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Economic Growth, Demographic Change and Rural-Urban Migration in China |
ZHONG Fu-ning, LI Qing, XIANG Jing , ZHU Jing |
1 Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, P.R.China
2 Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, P.R.China |
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摘要 Is China able to maintain fast growth after three decades? This paper tries to answer this question by: 1) arguing that factors contributed to sustained long-run growth at supply side; 2) focusing on contributions of demographic dividend especially that of rural-urban migration; and 3) analyzing rural demographic change with information collected through village-wide household survey. Policy alternatives to realize remaining potential demographic dividend are proposed based on the analysis of changing rural demographic structure.
Abstract Is China able to maintain fast growth after three decades? This paper tries to answer this question by: 1) arguing that factors contributed to sustained long-run growth at supply side; 2) focusing on contributions of demographic dividend especially that of rural-urban migration; and 3) analyzing rural demographic change with information collected through village-wide household survey. Policy alternatives to realize remaining potential demographic dividend are proposed based on the analysis of changing rural demographic structure.
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Received: 19 January 2013
Accepted:
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Corresponding Authors:
Correspondence ZHONG Fu-ning, Tel: +86-25-84395735, E-mail: fnzhong@njau.edu.cn
E-mail: fnzhong@njau.edu.cn
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Cite this article:
ZHONG Fu-ning, LI Qing, XIANG Jing , ZHU Jing.
2013.
Economic Growth, Demographic Change and Rural-Urban Migration in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 12(10): 1884-1895.
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