中国农业科学 ›› 2012, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (11): 2168-2179.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2012.11.005
霍治国, 李茂松, 李娜, 王丽, 黄大鹏, 王春艳
收稿日期:
2011-03-28
出版日期:
2012-06-01
发布日期:
2011-12-01
通讯作者:
通信作者李茂松,Tel:010-82106022;E-mail:lims868@yahoo.cn
作者简介:
霍治国,Tel:010-68408953;E-mail:huozhigg@cams.cma.gov.cn
基金资助:
国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201006026)
HUO Zhi-Guo, LI Mao-Song, LI Na, WANG Li, HUANG Da-Peng, WANG Chun-Yan
Received:
2011-03-28
Online:
2012-06-01
Published:
2011-12-01
摘要: 基于已有研究成果,采用农作物病虫害发生危害时空变化对季节性变暖时空变化响应事实检测的方法,系统分析和汇总季节性变暖对农作物病虫害影响的已有观测事实及其变化规律性,提出其影响的最新认知,并对今后的发展方向进行展望。已有影响事实检测表明:暖冬可使病虫进入越冬阶段推迟,延长病菌冬前侵染、冬中繁殖时间,降低害虫越冬死亡率,增加冬后菌源和虫源基数;病虫害发生期、迁入期、危害期提前;越冬北界北移、海拔上限高度升高;持续暖冬可使冬后虫源基数显著增加。与常年相比,全国性暖冬年冬中病菌繁殖侵染率可比冬前增加50%以上、冬中害虫存活率可达常年的1—2倍,冬后菌源、虫源基数增加1倍以上;持续暖冬冬后虫源基数可达常年的5倍以上;病害始见期、虫害发生期提前5 d以上,最早可分别提前20、30 d以上;稻飞虱越冬北界北移2—4个纬度,小麦条锈病越冬海拔上限高度升高100—300 m。暖春有利于病虫害危害期提前、扩展速度加快、发生程度加重。炎夏可使一些病菌越夏的海拔下限高度增加、面积和菌量减少,一些害虫发育历期延长、死亡率增加。暖秋有利于害虫滞留危害,发生代数可比常年增加1个代次。季节性变暖对农作物病虫害影响的时空变化及其规律性、发生与灾变的影响预估、风险评估及适应对策将是未来需要重点解决的关键问题。
霍治国, 李茂松, 李娜, 王丽, 黄大鹏, 王春艳. 季节性变暖对中国农作物病虫害的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(11): 2168-2179.
HUO Zhi-Guo, LI Mao-Song, LI Na, WANG Li, HUANG Da-Peng, WANG Chun-Yan. Impacts of Seasonal Climate Warming on Crop Diseases and Pests in China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(11): 2168-2179.
[1]霍治国, 王石立. 农业和生物气象灾害. 北京: 气象出版社, 2009: 1-15, 163-213, 267-281. Huo Z G, Wang S L. Agrometeorological and Biometeorological Disaster. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2009: 1-15, 163-213, 267-281. (in Chinese) [2]丁一汇, 任国玉, 赵宗慈, 徐 影, 罗 勇, 李巧萍, 张 锦. 中国气候变化的检测及预估. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2007, 1(1): 1-10. Ding Y H, Ren G Y, Zhao Z C, Xu Y, Luo Y, Li Q P, Zhang J. Detection, attribution and projection of climate change over China. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2007, 1(1): 1-10. (in Chinese ) [3]林而达, 许吟隆, 蒋金荷, 李玉娥, 杨 修, 张建云, 李从先, 吴绍洪, 赵宗群, 吴建国, 居 辉, 严昌荣, 王守荣, 刘允芬, 杜碧兰, 赵成义, 秦保芳, 刘春蓁, 黄朝迎, 张小全, 马世铭. 气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅱ): 气候变化的影响与适应. 气候变化研究进展, 2006, 2(2): 51-56. Lin E D, Xu Y L, Jiang J H, Li Y E, Yang X, Zhang J Y, Li C X, Wu S H, Zhao Z Q, Wu J G, Ju H, Yan C R, Wang S R, Liu Y F, Du B L, Zhao C Y, Qin B F, Liu C Z, Huang C Y, Zhang X Q, Ma S M. National assessment report of climate change (Ⅱ): climate change impacts and adaptation. Advance in Climate Change Research, 2006, 2(2): 51-56. (in Chinese) [4]居 煇, 许吟隆, 熊 伟. 气候变化对我国农业的影响. 