中国农业科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (6): 1032-1044.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2019.06.007
姜赛平1,2,张认连1,张维理1,徐爱国1(),张怀志1,谢良商3,冀宏杰1
收稿日期:
2018-08-01
接受日期:
2018-11-15
出版日期:
2019-03-16
发布日期:
2019-03-22
通讯作者:
徐爱国
作者简介:
姜赛平,E-mail: saipingjiang@163.com。
基金资助:
JIANG SaiPing1,2,ZHANG RenLian1,ZHANG WeiLi1,XU AiGuo1(),ZHANG HuaiZhi1,XIE LiangShang3,JI HongJie1
Received:
2018-08-01
Accepted:
2018-11-15
Online:
2019-03-16
Published:
2019-03-22
Contact:
AiGuo XU
摘要:
【目的】 土壤有机质(SOM)是评价土壤肥力和土壤碳库的重要指标。由于复杂的成土过程及人类活动的影响,SOM通常存在较强的时空变异性。研究SOM的时空变异特征可为农业种植结构调整、应对全球气候变化提供重要参考依据。【方法】以海南岛为研究区域,通过资料收集、野外调查、采样与分析获取全国第二次土壤普查(1980s)和2012年0—20 cm土层SOM含量数据,首先采用随机森林模型分别对两个时期训练集410个、128个样点SOM空间分布规律进行预测,并通过验证集103个、32个验证点对模型精度进行验证;采用统计学方法,结合农业统计数据,研究时隔30年海南岛不同土地利用类型SOM时空变异特征,并对驱动因素进行探讨。【结果】1980s SOM含量均值为20.57 g·kg -1,呈现出从西南向东北降低的空间分布趋势,全岛SOM含量主要集中在15—20和20—30 g·kg -1两个等级,共占全岛面积的75.29%;2012年SOM含量均值为15.89 g·kg -1,呈现出西南和东北高,西部、南部沿海低的空间分布趋势,SOM含量主要集中在10—15和15—20 g·kg -1两个等级,共占全岛面积的78.28%,而15—20和20—30 g·kg -1两个等级占全岛面积66.04%,同1980s相比减少了9.25个百分点。【结论】 (1)时隔近30年,海南岛SOM含量整体呈减少趋势。2012年SOM平均含量较1980s减少了4.68 g·kg -1,减少率为22.75%。其中水田的SOM含量减少最为明显,减少了6.42 g·kg -1,减少率为27.34%;其次为园地,减少了2.65 g·kg -1,减少率为14.25%;而旱地减少量最小,为1.28 g·kg -1,减少率为8.84%;(2)水稻连作改为稻菜轮作(水田连作改为水旱轮作)、林地开垦为园地、土地利用强度加大是造成海南岛SOM含量下降的主要原因。
姜赛平,张认连,张维理,徐爱国,张怀志,谢良商,冀宏杰. 近30年海南岛土壤有机质时空变异特征及成因分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2019, 52(6): 1032-1044.
JIANG SaiPing,ZHANG RenLian,ZHANG WeiLi,XU AiGuo,ZHANG HuaiZhi,XIE LiangShang,JI HongJie. Spatial and Temporal Variation of Soil Organic Matter and Cause Analysis in Hainan Island in Resent 30 Years[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2019, 52(6): 1032-1044.
