河南省小麦规模化种植的生产现状及经济效益分析

doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2025.22.004

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

【目的】小农户生产经营模式已无法满足现代农业发展的需求，规模化种植是农业现代化的重要途径，可促进农业可持续发展。探明河南省不同种植规模下小麦施肥、灌水、病虫害防治以及产量和经济效益等现状，揭示不同种植规模对小麦生产的影响，以期为小麦的可持续生产提供参考依据。【方法】于2023年10月至2024年6月在河南省开展对小麦生产现状的调研，结合产量、肥料利用效率及经济效益，分析农田不同种植规模下的农田管理、小麦产量、肥料效率、经济效益的变化及协同作用。【结果】不同种植规模农户间小麦生产现状存在较大差异。小麦种植规模多为6.67—20.00 hm²，种植小麦品系多为郑麦系列，播种量以225 kg·hm^-2最多。种植规模为6.67—20.00 hm²的基肥施氮量和基肥施磷量均低于其他种植规模，种植规模≤33.33 hm²的追肥施磷量、施钾量均低于其他种植规模。小麦灌水多为3次，种植规模在20.00—33.33 hm²的灌水次数最多。小麦的病虫害防治施以杀虫剂和杀菌剂为主，种植规模为6.67—20.00 hm²时杀虫剂和杀菌剂施用次数最多。种植规模为6.67—20.00 hm²和20.00—33.33 hm²的产量和肥料偏生产力均显著高于其他种植规模，其中产量较其他种植规模分别显著提高了3.57%—20.80%和6.03%—23.67%，肥料偏生产力较其他种植规模分别显著提高了15.87%—43.02%和10.26%—36.10%。产投比以≤6.67 hm²显著大于其他规模，种植规模在≤33.33 hm²时净收益较高。【结论】河南省不同种植规模下小麦的种植、施肥、灌溉等管理措施存在较大差异，综合小麦产量、肥料偏生产力、净收益和产投比，最适种植规模为6.67—33.33 hm²。大部分小麦种植大户经营效率有较大的提升和优化空间,未来可采取更高效管理措施提高规模化种植的经营效率。

关键词: 小麦, 种植规模, 产量, 肥料偏生产力, 净收益

Abstract:

【Objective】The smallholder farming model has proven inadequate in meeting the demands of modern agricultural development, with large-scale planting emerging as a crucial pathway for agricultural modernization that facilitates sustainable agriculture development. This study aimed to investigate the current situation of wheat fertilization, irrigation, pest control, yield and economic benefits under different planting scales in Henan Province. Furthermore, it elucidated the impact of scale farming on wheat production, thereby providing a theoretical foundation and practical references for achieving sustainable wheat production. 【Method】A field investigation was conducted in Henan Province to examine the current situation of wheat production and its economic benefits from October 2023 to June 2024. By integrating yield with fertilizer use efficiency, this study systematically analyzed the variations in field management, wheat yield, fertilizer efficiency, and economic performance across different cultivation scales. 【Result】There were significant differences in wheat production among farmers with different cultivation scales. The majority of wheat cultivation areas in Henan Province fell within the range of 6.67-20.00 hm², with the Zhengmai wheat series being the predominant cultivar. The most common seeding rate was 225 kg·hm^-2. The application rates of nitrogen and phosphorus as basal fertilizers were lower in farms with 6.67-20.00 hm² compared with other planting scales. Phosphorus and potassium applied during topdressing were also lower than that of other planting scales ≤33.33 hm². Most surveyed farmers irrigated their fields three times, with the highest irrigation frequency observed in farms ranging from 20.00-33.33 hm². Pesticide use primarily involved insecticides and fungicides, with the highest application frequencies for both observed in the 6.67-20.00 hm² scale. Yields and partial factor productivity of fertilizers were significantly higher in farms sized 6.67-20.00 hm² and 20.00-33.33 hm² than in other scales. Wheat yields in these two groups were significantly increased by 3.57%-20.80%, and by 6.03%-23.67%, respectively, compared with other planting scales. Similarly, partial factor productivity improved by 15.87%-43.02%, and by 10.26%-36.10%, respectively. The output-input ratio was significantly higher in fields ≤6.67 hm² compared with other scales, while the highest net returns were observed at farm sizes ≤33.33 hm². 【Conclusion】Substantial variations in wheat management practices were observed across different farm scales in Henan Province. Comprehensive evaluation of yield, fertilizer partial factor productivity, net returns, and output-input ratio identified 6.67-33.33 hm² as the optimal cultivation scale. Substantial efficiency gaps were observed among large-scale wheat growers, indicating considerable potential for optimization through improved management practices. The adoption of more efficient management measures could significantly enhance the operational efficiency of different planting scales.