环境保护, 2007(11): 71-73. Ju H, Xu Y L, Xiong W. The impacts of climate change on agriculture in China. Environmental Protection, 2007(11): 71-73. (in Chinese) [5]云雅如, 方修琦, 王丽岩, 田 青. 我国作物种植界线对气候变暖的适应性响应. 作物杂志, 2007(3): 20-23. Yun Y R, Fang X Q, Wang L Y, Tian Q. Adaptable responses of crops planting boundaries to climate warming in China. Crops, 2007(3): 20-23. (in Chinese) [6]Thomson L J, Macfadyen S, Hoffmann A A. Predicting the effects of climate change on natural enemies of agricultural pests. Biological Control, 2010, 52(3): 296-306. [7]Gould E A, Higgs S. Impact of climate change and other factors on emerging arbovirus diseases. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2009, 103(2): 109-121. [8]Stoate C, Báldi A, Beja P, Boatman N D, Herzon I, van Doorn A, de Snoo G R, Rakosy L, Ramwell C. Ecological impacts of early 21st century agricultural change in Europe-A review. Journal of Environmental Management, 2009, 91(1): 22-46. [9]任国玉, 初子莹, 周雅清, 徐铭志, 王 颖, 唐国利, 翟盘茂, 邵雪梅, 张爱英, 陈正洪, 郭 军, 刘洪滨, 周江兴, 赵宗慈, 张 莉, 白虎志, 刘学峰, 唐红玉. 中国气温变化研究最新进展. 气候与环境研究, 2005, 10(4): 701-716. Ren G Y, Chu Z Y, Zhou Y Q, Xu M Z, Wang Y, Tang G L, Zhai P M, Shao X M, Zhang A Y, Chen Z H, Guo J, Liu H B, Zhou J X, Zhao Z C, Zhang L, Bai H Z, Liu X F, Tang H Y. Recent progresses in studies of regional temperature changes in China. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2005, 10(4): 701-716. (in Chinese) [10]王 凌, 张 强, 陈 峪, 龚道溢. 1956-2005年中国暖冬和冬季温度变化. 气候变化研究进展, 2007, 3(1): 26-30. Wang L, Zhang Q, Chen Y, Gong D Y. Changes of warmer winter and winter temperature over China in the past 50 years. Advances in Climate Change Research, 2007, 3(1): 26-30. (in Chinese) [11]陈 峪, 任国玉, 王 凌, 邹旭恺, 张 强. 近56年我国暖冬气候事件变化. 应用气象学报, 2009, 20(5): 539-545. Chen Y, Ren G Y, Wang L, Zou X K, Zhang Q. Temporal change of warm winter events over the last 56 years in China. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 2009, 20(5): 539-545. (in Chinese) [12]李梅花, 王爱红. 2007年河南许昌小麦纹枯病重发原因分析. 中国植保导刊, 2008, 28(1): 21-22. Li M H, Wang A H. Analysis on causes of serious occurrence of wheat sharp eyespot in Xuchang of Henan Province in 2007. China Plant Protection, 2008, 28(1): 21-22. (in Chinese) [13]刘光法, 刘国清. 枣阳市1998年小麦纹枯病大发生特点及原因分析. 湖北植保, 1998(6): 12-13. Liu G F, Liu G Q. Analysis on characteristics and causes of serious occurrence of wheat sharp eyespot in Zaoyang of Hubei Province in 1998. Hubei Plant Protection, 1998(6): 12-13. (in Chinese) [14]居为民, 高 苹, 武金岗. 气候条件对麦类纹枯病发生趋势影响的研究. 植物保护, 2000, 26(2): 20-22. Ju W M, Gao P, Wu J G. Effect of climate on occurrence trend of wheat sharp eyespot. Plant Protection, 2000, 26(2): 20-22. (in Chinese) [15]黄朝炎, 王长青, 张 君. 襄樊市小麦条锈病发生流行的基本规律及治理对策. 