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| Demographics, societal aging, and meat consumption in China |
| MIN Shi, BAI Jun-fei, James Seale Jr., Thomas Wahl |
1、Institute of Development and Agricultural Economics, Leibniz University Hannover, Hannover 30167, Germany
2、College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, P.R.China
3、Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611, USA
4、Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics, North Dakota State University, Fargo 58102, USA |
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摘要 Drawn on the data collected by surveying 1340 urban households from six cities in China, this paper estimates the impacts of demographic structure and population aging on household meat consumption, by jointly considering meat consumed at home and away from home. Based on the trajectories of population, a simple simulation on meat demand trend in China is conducted subsequently. The results suggest: 1) Meat consumed away from home averagely accounts for near 30% of household total meat consumption in terms of quantity, so that its omission likely leads to a significant underestimate of total meat consumption and misunderstanding the driving forces; 2) population aging significantly and negatively affects per capita meat consumption, suggesting that the expected meat demand in China without considering population aging will be overestimated. The findings from this study have important implications for better understanding the relative issues on China’s meat consumption under the situation of population aging.
Abstract Drawn on the data collected by surveying 1340 urban households from six cities in China, this paper estimates the impacts of demographic structure and population aging on household meat consumption, by jointly considering meat consumed at home and away from home. Based on the trajectories of population, a simple simulation on meat demand trend in China is conducted subsequently. The results suggest: 1) Meat consumed away from home averagely accounts for near 30% of household total meat consumption in terms of quantity, so that its omission likely leads to a significant underestimate of total meat consumption and misunderstanding the driving forces; 2) population aging significantly and negatively affects per capita meat consumption, suggesting that the expected meat demand in China without considering population aging will be overestimated. The findings from this study have important implications for better understanding the relative issues on China’s meat consumption under the situation of population aging.
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Received: 05 July 2014
Accepted:
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| Fund: The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71273009); USDA, Economic Research Service, Cooperative Agreement (58-3000-7-0060); USDA, the Agricultural Food Research Initiative of the National Institute of Food and Agriculture (2010-65400-20489); USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, th Emerging Markets Program Grant (2010-72); and Chinese Universities Scientific Fund (2014RC017). |
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Corresponding Authors:
BAI Jun-fei, Tel: +86-10-62738058,E-mail: jfbai@cau.edu.cn
E-mail: jfbai@cau.edu.cn
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| About author: MIN Shi, Tel: +49-511762-19928, E-mail: min@ifgb.uni-hannover.de; |
Cite this article:
MIN Shi, BAI Jun-fei, James Seale Jr., Thomas Wahl.
2015.
Demographics, societal aging, and meat consumption in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 14(6): 995-1007.
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