耕地资源非农化驱动机制及其区域差异性

doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2015.08.18

Abstract

Abstract: 【Objective】 The purpose of this study is to reveal the cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation and its regional differentiation. 【Method】 Firstly, the cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation in China was analyzed based on the method of fixed-effect panel data model and by using Chinese cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation, growth of town populations, investment in fixed assets, level of economic development, cultivated land resource endowment panel data in 2001-2008. In order to compare the difference of different areas, test the models using eastern region data, midland data, and western region data, respectively, the differences among the three regions in cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation were comparative analyzed. 【Result】 Model test results show that the economic development level and its quadratic term, cultivated land resource endowment show a significant state based on the control of urban population growth and fixed asset investment. There are differences among eastern, central and western regions. Investment in fixed assets and cultivated land resource endowment show a extreme significance in eastern, central, and western regions respectively. Elastic coefficient of investment in fixed assets in central regions is bigger than western regions.【Conclusion】 The cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation and economic development show a significant reverse diagram "U" rule of Environmental Kuznets Curve. The cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation in China is significantly influenced by the urbanization growth and investment in fixed assets. Urban population increase (or decrease) of each 1%, the quantity of cultivated land conversion will increase (or decrease) of 0.1 percentage, investment in fixed assets increase (or decrease) of each 1%, the quantity of cultivated land conversion will increase (or decrease) of 0.7 percentage. Cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation driving factors have significant difference among eastern, central and western regions. Cultivated land resource endowment is a significant affecting factor of non-agricultural-transformation in eastern China, cultivated land resource rich regions tend to higher speed of cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation. Investment in fixed assets is a significant affecting factor of non-agricultural-transformation in central and western China, driving effect of investment in fixed assets in central regions is greater than western regions.

Key words: cultivated land non-agricultural-transformation, driving mechanism, empirical analysis, resource endowment of cultivated land, Environmental Kuznets Curve

ZHANG Guang-hong, CUI Xu-feng. Driving Mechanism and Regional Differentiation of Cultivated Land Non-Agricultural-Transformation[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2015, 48(8): 1632-1640.

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