湖北植保, 2004(5): 35-36. Huang C Y, Wang C Q, Zhang J. The epidemics and countermeasures of wheat stripe rust in Xiangfan of Hubei Province. Hubei Plant Protection, 2004(5): 35-36. (in Chinese) [16]王秋音, 张 君, 都爱军. 2002年小麦条锈病发生特点及原因分析. 农村经济与科技, 2003(2): 6-7. Wang Q Y, Zhang J, Du A J. Occurrence characteristics and reason analysis of wheat stripe rust in 2002. Rural Economy and Science-Technology, 2003(2): 6-7. (in Chinese) [17]刘万才, 邵振润. 我国小麦白粉病大区流行的气候因素分析. 植保技术与推广, 1998, 18(1): 3-5. Liu W C, Shao Z R. Analysis on climatic factor for epidemiology of wheat powdery mildew in China. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 1998, 18(1): 3-5. (in Chinese) [18]Coakley S M. The effect of climate variability on stripe rust of wheat in the Pacific Northwest. Phytopathology, 1978, 68: 207-212. [19]Rosenzweig C, Lglesias A, Yang X B, Epstein P R, Chivian E. Climate change and extreme weather events: implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests. Global Change & Human Health, 2001, 2(2): 90-104. [20]敖淑平. 渝东地区近年气候变化与农作物病虫害演替趋势分析. 植物医生, 2008, 21(5): 4-5. Ao S P. Analysis of climate change on succession trend of crop diseases and pests in eastern Chongqing area in recent years. Plant Doctor, 2008, 21(5): 4-5. (in Chinese) [21]王月娇, 陈 辉. 海南文昌稻飞虱发生规律及防治对策. 农技服务, 2007, 24(10): 48, 84. Wang Y J, Chen H. Occurrence characteristics and control measures of rice planthopper in Wenchang of Hainan Province. Serves of Agricultural Technology, 2007, 24(10): 48, 84. (in Chinese) [22]Kiritani K. Predicting impacts of global warming on population dynamics and distribution of arthropods in Japan. Population Ecology, 2006, 48(1): 5-12. [23]Kiritani K. The impact of global warming and land-use change on the pest status of rice and fruit bugs (Heteroptera) in Japan. Global Change Biology, 2007, 13(8): 1586-1595. [24]吴微微. 兴城地区玉米螟重发原因及防治对策. 现代农业科技, 2009(17): 165, 167. Wu W W. Causes of serious occurrence and countermeasures of corn borer in Xingcheng of Liaoning Province. Modern Agricultural Sciences and Technology, 2009(17): 165, 167. (in Chinese) [25]齐 立, 邓俊俊, 周登文. 荆州市棉花主要病虫发生状况及原因分析. 湖北植保, 2009(5): 28-30. Qi L, Deng J J, Zhou D W. Occurrence characteristics and reason analysis of major cotton diseases and pests in Jingzhou of Hubei Province. Hubei Plant Protection, 2009(5): 28-30. (in Chinese) [26]张立良, 沈维冰, 刘成社, 任翠龙. 油菜菌核病发生、危害与气象因子的关系. 安徽农业科学, 2000, 28(6): 776, 793. Zhang L L, Shen W B, Liu C S, Ren C L. The relationship between the occurrence and damage of rape Sclerotinia rot and climatic factors. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2000, 28(6): 776, 793. (in Chinese) [27]翟宗清, 胡为侦, 杭德龙, 何成舟, 朱保平, 岳葆春. 