中国农业科学

• 农业宏观研究 •    下一篇

2020年中国粮食和食物安全发展战略与展望

卢良恕1;许世卫2   

  1. 1、中国农业科学院,北京 100081;
    2、中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京 100081
  • 出版日期:2007-12-31 发布日期:2007-12-31
  • 通讯作者: 许世卫(1962-),男,江苏如东人,研究员,研究方向为信息分析、食物安全与预警。
  • 作者简介:卢良恕(1924-),男,浙江湖州人,中国工程院院士,研究员,研究方向为农业发展、食物安全、农业科技、食物营养等。
  • 基金资助:
    中国工程院咨询项目“2020年中国粮食和食物安全发展战略”

Expectation of the Research Projection of China Grain and Food Safety Development Strategy in 2020

LU Liang-shu, XU Shi-wei   

  1. 1、Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081;
    2、Agricultural Information Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081
  • Online:2007-12-31 Published:2007-12-31

摘要: 围绕2020年我国粮食和食物安全开展战略研究,对我国的粮食与主要食物发展状况做了详细分析阐述,并针对粮食及主要品种、畜产品、水产品、水果、蔬菜等,分析了各自的生产、消费特点,预测了2010、2015和2020年三个阶段的产量和消费量,并提出了各主要食物品种的供需平衡表。根据分析研究结果,提出了今后15年全面建设小康社会过程中,我国粮食和食物的合理安排和相关政策、重大措施等战略咨询建议。

关键词: 粮食安全 , 食物安全 , 营养健康 , 资源环境 , 发展战略

Abstract: Strategy research on China grain and food safety in 2020 was conducted in this project. The main content of this research project was illustrated in this paper. The development of China grain and other foods was studied in detail. Firstly, the analysis of the production and consumption of the grain, livestock, aquatic product, vegetable and fruit was made. Then, the probable production yield and consumption quantity of them in 2010, 2015 and 2020 were forecasted, respectively. Finally, the balance sheet of supply and demand was put forward for each main food. Based on the research results, the strategic consultant suggestions such as the reasonable arrangement among grain and other foods, its related key policies and important countermeasures were put forward.

Key words: Grain safety , Food safety , Resident nutrition and healthy , Agriculture resources and environment , Development strategy