Key words: wheat, planting scales, yield, partial fertilizer productivity, net benefits

刘欢, 王高峰, 黄玉芳, 赵亚南, 杨雪, 叶优良. 河南省小麦规模化种植的生产现状及经济效益分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2025, 58(22): 4603-4616.

LIU Huan, WANG GaoFeng, HUANG YuFang, ZHAO YaNan, YANG Xue, YE YouLiang. Analysis of the Production Status and Economic Benefits of Large- Scale Wheat Cultivation in Henan Province[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2025, 58(22): 4603-4616.

图/表 7

图1

图2

图3

图4

图5

图6

图7

参考文献 53

[1]	公茂刚, 王如梦, 王学真. 新形势下我国农业发展面临的挑战及对策研究. 山东理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, 36(4): 5-18.
	GONG M G, WANG R M, WANG X Z. Research on the challenges and countermeasures of China’s agricultural development under the new situation. Journal of Shandong University of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), 2020, 36(4): 5-18. (in Chinese)
[2]	刘保花, 陈新平, 崔振岭, 孟庆锋, 赵明. 三大粮食作物产量潜力与产量差研究进展. 中国生态农业学报, 2015, 23(5): 525-534.
	LIU B H, CHEN X P, CUI Z L, MENG Q F, ZHAO M. Research advance in yield potential and yield gap of three major cereal crops. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2015, 23(5): 525-534. (in Chinese)
[3]	兰倩倩, 祝阳明. 测土配方施肥对小麦产量和经济效益的影响. 农业装备技术, 2025, 51(1): 24-26, 30.
	LAN Q Q, ZHU Y M. The impact of soil testing and formula fertilization on wheat yield and economic benefits. Agricultural Equipment & Technology, 2025, 51(1): 24-26, 30. (in Chinese)
[4]	石雄高, 裴雪霞, 党建友, 张定一. 小麦微喷(滴)灌水肥一体化高产优质高效生态栽培研究进展. 作物杂志, 2022(1): 1-10.
	SHI X G, PEI X X, DANG J Y, ZHANG D Y. Research progress on high-yield, high-quality, high-efficiency and ecology cultivation of wheat micro-sprinkling and drip fertigation. Crops, 2022(1): 1-10. (in Chinese)
[5]	SHEN J B, CUI Z L, MIAO Y X, MI G H, ZHANG H Y, FAN M S, ZHANG C C, JIANG R F, ZHANG W F, LI H G, CHEN X P, LI X L, ZHANG F S. Transforming agriculture in China: From solely high yield to both high yield and high resource use efficiency. Global Food Security, 2013, 2(1): 1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2012.12.004
[6]	连雪君, 毛雁冰. 土地细碎化必然导致土地生产效率降低? : 对土地细碎化与土地生产效率研究的批判性分析. 华中农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2013(6): 109-115.
	LIAN X J, MAO Y B. Does land fragmentation necessarily reduce land production efficiency? : Critical analysis on research of land fragmentation and land production efficiency. Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition), 2013(6): 109-115. (in Chinese)
[7]	史常亮, 张益, 郭焱, 朱俊峰. 耕地细碎化对农户化肥使用效率的影响. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(12): 2687-2700. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20191216
	SHI C L, ZHANG Y, GUO Y, ZHU J F. The impact of land fragmentation on farmer’s chemical fertilizer use efficiency. Journal of Natural Resources, 2019, 34(12): 2687-2700. (in Chinese) doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20191216
[8]	TITTONELL P, GILLER K E. When yield gaps are poverty traps: The paradigm of ecological intensification in African smallholder agriculture. Field Crops Research, 2013, 143: 76-90. doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2012.10.007
[9]	尹晓宇. 河南省种植大户化肥施用行为及影响因素研究[D]. 哈尔滨: 东北林业大学, 2016.