巢湖市2002年油菜菌核病大发生原因及防治措施. 安徽农业科学, 2003, 31(2): 280-281. Zhai Z Q, Hu W Z, Hang D L, He C Z, Zhu B P, Yue B C. Causes of serious occurrence and control measures of rape Sclerotinia rot in Chaohu of Anhui Province in 2002. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2003, 31(2): 280-281. (in Chinese) [28]万安民, 赵中华, 吴立人. 2002年我国小麦条锈病发生回顾. 植物保护, 2003, 29(2): 5-8. Wan A M, Zhao Z H, Wu L R. Reviews of occurrence of wheat stripe rust disease in 2002 in China. Plant Protection, 2003, 29(2): 5-8. (in Chinese) [29]Wan A, Zhao Z, Chen X, He Z, Jin S, Jia Q, Yao G, Yang J, Wang B, Li G, Bi Y, Yuan Z. Wheat stripe rust epidemic and virulence of Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici in China in 2002. Plant Disease, 2004, 88(8): 896-904. [30]齐 立, 邓俊俊, 裴霄敏, 周登文. 2007年荆州市小麦白粉病发生特点及防控对策. 湖北植保, 2007(5): 7, 24. Qi L, Deng J J, Pei X M, Zhou D W. Occurrence characteristics and control measures of wheat powdery mildew in Jingzhou of Hubei Province in 2007. Hubei Plant Protection, 2007(5): 7, 24. (in Chinese) [31]Chen X, Moore M, Milus E A, Long D L, Line R F, Marshall D, Jackson L. Wheat stripe rust epidemics and races of Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici in the United States in 2000. Plant Disease, 2002, 86(1): 39-46. [32]周红波. 广西稻飞虱的发生演变及其原因分析. 广西植保, 1996(1): 11-14. Zhou H B. Evolution of rice planthopper occurrence and its causes in Guangxi. Guangxi Plant Protection, 1996(1): 11-14. (in Chinese) [33]霍治国, 陈 林, 叶彩玲, 刘 玲. 气候条件对中国水稻稻飞虱为害规律的影响. 自然灾害学报, 2002, 11(1): 97-102. Huo Z G, Chen L, Ye C L, Liu L. Effect of climate on outbreak of China rice planthopper. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2002, 11(1): 97-102. (in Chinese) [34]黄成宇, 王华生, 林作晓. 2007年广西稻飞虱发生特点及原因分析. 广西植保, 2007, 20(增刊): 58-61. Huang C Y, Wang H S, Lin Z X. Occurrence characteristics and reason analysis of rice planthopper in Guangxi in 2007. Guangxi Plant Protection, 2007, 20(Suppl.): 58-61. (in Chinese) [35]顾家禄. 2007年红河州稻飞虱的突发性发生与应急防治对策. 云南农业科技, 2008(增刊): 123-125. Gu J L. Outbreak of rice planthopper and emergency control measures in Honghe of Yunnan Province in 2007. Yunnan Agricultural Science and Technology, 2008(Suppl.): 123-125. (in Chinese) [36]王华生, 林作晓, 唐洁瑜, 黄成宇. 广西水稻稻飞虱的发生演变规律及原因分析. 广西植保, 2009, 22(1): 27-29. Wang H S, Lin Z X, Tang J Y, Huang C Y. Analysis on evolution of rice planthopper occurrence and its causes in Guangxi. Guangxi Plant Protection, 2009, 22(1): 27-29. (in Chinese) [37]刘明春, 蒋菊芳, 魏育国, 徐生海. 气候变暖对甘肃省武威市主要病虫害发生趋势的影响. 安徽农业科学, 2009, 37(20): 9522-9525, 9531. Liu M C, Jiang J F, Wei Y G, Xu S H. Influences of climate warming on main diseases and insect pests’ occurrence trend in Wuwei City, Gansu Province. