中国农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (21): 4415-4429.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2020.21.010
收稿日期:
2020-05-14
接受日期:
2020-07-30
出版日期:
2020-11-01
发布日期:
2020-11-11
通讯作者:
李勇
作者简介:
杨竣皓,E-mail:基金资助:
YANG JunHao(),LUO YongLi,CHEN Jin,JIN Min,WANG ZhenLin,LI Yong(
)
Received:
2020-05-14
Accepted:
2020-07-30
Online:
2020-11-01
Published:
2020-11-11
Contact:
Yong LI
摘要:
【目的】 定量分析全国范围内秸秆还田对3种粮食作物的产量效应,为秸秆还田技术的大面积推广应用提供科学依据。【方法】 本研究搜集了公开发表的相关文献274篇(截至2019年12月31日),整理了1 930组秸秆还田处理与秸秆不还田处理的农作物产量数据。运用整合分析(meta-analysis)方法(主要分析过程包括计算效应值、异质性检验、meta亚组分析、发表偏倚性检验),明确了秸秆还田对3种粮食作物产量的综合效应,进而量化分析了试验区域、年均气温、年均降雨量、土壤质地、土壤酸碱性、作物种类、种植制度、耕作方式、施肥模式、还田年限及秸秆还田量对秸秆还田增产效应的影响。【结果】 与秸秆不还田相比,秸秆还田显著提高了3种粮食作物产量,平均增产率约为8.06%(95%CI:7.52%—8.60%),分析结果不存在发表偏倚。东南地区秸秆还田增产率最高,达到9.37%(95%CI:8.11%—10.64%);年平均气温为5—10℃、年平均降雨量超过1 200 mm时,秸秆还田的增产效应较高;在黏土、壤土及砂土3种土壤质地中,秸秆还田的增产率分别为8.13%(95%CI:6.80%—9.49%)、9.04%(95%CI:8.06%—10.01%)、6.96%(95%CI:5.18%—8.77%);在弱酸性(pH<6.5)土壤中,秸秆还田的增产率较高。在小麦、玉米、水稻3种作物中,秸秆还田对玉米的增产率达到9.22%(95%CI:8.38%—10.05%);翻耕与免耕是最能发挥秸秆还田增产效应的耕作方式,增产率分别为11.05%(95%CI:10.05%—12.05%)、8.98%(95%CI:7.21%—10.79%)。不施肥时,秸秆还田显著提高农作物产量,增产率达到25.66%(95%CI:22.04%—29.38%),增产率显著高于正常施肥时的8.08%(95%CI:7.50%—8.68%),但整体的产量水平较低。秸秆还田的增产率达到9.56%(95%CI:8.21%—10.93%),且还田年限超过20年时增产效应显著提高(增产率为15.42%,95%CI:11.05%—19.95%)。此外,最适宜的秸秆还田量为半量还田(增产率为9.09%,95%CI:7.41%—10.79%)。【结论】 秸秆还田能够显著提高粮食作物产量,在不同的农业生产区以免耕或翻耕作业配合正常的施肥模式、适宜的秸秆还田量长期还田能够保持农作物的持续增产。
杨竣皓,骆永丽,陈金,金敏,王振林,李勇. 秸秆还田对我国主要粮食作物产量效应的整合(Meta)分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(21): 4415-4429.
YANG JunHao,LUO YongLi,CHEN Jin,JIN Min,WANG ZhenLin,LI Yong. Effects of Main Food Yield Under Straw Return in China: A Meta-Analysis[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2020, 53(21): 4415-4429.
表1
试验相关数据分类"
影响因素 Influence factor | 分类亚组 Classification of sup-group |
---|---|
试验区域 Experiment region | 东北、华北、西北、东南、西南 Northeast, North, Northwest, Southeast, Southwest |
年平均气温 Average annual temperature | <5℃、5-10℃、10-15℃、15-20℃ |
年平均降雨量 Average annual precipitation | <400 mm、400-800 mm、800-1200 mm、>1200 mm |
土壤质地 Soil texture | 黏土、壤土、砂土 Clayey soil, loam soil, sand soil |
土壤酸碱性 Soil pH | 弱酸性土壤、中性土壤、碱性土壤 pH<6.5、6.5<pH<7.5、pH>7.5 |
作物种类 Crop type | 小麦、玉米、水稻 Wheat, Maize, Rice |
种植制度 Plant system | 一年一熟制、一年两熟制 Single plant, Double plant |
耕作方式 Tillage method | 深耕、免耕、旋耕、翻耕 Deep tillage, No-till, Rotary tillage, Plowing |
施肥模式 Fertilization | 不施肥(F0)、不施氮肥(N0)、不施钾肥(K0)、低氮施肥(N-)、高氮施肥(N+)、正常施肥(F) |
还田年限 Experiment duration | 0-5、5-10、10-15、15-20、>20 |
秸秆还田量 Return amount | 少量还田(0-50%)、适量还田(50%-100%)、全量还田(100%)、过量还田(>100%) |
表3
Meta亚组分析结果"
解释变量 explaning variance | I2 (%) | Qm | PQ-val | R2 (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
试验区域 Region | 97.59 | 7.1078 | 0.1303 | 0.23 |
年均气温 Average annual temperatur | 97.60 | 2.9258 | 0.4028 | 0.03 |
年均降水量 Average annual precipitation | 97.58 | 10.4892 | 0.0148 | 0.51 |
土壤质地 Soil character | 97.60 | 6.0149 | 0.1109 | 0.12 |
土壤酸碱性 Soil pH | 97.54 | 34.9845 | <0.0001 | 1.96 |
作物种类 Crop type | 97.22 | 246.6566 | <0.0001 | 13.75 |
种植模式 Plant system | 97.60 | 6.5813 | 0.0103 | 0.39 |
耕作方式 Tillage method | 97.51 | 59.3379 | <0.0001 | 3.04 |
肥料运筹 Fertilization | 97.44 | 120.1434 | <0.0001 | 6.52 |
还田年限 Return duration | 97.56 | 25.4725 | <0.0001 | 1.28 |
秸秆还田量 Straw amount | 97.60 | 1.9179 | 0.5896 | 0.00 |
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