	YIN X Y. Study on the fertilizer application behavior and influencing factors of large growers in Henan Province[D]. Harbin: Northeast Forestry University, 2016. (in Chinese)
[10]	李文明, 罗丹, 陈洁, 谢颜. 农业适度规模经营: 规模效益、产出水平与生产成本: 基于1552个水稻种植户的调查数据. 中国农村经济, 2015(3): 4-17, 43.
	LI W M, LUO D, CHEN J, XIE Y. Moderate Scale Management of Agriculture: Scale Benefit, Output Level and Production Cost: Based on the survey data of 1552 rice growers. Chinese Rural Economy, 2015(3): 4-17, 43. (in Chinese)
[11]	MARIANO M J, VILLANO R, FLEMING E. Factors influencing farmers’ adoption of modern rice technologies and good management practices in the Philippines. Agricultural Systems, 2012, 110: 41-53. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2012.03.010
[12]	LU C H, FAN L. Winter wheat yield potentials and yield gaps in the North China Plain. Field Crops Research, 2013, 143: 98-105. doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2012.09.015
[13]	LU D J, LU F F, PAN J X, CUI Z L, ZOU C Q, CHEN X P, HE M R, WANG Z L. Manure limits wheat yield losses due to delayed seeding. Agronomy Journal, 2015, 107(6): 2294-2302. doi: 10.2134/agronj15.0008
[14]	CHAND R, LAKSHMI PRASANNA P A, SINGH A. Farm size and productivity: Understanding the strengths of smallholders and improving their livelihoods. Economic and Political Weekly, 2011, 46(26/27, Supplement: Review of Agriculture): 5-11.
[15]	丁吉萍, 黄季焜, 盛誉. 从单产和利润再看农户适度规模经营: 来自东北、华北农户粮食生产的实证分析. 农林经济管理学报, 2021, 20(1): 19-28.
	DING J P, HUANG J K, SHENG Y. Farming on an optimum scale from the yield and profit prospective: Evidence from grain production in northeast and North China. Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management, 2021, 20(1): 19-28. (in Chinese)
[16]	唐轲, 王建英, 陈志钢. 农户耕地经营规模对粮食单产和生产成本的影响: 基于跨时期和地区的实证研究. 管理世界, 2017, 33(5): 79-91.
	TANG K, WANG J Y, CHEN Z G. Influence of farmland management scale of farmers on grain yield and production cost: An empirical study based on different periods and regions. Management World, 2017, 33(5): 79-91. (in Chinese)
[17]	INNES R D, RAUSSER G C. Incomplete markets and government agriculture policy. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1989, 71(4): 915-931. doi: 10.2307/1242669
[18]	CHAVAS J P. Chapter 5 Structural change in agricultural production: Economics, technology and policy. Handbook of Agricultural Economics, 2001, 1: 263-285.
[19]	SHENG Y, CHANCELLOR W. Exploring the relationship between farm size and productivity: Evidence from the Australian grains industry. Food Policy, 2019, 84: 196-204. doi: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2018.03.012
[20]	王建英, 陈志钢, 黄祖辉, Thomas Reardon. 转型时期土地生产率与农户经营规模关系再考察. 管理世界, 2015, 31(9): 65-81.
	WANG J Y, CHEN Z G, HUANG Z H, REARDON T. Re- examination of the relationship between land productivity and farmers' scale of operation in the transitional period. Management World, 2015, 31(9): 65-81. (in Chinese)
[21]	杨宗耀, 仇焕广, 纪月清. 土地流转背景下农户经营规模与土地生产率关系再审视: 来自固定粮农和地块的证据. 农业经济问题, 2020, 41(4): 37-48.
	YANG Z Y, QIU H G, JI Y Q. Re-exploration of the inverse productivity-size relationship using the fixed farmers' fixed plots data in the context of land transfer. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2020, 41(4): 37-48. (in Chinese)
[22]	钟甫宁, 王兴稳. 现阶段农地流转市场能减轻土地细碎化程度吗? : 来自江苏兴化和黑龙江宾县的初步证据. 农业经济问题, 2010, 31(1): 23-32, 110.
