中国农业科学

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国家农业政策分析与决策支持系统项目研究回顾与展望

秦富,王东阳,李锁平,吕开宇   

  1. 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081
  • 出版日期:2007-12-31 发布日期:2007-12-31
  • 作者简介:秦富(1964-),男,内蒙古察右中旗人,教授,研究方向为农业经济理论与政策,农业技术经济。Tel:010-68919780;E-mail:qinfu@mail. caas.net.cn
  • 基金资助:
    世界银行第四期技术合作贷款项目“国家农业政策分析与决策支持系统开放实验室(A29)”部分成果

Analysis of Agricultural Policies and Decision Support System in China-Review and Expectation

QIN Fu, WANG Dong-yang, LI Suo-ping, LÜ Kai-yu   

  1. Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081
  • Online:2007-12-31 Published:2007-12-31

摘要: 本项目旨在建立国际先进的农业政策分析与决策支持系统开放实验室,为政府解决“三农”问题、实现城乡社会经济协调发展、建设现代农业和新农村提供科学有效的决策支持;同时,基于中国经验,为发展中国家农业政策研究和政策分析提供咨询服务。项目应用现代信息技术和经济计量学、数理经济学、公共经济学等理论、模型、数据库原理及方法,建立了不同领域子系统程序化、网络化的政策分析平台。通过系统集成,辅以相关专用经济分析软件和统计软件支持,实现了整个模型系统的动态链接,由此构建出国家农业政策分析与决策支持系统开放实验室,实现了农业政策分析与决策支持的可视化、一体化、信息化和网络化,在世界范围内开创了以实验室为平台的政策分析模式,对国内外农业经济研究、农业政策分析与决策咨询起到了非常重要的作用。

关键词: 农业政策分析 , 决策支持 , 开放实验室 , 回顾 , 展望

Abstract: The project is aimed to establish the Open Laboratory of Agricultural Policy Analysis and Decision Support System with advanced world standards. Also, the project is to provide scientific and effective decision support for Chinese government to settle agricultural and rural problems, to promote the realization of harmoni us development of urban and rural economies and societies, and the construction of modern agriculture and new socialism countryside. Mean while, based on China’s experiences, the project is to provide experience and consultation services for developing countries in the field of agricultural policy research and policy analysis. The project established programmed and interconnected policy analysis platform for subsystems of various research fields by applying modern information technology and theories, models, database principles and methods for econometrics, mathematical economics, public economics and related subjects. The support of specific economic analytical software and statistical software provides the base for dynamic linkage of the whole modeling system for the Open Laboratory, and the visualization, integration, informatization, and network operation for agricultural policy analysis and decision support is realized. The project initiated the policy analysis model based on a laboratory platform in the world, which plays a very important role in both domestic and international agricultural economic research, agricultural policy analysis and decision consultation.

Key words: Agricultural policy analysis , Decision support , Open laboratory , Review , Expectation