|
|
|
Is the crop insurance program effective in China? Evidence from farmers analysis in five provinces |
WANG Ke, ZHANG Qiao, Shingo Kimura, Suraya Akter |
1、Agricultural Information Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, P.R.China
2、Key Laboratory of Agri-information Service Technology, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081, P.R.China
3、Trade and Agricultural Directorate, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris 75775, France |
|
|
摘要 This paper aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the Chinese crop insurance program in terms of farmers’ utility and welfare. A simulation model based on the power utility function was first developed to evaluate the effectiveness of crop insurance. Then, the Monte Carlo approach was used to generate the datasets of area, price, yield, cost, and income based on the characteristics of representative farmers, which were clustered and calibrated using the farm-level data of 574 individual farmers from five Chinese provinces. Finally, the effectiveness of Chinese crop insurance was evaluated by comparing the certainty equivalence (CE) of farmers’ utility/welfare under alternative crop insurance scenarios. Government subsidy is a necessary premise for implementing the crop insurance program. The government should subsidize more than 50% of the crop insurance premium to motivate more farmers to participate in the program. The findings also show that the current crop insurance program in China has increased the farmers’ welfare but still need to be improved to achieve the Pareto improvement and to make full use of the financial fund of the government. This paper is believed to not only extend academic research but also has significant implications for policymakers, especially in the context of rapid development of Chinese crop insurance with much issues such as rate, subsidy and coverage level needed to be improved.
Abstract This paper aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the Chinese crop insurance program in terms of farmers’ utility and welfare. A simulation model based on the power utility function was first developed to evaluate the effectiveness of crop insurance. Then, the Monte Carlo approach was used to generate the datasets of area, price, yield, cost, and income based on the characteristics of representative farmers, which were clustered and calibrated using the farm-level data of 574 individual farmers from five Chinese provinces. Finally, the effectiveness of Chinese crop insurance was evaluated by comparing the certainty equivalence (CE) of farmers’ utility/welfare under alternative crop insurance scenarios. Government subsidy is a necessary premise for implementing the crop insurance program. The government should subsidize more than 50% of the crop insurance premium to motivate more farmers to participate in the program. The findings also show that the current crop insurance program in China has increased the farmers’ welfare but still need to be improved to achieve the Pareto improvement and to make full use of the financial fund of the government. This paper is believed to not only extend academic research but also has significant implications for policymakers, especially in the context of rapid development of Chinese crop insurance with much issues such as rate, subsidy and coverage level needed to be improved.
|
Received: 17 February 2014
Accepted:
|
Fund: The authors acknowledge the National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the 12th Five-year Plan period (2014BAL07B03-02) and Agricultural Risk Management Projet Cooperated with Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). |
Corresponding Authors:
ZHANG Qiao, Tel: +86-10-82109883, Fax: +86-10-82106261, E-mail: zhangqiao@caas.cn
E-mail: zhangqiao@caas.cn
|
About author: WANG Ke, Tel: +86-10-82106259, E-mail: wangke01@caas.cn; |
Cite this article:
WANG Ke, ZHANG Qiao, Shingo Kimura, Suraya Akter.
2015.
Is the crop insurance program effective in China? Evidence from farmers analysis in five provinces. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 14(10): 2109-2120.