	ZHONG F N, WANG X W. Can land transfer markets reduce land fragmentation currently? Evidence from Xinghua City of Jiangsu Province and Bin County of Heilongjiang Province. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2010, 31(1): 23-32, 110. (in Chinese)
[23]	许庆, 尹荣梁, 章辉. 规模经济、规模报酬与农业适度规模经营: 基于我国粮食生产的实证研究. 经济研究, 2011, 46(3): 59-71, 94.
	XU Q, YIN R L, ZHANG H. Economies of scale, returns to scale and the problem of optimum-scale farm management: An empirical study based on grain production in China. Economic Research Journal, 2011, 46(3): 59-71, 94. (in Chinese)
[24]	TAN S H, HEERINK N, KRUSEMAN G, QU F T. Do fragmented landholdings have higher production costs? Evidence from rice farmers in Northeastern Jiangxi Province, P.R. China. China Economic Review, 2008, 19(3): 347-358. doi: 10.1016/j.chieco.2007.07.001
[25]	祝伟, 祁丽霞, 王瑞梅, 张希玲. 基于玉米种植的农地规模对化肥减量增效的影响分析. 中国农业资源与区划, 2021, 42(10): 84-94.
	ZHU W, QI L X, WANG R M, ZHANG X L. Impact of farmland scale on fertilizer reduction and efficiency: Analysis based on corn planting. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2021, 42(10): 84-94. (in Chinese)
[26]	郑天祎, 张越杰, 宋诗学. 吉林省玉米种植家庭农场经营效率及规模研究. 玉米科学, 2022, 30(6): 185-190.
	ZHENG T Y, ZHANG Y J, SONG S X. Study on the management efficiency and scale of corn family farms in Jilin Province. Journal of Maize Sciences, 2022, 30(6): 185-190. (in Chinese)
[27]	袁思言, 阿布都热合曼·阿布迪克然木, 王岩. 农地适度规模经营测算及其影响因素研究—以江西省水稻种植为例. 农业科学研究, 2018, 39(3): 25-32.
	YUAN S Y, ABUDUREHEMAN A, WANG Y. Estimation of suitable scale management of farm land and analysis of impact factors—A case study for rice cultivation of province Jiangxi. Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2018, 39(3): 25-32. (in Chinese)
[28]	国家统计局. 中华人民共和国统计法. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2024.
	National Bureau of Statistics. The Statistics Law of the People’s Republic of China. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2024. (in Chinese)
[29]	温国昌, 李保军, 史明山, 杨璞, 范子洋, 张娜娜. 不同缓/控释肥对玉米产量. 经济效益及肥料利用率的影响. 安徽农业科学, 2024, 52(2):136-138.
	WEN G C, LI B J, SHI M S, YANG P, FAN Z Y, ZHANG N N. Effects of different slow/controlled release fertilizers on yield, economic benefit and fertilizer efficiency of maize. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2024, 52(2):136-138. (in Chinese)
[30]	聂胜委, 张浩光, 张巧萍, 许纪东, 张玉亭. 不同耕作方式和氮肥减施量对小麦产量及经济效益的影响. 河南农业科学, 2020, 49(6): 16-22.
	NIE S W, ZHANG H G, ZHANG Q P, XU J D, ZHANG Y T. Effects of reduced application rate of nitrogen on yield and economical benefit of wheat under different tillage methods. Journal of Henan Agricultural Sciences, 2020, 49(6): 16-22. (in Chinese)
[31]	周亚琼. 灌溉和氮肥施用梯度对华北平原小麦生长的影响[D]. 开封: 河南大学, 2017.
	ZHOU Y Q. Effects of irrigation and nitrogen addition on wheat growth in north China plain[D]. Kaifeng: Henan University, 2017. (in Chinese)
[32]	DELGADO-BAQUERIZO M, REICH P B, TRIVEDI C, ELDRIDGE D J, ABADES S, ALFARO F D, BASTIDA F, BERHE A A, CUTLER N A, GALLARDO A, et al. Multiple elements of soil biodiversity drive ecosystem functions across biomes. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2020, 4(2): 210-220.
[33]	何海兵, 杨茹, 薛明明, 武立权. 水稻规模化种植模式下产量及经济效益评估. 作物杂志, 2016(5): 152-155.