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2009, 37(20): 9522-9525, 9531. (in Chinese) [38]周春敏, 邢德利. 2004年小麦蚜虫发生特点及防治策略. 河北农业科技, 2004(8): 16. Zhou C M, Xing D L. Occurrence characteristics and control measures of wheat aphids in 2004. Hebei Agricultural Science and Technology, 2004(8): 16. (in Chinese) [39]陈 琦, 郭松景, 白红霞, 卓喜牛. 2007年漯河市小麦蚜虫暴发成灾原因分析及控制对策. 河南农业科学, 2008(10): 90-92. Chen Q, Guo S J, Bai H X, Zhuo X N. Analysis on causes of the outbreak of wheat aphids and control measures in Luohe of Henan Province in 2007. Journal of Henan Agricultural Sciences, 2008(10): 90-92. (in Chinese) [40]中国农业科学院植物保护研究所. 中国农作物病虫害. 第二版. 北京: 中国农业出版社, 1995: 124-144, 402-409. Plant Protection Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. Crop Diseases and Insect Pests. 2nd ed. Beijing: China Agriculture Press, 1995: 124-144, 402-409. (in Chinese) [41]湖南褐飞虱科研协作组. 湖南褐飞虱越冬虫源及发生. 植物保护, 1981(2): 21-23. Scientific Research Coordinated Group for Brown Planthopper of Hunan. Analysis on the population of the overwintering and occurrence of rice brown planthopper in Hunan. Plant Protection, 1981(2): 21-23. (in Chinese) [42]高君川, 祝小文, 王禄斌, 朱明华. 白背飞虱褐飞虱能在四川省米易县越冬. 昆虫知识, 1988, 25(2): 70-72. Gao J C, Zhu X W, Wang L B, Zhu M H. Whitebacked planthoppers and brown planthoppers could get through overwintering stage in Miyi, Sichuan Province. Chinese Bulletin of Entomology, 1988, 25(2): 70-72. (in Chinese) [43]汤金仪, 胡伯海, 王建强. 我国水稻迁飞性害虫猖獗成因及其治理对策建议. 生态学报, 1996, 16(2): 167-173. Tang J Y, Hu B H, Wang J Q. Outbreak analysis of rice migratory pests in China and management strategies recommended. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 1996, 16(2): 167-173. (in Chinese) [44]林凤鸣. 四川省盐源县白背飞虱越冬虫源调查. 昆虫知识, 1994, 31(5): 294, 303. Lin F M. Investigation on the population of the overwintering of whitebacked planthoppers in Yanyuan, Sichuan Province. Chinese Bulletin of Entomology, 1994, 31(5): 294, 303. (in Chinese) [45]雷国明. 修水县12月中旬发现稻飞虱活动. 植保技术与推广, 1997, 17(3): 42. Lei G M. Rice planthopper was found in second decade of december in Xiushui, Jiangxi Province. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 1997, 17(3): 42. (in Chinese) [46]许昌燊, 张文明. 气候变暖与台州农业. 浙江气象科技, 1998, 19(3): 26-27. Xu C S, Zhang W M. Relationship between climate warming and agriculture in Taizhou, Zhejiang Province. Journal of Zhejiang Meteorology, 1998, 19(3): 26-27. (in Chinese) [47]肖志强, 尚学军, 李宗明, 吴延山, 马敬霞. 陇南山区小麦条锈病流行对气候偏暖的响应及对策研究. 气象科学, 2007, 27(增刊): 140-146. Xiao Z Q, Shang X J, Li Z M, Wu Y S, Ma J X. Prevalence and preventability of epidemic wheat yellow stripe rust caused by warming climate in Longnan Mountainous Area. Scientia Meteorologica Sinica, 2007, 27(Suppl.): 140-146. (in Chinese) [48]刘洪彬. 