL Approach 
 XU Shi-wei, DONG Xiao-xia,  LI Zhe-min, LI Gan-qiong
1.Key Laboratory of Digital Agricultural Early-Warning Technology, Ministry of Agriculture/Agricultural Information Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
Download:  PDF in ScienceDirect  
Export:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要  This paper examines the vertical price relationship between upstream and downstream products in China’s layer industry chain by estimating elasticity coefficients of the price transmission. We use cointegration tests, error correction models and finite distributed lag models to analyze vertical price shifts between corn, layer feed, egg-laying chicken and egg prices. With monthly data from 1994 to 2010, our results show that various prices in China’s layer industry chain are well integrated. In addition, our results indicate that both long-run and short-run price relationships between upstream and downstream products in layer industry chain exist and the long-run equilibrium, to a certain extent, may eliminate the short-run dynamics price deviation. We also found that the influence of corn and feed prices on egg prices is still more remarkable than egg-laying chicken prices. Our findings imply that governments should pay more attention to corn and layer feed prices in order to stabilize egg prices under the conditions of market integration.

Abstract  This paper examines the vertical price relationship between upstream and downstream products in China’s layer industry chain by estimating elasticity coefficients of the price transmission. We use cointegration tests, error correction models and finite distributed lag models to analyze vertical price shifts between corn, layer feed, egg-laying chicken and egg prices. With monthly data from 1994 to 2010, our results show that various prices in China’s layer industry chain are well integrated. In addition, our results indicate that both long-run and short-run price relationships between upstream and downstream products in layer industry chain exist and the long-run equilibrium, to a certain extent, may eliminate the short-run dynamics price deviation. We also found that the influence of corn and feed prices on egg prices is still more remarkable than egg-laying chicken prices. Our findings imply that governments should pay more attention to corn and layer feed prices in order to stabilize egg prices under the conditions of market integration.
Keywords:  finite distributed lag model      vertical price transmission      layer industry chain      China  
Received: 02 June 2011   Accepted:
Fund: 

This work is supported by the the National Key Technologies R&D Program of China (2009BADA9B01). The authors remain responsible for remaining errors and omissions.

Corresponding Authors:  Correspondence XU Shi-wei, Professor, Ph D, Tel: +86-10-82109902, E-mail: xushiwei@mail.caas.net.cn     E-mail:  xushiwei@mail.caas.net.cn
About author:  XU Shi-wei, Professor, Ph D, Tel: +86-10-82109902, E-mail: xushiwei@mail.caas.net.cn

Cite this article: 

XU Shi-wei, DONG Xiao-xia, LI Zhe-min, LI Gan-qiong. 2011. Vertical Price Transmission in the China’s Layer Industry Chain: an Application of FDL Approach . Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 10(11): 1812-1823.

[1]Abdulai A. 2000. Spatial price transmission and asymmetry in the Ghanaian maize market. Journal of Development Economics, 63, 327-349.

[2]Alderman H, Shively G. 1996. Economic reform and food prices: evidence from markets in Ghana. World Development, 24, 521-534.

[3]Alexander C, Wyeth J. 1994. Cointegration and market integration: an application to the Indonesian rice market. The American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 30, 303-328.

[4]Almon S. 1965. The distributed lag between capital appropriations and expenditures. Econometrica, 33, 178-196.

[5]Baffes J. 1991. Some further evidence on the law of one price: The law of one price still holds. The American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 68, 1264-1273.

[6]Bakucs L Z, Fertõ I. 2005. Marketing margins and price transmission on the Hungarian pork meat marke. Agribusiness, 21, 273-286.

[7]Barrett C B, Dorosh P A. 1996. Farmers’ welfare and changing food prices: nonparametric evidence from rice in Madagascar. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 78, 656-669.

[8]Brümmer B, von Cramon-Taubadel S, Zorya S. 2009. The impact of market and policy instability on price transmission between wheat and flour in Ukraine. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 36, 203-230.

[9]Cao G Q, Pan D, Qin F. 2010. Economic analysis about layer industry distribution changing in Chinathe research based on provincial panel data. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 10, 10-17. (in Chinese)

[10]Chilowa W. 1998. The impact of agricultural liberalization on food security in Malawi. Food Policy, 23, 553-569.

[11]Cooper P J. 1972. Two approaches to polynomial distributed lags estimation: an expository note and comment. American Statistician, 26, 32-35.

