中国农业科学 ›› 2006, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (10): 2114-2117 .

• 畜牧·兽医·资源昆虫 • 上一篇    下一篇

高致病性禽流感传播的风险评估框架的建立

李静,王靖飞,吴春艳,杨彦涛,吉增涛,王洪斌,李曦,符芳,崔尚金   

  1. 中国农业科学院哈尔滨兽医研究所
  • 收稿日期:2005-06-10 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-10-10 发布日期:2006-10-10
  • 通讯作者: 李静 lijing

Establishment of a risk assessment framework for analysis of the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza

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  1. 中国农业科学院哈尔滨兽医研究所
  • Received:2005-06-10 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-10-10 Published:2006-10-10

摘要: 为实现对高致病性禽流感传播的风险评估,以在该病的控制中制定科学有效的控制策略,本研究在分析高致病性禽流感传播风险因素的基础上,汲取各类风险分析的原则,确定了高致病性禽流感传播风险评估指标,并采用层次分析法(AHP)确定各风险因素的权重,结合多指标综合评价函数,建立了包括评估指标体系、指标评价标准、指标权重、综合评分和数据采集五个方面的高致病性禽流感传播风险评估框架。

关键词: 高致病性禽流感, 风险因素, 风险评估框架, 层次分析法, 权重, 多指标综合评价法

Abstract: In order to assess the spread risks of highly pathogenic avian influenza, a risk assessment framework was built on the thorough analysis of many related risk factors. In the process, analytic hierarchy process was used as the basic method in weighting the risk factors. The completed framework includes risk factor system, standards for risk assessment, weights of risk factors, integrated assessment methods and data collection.

Key words: highly pathogenic avian influenza, risk factor, risk assessment framework, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), weights, integrated assessment