|
|
|
Economic growth and nutrition transition: an empirical analysis comparing demand elasticities for foods in China and Russia |
Christine Burggraf, Lena Kuhn, ZHAO Qi-ran, Ramona Teuber, Thomas Glauben |
1、College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, P.R.China
2、Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), Halle (Saale) 06120, Germany |
|
|
摘要 This study provides empirical evidence on the link between economic growth and nutrition transition in two emerging economies, China and Russia. Both countries have experienced rising average incomes, accompanied by an increasing rate of nutrition-related chronic diseases in recent years. Given the regional heterogeneity between these two countries, we analyze the extent to which income growth as a major driver of nutrition transition has a significant effect on the consumption of different food aggregates and how these effects differ between Chinese and Russian consumers. Our results indicate that with increasing household incomes over time the demand for carbohydrates decreases, while the demand for meat and dairy products, as well as fruits increases. This is a development generally known as nutrition transition. Further, we estimate a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) for nine different food aggregates for China and Russia. Our results indicate that in both countries all food aggregates have positive expenditure elasticities and are thus normal goods. Moreover, our results indicate that in 2008/2009 meat is still a luxury good in China yet a necessity good in Russia. For 2009, the highest own-price elasticities in China are found for non-meat protein sources and dairy products. Within the meat group, beef, poultry and mutton have the highest price elasticities in China. In Russia, the milk and dairy group, together with the vegetable group, is the most price-elastic food group in 2008. In line with the definition of a nutrition transition, our overall results underscore the finding that income growth in China and Russia tends to increase the demand for animal-based products much stronger than, for example, the demand for carbohydrates. Despite being a positive signal for problems of malnutrition in rural China, this trend of increasing meat consumption might further increase the incidence of chronic diseases in urban areas since there is convincing scientific evidence that increasing meat consumption, especially red and processed meat, is associated with an increased risk of chronic diseases.
Abstract This study provides empirical evidence on the link between economic growth and nutrition transition in two emerging economies, China and Russia. Both countries have experienced rising average incomes, accompanied by an increasing rate of nutrition-related chronic diseases in recent years. Given the regional heterogeneity between these two countries, we analyze the extent to which income growth as a major driver of nutrition transition has a significant effect on the consumption of different food aggregates and how these effects differ between Chinese and Russian consumers. Our results indicate that with increasing household incomes over time the demand for carbohydrates decreases, while the demand for meat and dairy products, as well as fruits increases. This is a development generally known as nutrition transition. Further, we estimate a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) for nine different food aggregates for China and Russia. Our results indicate that in both countries all food aggregates have positive expenditure elasticities and are thus normal goods. Moreover, our results indicate that in 2008/2009 meat is still a luxury good in China yet a necessity good in Russia. For 2009, the highest own-price elasticities in China are found for non-meat protein sources and dairy products. Within the meat group, beef, poultry and mutton have the highest price elasticities in China. In Russia, the milk and dairy group, together with the vegetable group, is the most price-elastic food group in 2008. In line with the definition of a nutrition transition, our overall results underscore the finding that income growth in China and Russia tends to increase the demand for animal-based products much stronger than, for example, the demand for carbohydrates. Despite being a positive signal for problems of malnutrition in rural China, this trend of increasing meat consumption might further increase the incidence of chronic diseases in urban areas since there is convincing scientific evidence that increasing meat consumption, especially red and processed meat, is associated with an increased risk of chronic diseases.
|
Received: 05 January 2014
Accepted:
|
Corresponding Authors:
ZHAO Qi-ran, Tel: +86-10-62736564,E-mail: zhaoqr.ccap@igsnrr.ac.cn
E-mail: zhaoqr.ccap@igsnrr.ac.cn
|
About author: Christine Burggraf, E-mail: burggraf@iamo.de; Lena Kuhn,E-mail: kuhn@iamo.de; Ramona Teuber, E-mail: teuber@iamo.de; Thomas Glauben, E-mail: glauben@iamo.de; |
Cite this article:
Christine Burggraf, Lena Kuhn, ZHAO Qi-ran, Ramona Teuber, Thomas Glauben.
2015.