立体气候与水稻病虫害防治的关系. 资源开发与市场, 1988, 4(2): 31-32. Liu H B. The relationship between stereoscopic climate and control measures of diseases and pests in rice field. Resource Development & Market, 1988, 4(2): 31-32. (in Chinese) [49]武建华, 陈 松, 陈彦旭, 王立翔, 孙凤平. 驻马店小麦条锈病发生气象指数预报方法探讨. 河北农业科学, 2008, 12(12): 20-21. Wu J H, Chen S, Chen Y X, Wang L X, Sun F P. Discussion on the forecasting methods of meteorological indexes for wheat stripe rust in Zhumadian. Journal of Hebei Agricultural Sciences, 2008, 12(12): 20-21. (in Chinese) [50]靳桂芝, 张会孔, 杨振霞, 孔凡凤. 二代棉铃虫发生量预报技术研究. 植物保护, 1995, 21(3): 30-32. Jin G Z, Zhang H K, Yang Z X, Kong F F. Study on the prediction technique of population quantity of cotton worm boll of second generation. Plant Protection, 1995, 21(3): 30-32. (in Chinese) [51]刘 媛, 王 琦, 杨宁权, 杨明进. 2008年宁夏小麦白粉病严重发生原因分析及防治策略. 宁夏农林科技, 2009(2): 19, 72. Liu Y, Wang Q, Yang N Q, Yang M J. Analysis on causes of serious occurrence and control measures of wheat powdery mildew in Ningxia in 2008. Ningxia Journal of Agriculture and Forestry Science and Technology, 2009(2): 19, 72. (in Chinese) [52]刘燕强, 雷贤富, 曾永亮, 彭 彬, 谭莹琦, 阮慈军, 童 泉, 刘艳芳. 春季气温变暖导致禾谷缢管蚜时段性衰减的原因研究. 中国植保导刊, 2009, 29(5): 9-11. Liu Y Q, Lei X F, Zeng Y L, Peng B, Tan Y Q, Ruan C J, Tong Q, Liu Y F. Study on periodical reduction of Rhopalosiphum padi resulted from warmer climate in spring. China Plant Protection, 2009, 29(5): 9-11. (in Chinese) [53]李宗明, 肖志强, 马 云, 孟总彦. 陇南小麦条锈病越夏菌量对流行的影响研究初报. 植保技术与推广, 2001, 21(9): 21-22. Li Z M, Xiao Z Q, Ma Y, Meng Z Y. The impact of the abundance of over summer inocula in Longnan area on the epidemic of wheat strip rust disease. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 2001, 21(9): 21-22. (in Chinese) [54]何 理, 李公平, 穆灵仙, 张明春, 何俊霞. 崆峒区控制小麦条锈病越夏菌源应采取的措施. 甘肃农业科技, 2007(4): 26-27. He L, Li G P, Mu L X, Zhang M C, He J X. Control countermeasures of the over-summering inoculum source of wheat strip rust in Kongtong City, Gansu Province. Gansu Agricultural Science and Technology, 2007(4): 26-27. (in Chinese) [55]于思勤, 王安超, 李新金, 薛龙毅, 于玉建. 河南省小麦条锈病越夏规律初步研究. 中国植保导刊, 2010, 30(5): 8-12, 18. Yu S Q, Wang A C, Li X J, Xue L Y, Yu Y J. Preliminary study on over-summer characteristics of Puccinia striiformis in Henan Province. China Plant Protection, 2010, 30(5): 8-12, 18. (in Chinese) [56]龙 玲, 刘红梅, 冯明义, 陆绍炎, 莫纯碧, 王 军, 姜府文. 赫章县小麦条锈病越夏状况调查. 贵州农业科学, 2009, 37(9): 104-106. Long L, Liu H M, Feng M Y, Lu S Y, Mo C B, Wang J, Jiang F W. The investigation of over-summer status for wheat strip rust. Guizhou Agricultural Sciences, 2009, 37(9): 104-106. (in Chinese) [57]李伯宁, 周益林, 段霞瑜. 