表1
样点土地利用类型统计表1)"
土地利用类型 Land-use types | 作物类型 Crop types | 样点数 Number of samples |
---|---|---|
水田 Paddy field | 水稻 Rice、稻菜轮作 Rice crop rotation | 70 |
旱地 Dry land | 菜豆Bean、菊花Chrysanthemum、辣椒Pepper、辣椒-西瓜Pepper-watermelon、木薯Cassava、玉米Corn、菠萝Pineapple、甘蔗Sugarcane、甘蔗-香蕉Sugarcane-Banana香蕉Banana2) | 32 |
园地 Garden plot | 芒果Mango、荔枝Litchi、胡椒Piper nigrum、绿橙Green orange、红毛丹Rambutan、茶叶Tea、橡胶Rubber、槟榔Areca catechu、桉树Eucalyptus、桑树Mulberry3) | 60 |
表2
1980s、2012年RF参数拟合结果"
时期 Period | 建模变量 Variables | 决策树数量 ntree | 节点分裂次数 mtry | 袋外误差 OOB | 模型解释率 var (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1980s | x9、x1、x3、x7 | 500 | 1 | 115.967 4 | 17.58 |
1 000 | 1 | *115.668 8 | 17.79 | ||
1 500 | 1 | 115.736 2 | 17.75 | ||
2 000 | 1 | 115.982 4 | 17.57 | ||
2012 | x6、x7、x8、x1、x5、x9 | 500 | 2 | 47.892 6 | 19.15 |
1 000 | 2 | 47.839 6 | 19.24 | ||
1 500 | 2 | **47.728 5 | 19.42 | ||
2 000 | 2 | 47.834 0 | 19.24 |
表4
海南岛不同土地利用类型SOM含量统计特征"
土地利用类型 Land-use types | 1980s | 2012年 | SOM含量变化 Change of SOM contents (g·kg-1) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
样本数 Sample size | 均值±标准误差 Mean ± Stderr (g·kg-1) | 范围 Range (g·kg-1) | 样本数 Sample size | 均值±标准误差 Mean ± Stderr (g·kg-1) | 范围 Range (g·kg-1) | ||
水田 Paddy field | 607 | 23.48±0.57 a | 1.4—86.56 | 70 | 17.06±0.91 a | 4.43—38.12 | -6.42 |
旱地 Dry land | 245 | 14.48±0.70 c | 0.2—70.84 | 32 | 13.20±1.27 b | 3.85—27.81 | -1.28 |
园地 Garden plot | 138 | 18.60±0.93 b | 1.54—55.76 | 60 | 15.95±0.94 a | 3.16—35.3 | -2.65 |
总体 All | 990 | 20.57±0.43 | 0.20—86.56 | 162 | 15.89±0.59 | 3.16—38.12 | -4.68 |
表5
1985—2012年农业统计数据变化"
项目 Item | 1985—1987年1) Year 1985-1987 | 2010—2012年2) Year 2010-2012 | 变化值 Change | 变化率 Rate of change (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
总耕地面积Arable land area(hm2) | 434 118 | 421 324 | -12 794 | -2.95 |
水田面积Paddy field area(hm2) | 258 288 | 224 206 | -34 082 | -13.20 |
旱地面积Dry land area(hm2) | 175 830 | 197 118 | 21 288 | 12.11 |
园地面积(含热作) Garden plot area(include tropical crops) (hm2) | 428 064 | 825 301 | 397 236 | 92.80 |
热作面积Tropical crops area(hm2) | 386 864 | 646 249 | 259 385 | 67.05 |
橡胶面积Rubber area(hm2) | 328 825 | 505 825 | 177 000 | 53.83 |
橡胶面积/园地面积 Rubber area/Garden plot area(%) | 76.82 | 61.29 | -15.53 | -- |
总播种面积Total sown area(hm2) | 751 566 | 842 164 | 90 598 | 12.05 |
复种指数Multiple cropping index | 1.73 | 2.00 | 0.27 | -- |
水稻播种面积Rice sown area(hm2) | 395 371 | 321 412 | -73 959 | -18.71 |
蔬菜播种面积Vegetables sown area(hm2) | 32 440 | 223 032 | 190 592 | 587.52 |
水稻播种面积/总播种面积 Rice sown area/Vegetables sown area (%) | 52.61 | 38.16 | -14.44 | -- |
蔬菜播种面积/总播种面积 Vegetables sown area/Total sown area(%) | 4.32 | 26.48 | 22.26 | -- |
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