Economic growth and nutrition transition: an empirical analysis comparing demand elasticities for foods in China and Russia. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 14(6): 1008-1022.
|
[1]Bai J F, Thomas I W , Bryan T L, Huang J K. 2010. Food awayfrom home in Beijing: Effects of wealth, time and “free”meals. China Economic Review, 21, 432–441.[2]Bai J F, Thomas I W, James S J, Bryan T L. 2013. Meatdemand analysis in urban China: To include or not to includemeat away from home? Agricultural & Applied EconomicsAssociation Annual Meeting. Washington, D.C.[3]Chen Q. 2010. Study on the meat consumption of urban andrural residents in China. MSc thesis, Chinese Academy ofAgricultural Sciences, Beijing. (in Chinese)[4]FAO. 2013. FAOSTAT. [2014-8-1]. http://faostat3.fao.org/download/T/TP/[5]EFuller F, Hayes D, Smith D. 2000. Reconciling Chinese meatproduction and consumption data. Economic Developmentand Cultural Change, 49, 23–43.[6]Jiang N H. 2002. Theories and methods to adjust national andprovincial meat products statistics. Journal of AgrotechnicalEconomics, 6, 11–20. (in Chinese)[7]Lu F. 1998. The lack fidelity and inconsistency about certainagricultural production and consumptions statistics in China.Chinese Rural Economy, 10, 47–53. (in Chinese)[8]Luo W C, Liu R. 2011. Analysis of meat price volatility in China.China Agricultural Economic Review, 3, 402–411.[9]Ma H Y, Huang J K, Frank F, Scott R. 2006. Getting rich andeating out: consumption of food away from home in urbanChina. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 54,101–119.[10]Ma H Y, Rae A, Huang J K, Rozelle S. 2004. Chinese animalproduct consumption in the 1990s. Australian Journal ofAgricultural and Resource Economics, 48, 560–590.[11]Ma H Y, Zhang Z R. 2000. Development of dietary market andestimation on Chinese residents’ diet away from home.Economic Survey, 6, 45–46. (in Chinese)[12]NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics of China). 2005–2013.China Statistical Yearbook. China Statistics Press, Beijing,China. (in Chinese)[13]Wang J J, Chen Y F, Zheng Z H, Si W. 2014. Determinantsof pork demand by income class in urban western China.China Agricultural Economic Review, 6, 452–469.[14]Wang J M, Yuan X G. 2000. Livestock products consumptionstructure and consumer behavior of Chinese urban and ruralresidents. Food and Nutrition in China, 2, 9–12. (in Chinese)[15]Wang J M, Zhou Z Y, Rodney J C. 2005. Animal productconsumption trends in China. Australasian AgribusinessReview, 13, 2–29.[16]Wang J M, Zhou Z Y, Yang J. 2004. How much animal productdo the Chinese consume? Empirical evidence fromhousehold surveys. Australasian Agribusiness Review,12, 1–16.[17]Xin X, Yin J, Jiang N H. 2003. The Market of China’s LivestockProducts: Regional Supply, Demand and Trade. ChinaAgriculture Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)[18]Yu X H, David A. 2014. Where have all the pigs gone?Inconsistencies in pork statistics in China. China EconomicReview, 3, 1–16.[19]Yuan X G, Wang J M. 2001. Is the China’s livestock productionstatistics overestimated? The survey on the livestockproducts consumption from six provinces in China. Chinese Rural Economy, 1, 48–54. (in Chinese)[20]Zhang X Q. 2010. Zhang Xiao Qiang, deputy director of theNational Development and Reform Commission of China,answers journalists’ questions on “Cold Chain Logistics Development Plan of Agricultural Products”. [2014-4-28]http://www.gov.cn/gzdt/2010-07/28/content_1665697.htm(in Chinese)[21]Zhang T T. 2012. Animal husbandry headlines. Modern Journalof Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine, 3, 3–6. (in Chinese)[22]Zhong F N. 1997. Analysis of the overestimation in China’smeat production statistics and its causes. Chinese RuralEconomy, 10, 63–66. (in Chinese) |
No Suggested Reading articles found! |
|
|
Viewed |
|
|
|
Full text
|
|
|
|
|
Abstract
|
|
|
|
|
Cited |
|
|
|
|
|
Shared |
|
|
|
|
|
Discussed |
|
|
|
|