小麦白粉病与温度的定量关系研究. 植物保护, 2008, 34(3): 22-25. Li B N, Zhou Y L, Duan X Y. Effects of temperature on wheat powdery mildew. Plant Protection, 2008, 34(3): 22-25. (in Chinese) [58]简桂良, 马 存, 陈其煐. 豫北棉区气温与湿度对黄萎病发生的关系分析. 植物病理学报, 1995, 25(1): 17-22. Jian G L, Ma C, Chen Q Y. Effect of temperature and humidity to cotton Verticillium wilt in northern Henan Province. Acta Phytopathologica Sinica, 1995, 25(1): 17-22. (in Chinese) [59]朱蕴茜, 潘益农, 沙光明, 秦玉金, 宗培书, 丁 涛. 扬州地区水稻病虫害和温、湿度关系的调查报告. 中国西部科技(学术), 2007(15): 29-32. Zhu Y Q, Pan Y N, Sha G M, Qin Y J, Zong P S, Ding T. The relationship between rice plant diseases and insect pests and temperature and humidity in Yangzhou area. Science and Technology of West China, 2007(15): 29-32. (in Chinese) [60]胡英华, 左秀峰, 苏加岱, 刘汉舒. 灰飞虱发育起点温度及有效积温的研究. 山东农业科学, 2010(1): 75-77. Hu Y H, Zuo X F, Su J D, Liu H S. Study on threshold temperature and effective accumulated temperature of Laodelphax striatellus. Shandong Agricultural Sciences, 2010(1): 75-77. (in Chinese) [61]张爱民, 刘向东. 灰飞虱的种群特性及其与温度的关系. 昆虫知识, 2010, 47(2): 326-330. Zhang A M, Liu X D. Population characteristics of Laodelphax striatellus and the relationship with temperature. Chinese Bulletin of Entomology, 2010, 47(2): 326-330. (in Chinese) [62]齐国君, 秦冉冉, 肖满开, 郑兆阳, 江 潮, 程遐年, 张孝羲, 翟保平. 安徽安庆混作稻区稻纵卷叶螟第三、四代发生规律研究. 中国水稻科学, 2008, 22(5): 513-518. Qi G J, Qin R R, Xiao M K, Zheng Z Y, Jiang C, Cheng X N, Zhang X X, Zhai B P. Occurrence of the third and fourth generations of Cnaphalocrocis medinalis in the mixed cropping rice region in Anqing, Anhui Province. Chinese Journal of Rice Science, 2008, 22(5): 513-518. (in Chinese) [63]通州市植物保护指导站. 2005—2006年沿江地区四代褐飞虱暴发成灾的原因分析及其控制对策. 农药市场信息, 2006(23): 28-30. Tongzhou Plant Protection Center. Analysis on the outbreak causes of the fourth generation of brown planthoppers and control measures in the Yangtze River Valley in 2005 and 2006. Pesticide Market News, 2006(23): 28-30. (in Chinese) [64]俞善贤. 气候变暖加重虫害. 农村信息报, 2007年3月21日第B03版. Yu S X. Aggravation of insect pest with climate warming. Rural Information, 2007-3-21, B03. (in Chinese) [65]盛承发. 1992年华北棉区北部棉铃虫出现不完全第五代. 昆虫知识, 1993, 30(1): 47. Sheng C F. First appearance of the incomplete fifth generation of cotton bollworm in the northern China cotton area in 1992. Chinese Bulletin of Entomology, 1993, 30(1): 47. (in Chinese) [66]骆丽楠, 顾 泽, 潘欣葆, 向 华. 气候条件对晚稻褐稻虱大暴发的影响分析. 安徽农业科学, 2009, 37(6): 2598-2600. Luo L N, Gu Z, Pan X B, Xiang H. Effects analysis of climatic conditions on the great outbreak of brown planthopper in late rice field. