基于产业要素年代差距分析的农业现代化水平国际比较研究

doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2018.07.018

Abstract

Abstract: 【Objective】Agriculture modernization is an important part of achieving the ‘four Modernization Synchronization’ development in China. Gap analysis on agricultural modernization development between China and developed countries is helpful to figure out the global positioning of Chinese agricultural modernization. 【Method】 The related references sourced from FAO promoted that agricultural modernization development was a gradual principle process, which was companied with a trend of serious of basic character change. The acknowledgement of the inner principle of agricultural modernization development was the necessary precondition among international comparison. On that base, the paper promoted two core hypothesis, which contained that agricultural modernization development had the common trait, similar historical steps with corresponding characters among different countries; core index of changing rate were same in the steps of agricultural modernization according to different countries, were the base of generation gap to study the comparison of international agricultural modernization development. Therefore, the formulation of generation gap among different index was as follows: D_j=Y_a-W_jb±（X_a-X_jb）/X_jbBased on the related references at home and aboard, a comprehensive index system was built to compare the agricultural modernization development, which was composed of four one-level indexes (Agricultural Economic Benefit, Transformation of Economic Structure, Rural Economic and Social Development and Agricultural sustainable development) and ten second-level indexes. The paper focused on typical countries such as USA, UK, Japan, India, Brazil, South Africa and China to make international comparison, of which, the started early agricultural modernization in the USA, the UK, and Japan could be taken as a long-time comparison in agricultural modernization development due to their historical traits in agricultural modernization development. Meanwhile, Brazil, India and South Africa could be selected as typical countries in comparison, for that the above countries were all belong to developing countries in high speed development, with the many similar opportunities, challenge, policy making and lessons.【Result】The current level of agricultural modernization development in China acted properly as the same level in the end of 1960s to the beginning of 1980s in the USA and the UK, and the beginning of 1990s’ in Japan, which had the similar developing steps in India and Brazil. With respect of sub-index, the unequilibrium agricultural modernization in China was caused by the diversification and low coupling of the core index, which restricted the overall progress of agricultural modernization.【Conclusion】The generation gap analysis was available for evaluate agricultural modernization development, which was easy access to the international comparison and could be used as a tool to analyze agricultural modernization and appraisal agricultural modernization development.

Key words: agricultural modernization, development level, generation gap method, international comparison

HU ZhiQuan, ZHU DianXiao, XIN Ling, HOU LiWei, WANG DongYang. Comparison Study on the Level of International Agricultural Modernization Based on the Method of Generation Gap of Industry Elements[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2018, 51(7): 1412-1420.

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