	HE H B, YANG R, XUE M M, WU L Q. Grain yield and economic returns of scale cultivation in rice. Crops, 2016(5): 152-155. (in Chinese)
[34]	张慎举, 张静, 郭振升, 田伟, 皇甫自起, 赵洪献. 豫东平原‘郑麦1860’不同播期播量试验的超高产效应. 中国农学通报, 2024, 40(17): 14-20. doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2023-0567
	ZHANG S J, ZHANG J, GUO Z S, TIAN W, HUANGFU Z Q, ZHAO H X. The super high yield effect of different sowing date and quantity experiments on ‘Zhengmai 1860’ in eastern Henan Plain. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2024, 40(17): 14-20. (in Chinese) doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2023-0567
[35]	陈素英, 张喜英, 毛任钊, 王彦梅, 孙宏勇. 播期和播量对冬小麦冠层光合有效辐射和产量的影响. 中国生态农业学报, 2009, 17(4): 681-685.
	CHEN S Y, ZHANG X Y, MAO R Z, WANG Y M, SUN H Y. Effect of sowing date and rate on canopy intercepted photo-synthetically active radiation and yield of winter wheat. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2009, 17(4): 681-685. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1011.2009.00681
[36]	周继泽, 欧行奇, 王永霞, 常萍. 河南省五大主导小麦品种适宜播量研究. 农学学报, 2019, 9(2): 1-6. doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas18020004
	ZHOU J Z, OU X Q, WANG Y X, CHANG P. Suitable sowing rate of five main wheat cultivars in Henan Province. Journal of Agriculture, 2019, 9(2): 1-6. (in Chinese) doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas18020004
[37]	吴良泉. 基于“大配方、小调整”的中国三大粮食作物区域配肥技术研究[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2014.
	WU L Q. Fertilizer recommendations for three major cereal crops based on regional fertilizer formula and site specific adjustment in China[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2014. (in Chinese)
[38]	王宜伦, 白由路, 王磊, 刘举, 韩燕来, 谭金芳. 基于养分专家系统的小麦-玉米推荐施肥效应研究. 中国农业科学, 2015, 48(22): 4483-4492. doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2015.22.009.
	WANG Y L, BAI Y L, WANG L, LIU J, HAN Y L, TAN J F. Effects of recommended fertilization based on nutrient expert in winter wheat and summer maize rotation system. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2015, 48(22): 4483-4492. doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2015.22.009. (in Chinese)
[39]	车升国. 区域作物专用复合(混)肥料配方制定方法与应用[D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2015.
	CHE S G. Design method and application formula of regional crop-based compound fertilizer[D]. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2015. (in Chinese)
[40]	靳欣婷, 孟志兴, 孟会生. 山西省家庭农场经营效率及其影响因素分析: 以400户家庭农场为例. 湖北农业科学, 2021, 60(9): 164-169.
	JIN X T, MENG Z X, MENG H S. Analysis of family farm operating efficiency and its influencing factors in Shanxi Province: Take 400 family farms as an example. Hubei Agricultural Sciences, 2021, 60(9): 164-169. (in Chinese)
[41]	张悦, 刘文勇. 家庭农场的生产效率与风险分析. 农业经济问题, 2016, 37(5): 16-21, 110.
	ZHANG Y, LIU W Y. Analysis of production efficiency and risks of family farm. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2016, 37(5): 16-21, 110. (in Chinese)
[42]	孔令成, 郑少锋. 家庭农场的经营效率及适度规模: 基于松江模式的DEA模型分析. 西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版), 2016, 16(5): 107-118.
	KONG L C, ZHENG S F. Research on operating efficiency and moderate scale of family farm: Based on DEA model’s analysis of Songjiang model. Journal of Northwest A&F University (Social Science Edition), 2016, 16(5): 107-118. (in Chinese)