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2009, 37(6): 2598-2600. (in Chinese) [67]霍治国, 李茂松, 王 丽, 温泉沛, 肖晶晶, 黄大鹏, 王春艳. 气候变暖对中国农作物病虫害的影响. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(10): 1926-1934. Huo Z G, Li M S, Wang L, Wen Q P, Xiao J J, Huang D P, Wang C Y. Impacts of climate warming on crop diseases and pests in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(10): 1926-1934. (in Chinese) [68]霍治国, 李茂松, 王 丽, 肖晶晶, 黄大鹏, 王春艳. 降水变化对中国农作物病虫害的影响. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(10): 1935-1945. Huo Z G, Li M S, Wang L, Xiao J J, Huang D P, Wang C Y. Impacts of precipitation variations on crop diseases and pests in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(10): 1935-1945. (in Chinese) |
[1] | 赵政鑫,王晓云,田雅洁,王锐,彭青,蔡焕杰. 未来气候条件下秸秆还田和氮肥种类对夏玉米产量及土壤氨挥发的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2023, 56(1): 104-117. |
[2] | 郭世博,张方亮,张镇涛,周丽涛,赵锦,杨晓光. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度的可能影响XIV.东北大豆高产稳产区及农业气象灾害分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(9): 1763-1780. |
[3] | 任义方,杨章平,零丰华,肖良文. 江苏奶牛热应激风险区划及其受气候变化的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(22): 4513-4525. |
[4] | 唐建昭,王靖,肖登攀,潘学标. 马铃薯生长模型的研究进展及发展前景[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(5): 921-932. |
[5] | 张卫建,严圣吉,张俊,江瑜,邓艾兴. 国家粮食安全与农业双碳目标的双赢策略[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(18): 3892-3902. |
[6] | 房蕊,于镇华,李彦生,谢志煌,刘俊杰,王光华,刘晓冰,陈渊,刘居东,张少庆,吴俊江,Stephen J HERBERT,金剑. 大气CO2浓度和温度升高对农田土壤碳库及微生物群落结构的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(17): 3666-3679. |
[7] | 王飞,孙增光,尹飞,郭彬彬,刘领,焦念元. 增温增CO2对间作玉米光合特性的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(1): 58-70. |
[8] | 弓开元,何亮,邬定荣,吕昌河,李俊,周文彬,杜军,于强. 青藏高原高寒区青稞光温生产潜力和产量差时空分布特征及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(4): 720-733. |
[9] | 王鸣雷,史文娇. 中国北方新增耕地的时空变化及驱动因素分区[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(12): 2435-2449. |
[10] | 孙建飞,郑聚锋,程琨,叶仪,庄园,潘根兴. 面向自愿减排碳交易的生物质炭基肥固碳减排计量方法研究[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(23): 4470-4484. |
[11] | 张镇涛,杨晓光,高继卿,王晓煜,白帆,孙爽,刘志娟,明博,谢瑞芝,王克如,李少昆. 气候变化背景下华北平原夏玉米适宜播期分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(17): 3258-3274. |
[12] | 景立权,户少武,穆海蓉,王云霞,杨连新. 大气环境变化导致水稻品质总体变劣[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(13): 2462-2475. |
[13] | 刘维,李祎君,吕厚荃. 早稻抽穗开花至成熟期气候适宜度对气候变暖与提前移栽的响应[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(1): 49-59. |
[14] | 张婷,师志刚,王根平,高翔,夏雪岩,杨伟红,张喜瑞,田晓建,程汝宏,刁现民. 华北夏谷区2001—2015年谷子育种变化[J]. 中国农业科学, 2017, 50(23): 4475-4485. |
[15] | 孙新素,龙致炜,宋广鹏,陈长青. 气候变化对黄淮海地区夏玉米-冬小麦种植模式和产量的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2017, 50(13): 2476-2487. |
|