[12]Cudjoe G, Clemns B, Diao X S. 2010. Local impacts of a global crisis: food price transmission, consumer welfare and poverty in Ghana. Food Policy, 35, 294-302.

[13]Dickey D A, Fuller W A. 1979. Estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.

[14]Dickey D A, Fuller W A. 1981. Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072.

[15]Dong X X, Xu S W, Li Z M, Li G Q. 2011. Market price transmission of fresh produce under fully competitive conditions: the case study of tomato. Chinese Rural Economy, 2, 22-32, 51. (in Chinese)

[16]Fan R M, Pang X P, Wang Z N. 2007. The analysis of whole sale-retail marketing margin and price transmission in Beijing vegetable markets. Commercial Research, 50, 110-114. (in Chinese)

[17]Fomby T B, Hill R C, Johnson S R. 1988. Advanced Econometric Methods. Springer-verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, New York. Gardner B L, Brooks K M. 1994. Food prices and market integration in Russia 1992-93. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 76, 641-646.

[18]Ge Y L, Wang H H, Sung K A. 2010. Cotton market integration and the impact of China’s new exchange rate regime. Agricultural Economics, 41, 443-451.

[19]Getnet K, Verboke W, Viaene J. 2005. Modeling spatial price transmission in the grain markets of Ethiopia with an application of ARDL approach to white teff. Agricultural Economics. 33, 491-502.

[20]Granger C W J. 1969. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37, 424-438 .

[21]Hu H P, Li C G. 2010. Agricultural products horizontal price transmission and vertical market jointing. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 1, 10-17. (in Chinese)

[22]Huang J K, Rozelle S. 1998. Market development and food demand in rural China. China Economic Review, 9, 25-45.

[23]Jayne T S, Jones S. 1997. Food marketing and pricing policy in eastern and southern Africa: a survey. World Development, 25, 1505-1527.

[24]Johansen S, Juselius K. 1990. Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration-with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-210.

[25]Johansen S. 1988. Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors. Journal Economy Dynamics Control, 12, 231-254.

[26]Johansen S. 1991. Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica, 59, 1551-1580.

[27]Li Z M, Xu S W, Dong X X, Li G Q, Liu H, Wang Y T. 2010. The short-term market price transmission mechanism of egg industry chain in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 43, 49514962. (in Chinese)

[28]Miller D J, Hayenga M L. 2001. Price cycles and asymmetric price transmission in the U.S. pork market. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 83, 551-562.

[29]Motamed M, Foster K A, Tyner W E. 2008. Applying cointegration and error correction to measure trade linkages: Maize prices in the United States and Mexico. Agricultural Economy, 39, 29-39.

[30]Narayan P K, Smyth R. 2004. Temporal causality and the dynamics of exports, human capital and real income in China. International Journal of Apply Economy, 1, 24-45.

[31]Phlips L. 1962. Common markets: towards a theory of market integration. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 10, 81-92.

[32]Sanjuán A I, Dawson P L. 2003. Price transmission, BSE and structural breaks in the UK meat sector. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 30, 155-172.

[33]Sanjuán A I, Gil J M. 2001. Price transmission analysis: a flexible methodological approach applied to European pork and lamb markets. Applied Economics, 33, 123-131.

[34]Seo B. 1998. Statistical inference on cointegration rank in error correction models with stationary covariates. Journal of Economics, 85, 339-385.

[35]Tian W M. 1998. Price Linkages in the Chinese Grain Market. the 10th Annual Conference of the Chinese Economic Studies Association of Australia, the University of Sydney, Orange, Australia.

[36]Wan G H, Zhou Z Y, Chen L B.1997. Integration of rice markets in China. Chinese Rural Economy, 8, 45-51. (in Chinese)

[37]Wang F, Chen J A. 2009. Analysis of price transmission mechanism of pig industry in China. Chinese Rural Economy, 7, 31-41. (in Chinese)

[38]Wang X Q, Weldegebriel H T, Rayner A J. 2007. Price transmission in vertically related markets. China Economic Quarterly, 16, 885-897. (in Chinese)

[39]Warell L. 2006. Market integration in the international coal industry: A cointegration approach. Energy Journal, 27, 99118. Wooldridge J M. 2006. Introductory Econometrics A Modern Approach. South-Western College Publishing. Mason, Ohio. Wu L P. 1999. The study of market integration about the wheat, corn and pig farmgate price in China. China Rural Survey, 4, 23-29. (in Chinese)