[43]	朱启臻, 胡鹏辉, 许汉泽. 论家庭农场: 优势、条件与规模. 农业经济问题, 2014, 35(7): 11-17, 110.
	ZHU Q Z, HU P H, XU H Z. Discussion about family farm: Advantage, requirement and scale. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2014, 35(7): 11-17, 110. (in Chinese)
[44]	郭熙保. “三化”同步与家庭农场为主体的农业规模化经营. 社会科学研究, 2013(3): 14-19.
	GUO X B. Synchronization of “three modernizations” and large-scale agricultural management with family farms as the main body. Social Science Research, 2013(3): 14-19. (in Chinese)
[45]	ALI D A, DEININGER K. Is there a farm size-productivity relationship in African agriculture? Evidence from Rwanda. Land Economics, 2015, 91(2): 317-343. doi: 10.3368/le.91.2.317
[46]	MANJUNATHA A V, ANIK A R, SPEELMAN S, NUPPENAU E A. Impact of land fragmentation, farm size, land ownership and crop diversity on profit and efficiency of irrigated farms in India. Land Use Policy, 2013, 31: 397-405. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.08.005
[47]	李谷成, 冯中朝, 范丽霞. 小农户真的更加具有效率吗? 来自湖北省的经验证据. 经济学(季刊), 2010, 10(1): 95-124.
	LI G C, FENG G, FAN L X. Is the small-sized rural household more efficient? The empirical evidence from Hubei Province. China Economic Quarterly, 2010, 10(1): 95-124. (in Chinese)
[48]	张忠明, 钱文荣. 农户土地经营规模与粮食生产效率关系实证研究. 中国土地科学, 2010, 24(8): 52-58.
	ZHANG Z M, QIAN W R. Empirical research on the relationship between farmers' land management scale and food production efficiency. China Land Science, 2010, 24(8): 52-58. (in Chinese)
[49]	郑志浩, 高杨, 霍学喜. 农户经营规模与土地生产率关系的再探究: 来自第三次全国农业普查规模农户的证据. 管理世界, 2024, 40(1): 89-108.
	ZHENG Z H, GAO Y, HUO X X. Revisiting the relationship between farm size and land productivity: Evidence from large-scale farms in the third national agricultural census. Journal of Management World, 2024, 40(1): 89-108. (in Chinese)
[50]	陈杰, 苏群. 土地生产率视角下的中国土地适度规模经营: 基于2010年全国农村固定观察点数据. 南京农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2016, 16(6): 121-130, 155-156.
	CHEN J, SU Q. The moderate scale management of China’s land under perspective of land productivity: Based on fixed point rural survey(FPRS) data of year 2010. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition), 2016, 16(6): 121-130, 155-156. (in Chinese)
[51]	马斯霜, 白海波, 惠建, 王敬东, 李树华. 小麦主要品质性状研究进展. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(24): 1-5. doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2020-0563
	MA S S, BAI H B, HUI J, WANG J D, LI S H. Main quality characters of wheat: A review. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2021, 37(24): 1-5. (in Chinese) doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2020-0563
[52]	朱永昶. 土地规模化经营对农业减缓和适应气候变化的影响研究: 以山东省为例[D]. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2017.
	ZHU Y C. Effects of large scale farm operation on the mitigation and adaption to climate change in agriculture sector: Take Shandong Province as an example[D]. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 2017. (in Chinese)
[53]	徐志刚, 谭鑫, 郑旭媛, 陆五一. 农地流转市场发育对粮食生产的影响与约束条件. 中国农村经济, 2017(9): 26-43.
	XU Z G, TAN X, ZHENG X Y, LU W Y. The influence and constraints of the development of farmland transfer market on grain production. Chinese Rural Economy, 2017(9): 26-43. (in Chinese)