|
Antón J, Kimura S. 2009. Farm level analysis of risk, and riskmanagement strategies and policies: Evidence from germancrop farms. Paper presented at the International Associationof Agricultural Economists Conference. Beijing, China.Chen X, Wang H H, Makus L D. 2007. Production risk andcrop insurance effectiveness: Organic versus conventionalapples. Paper Presented at the Economics and ManagementRisk in Agriculture and Natural Resources. Gulf Shores,USA.Coble K H, Dismukes R, Thomas S. 2007. Policy implicationsof crop yield and revenue variability at differing levelsof disaggregation. Paper presented at the AmericanAgricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting 2007.Portland, Oregon.Coble K H, Heifner R. 1998. The effect of crop or revenueinsurance on optimal hedging. In: Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Chicoga, USA.Coble K H, Heifner R G, Zuniga M. 2000. Implications of cropyield and revenue insurance for producer hedging. Journalof Agricultural and Resource Economics, 25, 432-452Coble K H, Miller J C, Zuniga M, Heifner R. 2004. The jointeffect of government crop insurance and loan programmeson the demand for futures hedging. European Review ofAgricultural Economics, 31, 309-330Coffey B K, Skees J R, Dillon C R, Anderson J D. 2001. Potentialeffects of subsidized livestock insurance on livestockproduction. Paper presented at the 2001 Annual Meeting.August 5-8 Chicago, IL.Harri A, Erdem C, Coble K H, Knight T O. 2009. Crop yielddistributions: A reconciliation of previous research andstatistical tests for normality. Review of AgriculturalEconomics, 31, 163-182Hazell P B, Pomareda C, Valdés A. 1986. Crop Insurance forAgricultural Development: Issues and Experrience. TheJohn Hopkins University Press for the International FoodPolicy Research Institute. Baltimore and London.Hennessy D A. 1998. The production effects of agriculturalincome support policies under uncertainty. AmericanJournal of Agricultural Economics, 80, 46-57Hou L L, Mu Y Y, Zeng Y Z. 2010. Empirical analysis on thefarmers willing of buying insurance effects and subsidiespolicy of agricultural insurance. Issues in AgriculturalEconomy, 4, 19-25 (in Chinese)Just R E, Weninger Q. 1999. Are crop yields normallydistributed? American Journal of Agricultural Economics,81, 287-304Kang M. 2012. Effect evaluation of government-supportedagricultural insurance in different schemes. MSc thesis,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, China. (inChinese)Kimura S, Thi C L. 2011. Farm level analysis of risk and riskmanagement strategies and policies: Technical note (OECDFood, Agriculture and Fisheries working paper). OECDPublishing, Paris.Lin C Y. 2001. An economic analysis of alternative riceinsurance policies in Taiwan. Taiwanness AgriculturalEconomic Review, 6, 235-253Mahul O, Stutley C J. 2010. Government Support to AgriculturalInsurance: Challenges and Options for DevelopingCountries. The World Bank, Washington, D.C. O’Donoghue E J, Key N, Roberts M J. 2005. Does risk matterfor farm businesses? The effect of crop insurance onproduction and diversification. Paper presented at the 2005AAEA Meeting. Providence, USA.Shi H. 2008. Review on the fiscal subsidy system for agriculturalinsurance in the United States. Insurance Studies, 4, 91-94(in Chinese)Sun X Y, Zhong F N. 2008. The welfare economic anlysis ofcrop insurance subsidy. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2,1-11 (in Chinese)Tuo G Z, G J Wang. 2003. Study on Chinese AgriculturalInsurance and Rural Social Security. Capital University ofEconomics and Business Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)Turvey C G. 1992. An economic analysis of alternative farmrevenue insurance policies. Canadian Journal of AgriculturalEconomics, 40, 403-426Wang H H, Hanson S D, Myers R J, Black J R. 1998. The effectsof crop yield insurance designs on farmer participation andwelfare. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 80,806-820Wang H H, Makus L D, Chen X. 2004. The impact of UScommodity programmes on hedging in the presence of cropinsurance. European Review of Agricultural Economics,31, 331-352Wu Y. 2005. Theoretical basis of agricultural insurance and theanalysis of its effectiveness. Social Sciences, 12, 20-25(in Chinese)Zhang Y H, Shi H. 2007. Subsideis, welfare and policy-orientedagricultural insurance: an intensive study based on welfareeconomics. Journal of Zhejiang University (Humanities andSocial Sciences), 37, 138-146 (in Chinese)Zhang Y H, Shi Q H, Gu H Y. 2005. A theoretical and positivestudy on the demand of crop insurance - based onthe questionnaires from 662 farmers’ households ofHenan province. The Journal of Quantitative & TechnicalEconomics, 4, 65-75 (in Chinese) |
No Suggested Reading articles found! |
|
|
Viewed |
|
|
|
Full text
|
|
|
|
|
Abstract
|
|
|
|
|
Cited |
|
|
|
|
|
Shared |
|
|
|
|
|
Discussed |
|
|
|
|