[40]Xu S W, Li Z M, Dong X X, Li G Q. 2010. An empirical study on the price transmission of agricultural products between production and marketing in China. Resources Science, 32, 2092-2099. (in Chinese)

[41]Yu W, Huang J K. 1998. Reform extent from rice market integration in China’s grain market. Economic Research Journal, 3, 25-28. (in Chinese)

[42]Zhang H Y. 2010. Mastering the agricultural rural economic development. [2010-1-6]. http://theory.people.com.cn (in Chinese)
[1] YU Wen-jia, LI Hai-gang, Peteh M. NKEBIWE, YANG Xue-yun, GUO Da-yong, LI Cui-lan, ZHU Yi-yong, XIAO Jing-xiu, LI Guo-hua, SUN Zhi, Torsten MÜLLER, SHEN Jian-bo. Combining rhizosphere and soil-based P management decreased the P fertilizer demand of China by more than half based on LePA model simulations[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(8): 2509-2520.
[2] LI Dong-qing, ZHANG Ming-xue, LÜ Xin-xin, HOU Ling-ling. Does nature-based solution sustain grassland quality? Evidence from rotational grazing practice in China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(8): 2567-2576.
[3] YANG Rui, XU Hang. Water diversion and agricultural production: Evidence from China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(4): 1244-1257.
[4] HOU Jing, ZHOU Li, Jennifer IFFT, YING Rui-yao. The role of time preferences in contract breach: Evidence from Chinese poultry farmers participating in contract farming[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(2): 623-641.
[5] FENG Lu, CHI Bao-jie, DONG He-zhong. Cotton cultivation technology with Chinese characteristics has driven the 70-year development of cotton production in China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(3): 597-609.
[6] CHU Zhen-dong, MING Bo LI Lu-lu, XUE Jun, ZHANG Wan-xu, HOU Liang-yu, XIE Rui-zhi, HOU Peng, WANG Ke-ru, LI Shao-kun . Dynamics of maize grain drying in the high latitude region of Northeast China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(2): 365-374.
[7] ZHOU Yong, YAN Xiao-yuan, GONG Song-ling, LI Cheng-wei, ZHU Rong, ZHU Bo, LIU Zhang-yong, WANG Xiao-long, CAO Peng. Changes in paddy cropping system enhanced economic profit and ecological sustainability in central China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(2): 566-577.
[8] LIU Ying-xia, Gerard B. M. HEUVELINK, Zhanguo BAI, HE Ping, JIANG Rong, HUANG Shao-hui, XU Xin-peng. Statistical analysis of nitrogen use efficiency in Northeast China using multiple linear regression and random forest[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(12): 3637-3657.
[9] Sheng-Han-Erin CHANG, YI Xiao-yan, Johannes SAUER, YIN Chang-bin, LI Fu-duo. Explaining farmers’ reluctance to adopt green manure cover crops planting for sustainable agriculture in Northwest China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(11): 3382-3394.
[10] MA Ji-liang, LI Fan, ZHANG Hui-jie, Khan NAWAB . Commercial cash crop production and households’ economic welfare: Evidence from the pulse farmers in rural China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(11): 3395-3407.
[11] PENG Yan-ling, Yanjun REN, LI Hou-jian. Do credit constraints affect households’ economic vulnerability? Empirical evidence from rural China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2021, 20(9): 2552-2568.
[12] SHAO Rui-xin, YU Kang-ke, LI Hong-wei, JIA Shuang-jie, YANG Qing-hua, ZHAO Xia, ZHAO Ya-li, LIU Tian-xu. The effect of elevating temperature on the growth and development of reproductive organs and yield of summer maize[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2021, 20(7): 1783-1795.
[13] QIAO Fang-bin, HUANG Ji-kun. Farmers’ risk preference and fertilizer use[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2021, 20(7): 1987-1995.
[14] ZHU Wen-bo, CHEN Yong-fu, ZHAO Jing, WU Bei-bei. Impacts of household income on beef at-home consumption: Evidence from urban China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2021, 20(6): 1701-1715.
[15] WANG Wen-xia, DU Jie, ZHOU Yan-zhi, ZENG Yong-jun, TAN Xue-ming, PAN Xiao-hua, SHI Qing-hua, WU Zi-ming, ZENG Yan-hua. Effects of different mechanical direct seeding methods on grain yield and lodging resistance of early indica rice in South China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2021, 20(5): 1204-1215.
No Suggested Reading articles found!