中国农业科学 ›› 2014, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (14): 2731-2741.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2014.14.004

• 耕作栽培·生理生化·农业信息技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

作物产量差研究进展

 杨晓光, 刘志娟   

  1. 中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京 100193
  • 收稿日期:2013-10-09 出版日期:2014-07-15 发布日期:2014-04-23
  • 作者简介:杨晓光,E-mail:yangxg@cau.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:

    国家“973”计划(2009CB118608)

Advances in Research on Crop Yield Gaps

 YANG  Xiao-Guang, LIU  Zhi-Juan-   

  1. College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193
  • Received:2013-10-09 Online:2014-07-15 Published:2014-04-23

摘要: 随着人口的增加以及生活水平的提高,人们对粮食的需求不断增加,因此增加粮食产量、确保粮食安全仍是未来永恒不变的课题。近年来随着育秧、覆膜等技术的应用,灌溉、施肥技术措施的提高以及作物品种的更替和技术的进步等使得农作物产量呈现增加的趋势。即便如此,作物实际产量与其潜在产量间仍然存在较大差距,而这种现象广泛存在于世界各国的农业生产中。文章在阐述产量差内涵的基础上,对目前国内外产量差的研究方法及主要研究进展等方面进行了综述,并对未来产量差的研究做了展望,以期为进一步开展产量差研究提供科学参考。产量差概念发展至今,虽然众多学者都对其做了不同的定义及阐述,但总体而言,作物的最大产量水平为潜在产量,实际产量与潜在产量之间的产量差为该作物的总产量差。造成作物产量差的原因主要包括不可能应用到田间的技术和环境因子、生物因素(品种、病虫害等)和经济因素(投入产出比)、政策、文化水平及传统观念等。为了进一步解析作物产量差,前人根据研究目的的不同,划分了不同等级的产量差。目前国内外产量差的研究方法主要有试验调查统计分析法和作物模拟模型法。前者概念简单,可操作性强,但是要求足够的试验数据,试验费用大,周期长;后者可以设置更多的情景和处理,但难以精确定量实际生产中的所有管理措施。因此,在实际进行产量差研究中,可综合利用统计方法、作物模拟模型及遥感方法,充分发挥各种方法的优势。世界各地主要作物产量差的研究结果显示,发达国家因栽培管理水平相对较高,作物产量提升空间较小。虽然各地学者对当地不同作物产量差进行了详细的研究,为提升该地区产量、缩小作物产量差提供了科学依据和参考。然而,由于产量估算方法不同,使得研究结果之间差异较大,可比性差。同时因数据和方法的限制,大多集中在解析农业生产过程中的气候、土壤、品种、栽培管理措施等因素对产量的限制程度,而往往忽略了在产量形成过程中农民意愿、政策和经济等因素的影响。总之,未来的产量差研究重点应包括准确计算各区域主要作物产量潜力上限,明确针对不同产量差计算方法,综合考虑气候、土壤、品种和栽培技术以及社会经济因素,解析产量差限制程度。

关键词: 潜在产量 , 产量差 , 限制因素 , 研究方法

Abstract: Demand for food is quickly rising with increases in population and living standards. In the past few decades, crop yields increased rapidly due to the utilization of rice seedlings and mulching technologies, improvement of managements such as irrigation and fertilizer, new varieties selections and technology improvements. However, yields in farmer fields are much lower than potential yields, which have been widespread in the world's agricultural production. Therefore, closing the gap between current and potential yields is important to increase the crop yield and make sure the food security. In this study, the definition, research method, and the main results of yield gaps were reviewed. Furthermore, some prospects of yield gaps in the future were made, which will provide reference for further research on yield gaps. Until now there are many different definitions to yield gap, however, in general the maximum yield is the potential yield, and total yield gap is the difference between actual and potential yield. The yield gap caused by a variety of factors, including no-transferable technology and environment constraints, biological constraints (variety, diseases and insects, etc.), and socio-economic constraints (cost and returns, policy, knowledge, and tradition, etc.). In order to analyze the yield gap in detail, scholars divided the yield gap into different levels according to their objectives. There are two kinds of research methods for yield gap, the survey and statistical analysis methods, and crop simulation models method. The survey and statistical analysis methods have a simple concept and easy to be operated, but requires sufficient experiment data, which the cost is higher and the duration is longer; the crop simulation models method can design more scenarios using the computer, but can not quantify all of the management accurately. Therefore, in the yield gap researches, we should combine the statistical methods, crop simulation models and remote sensing technology should be combined for taking the advantages of each method. A comparison of the crop yield gap around the world indicates that for the developed countries, potential ascension of crop production is smaller due to the relatively higher levels of cultivation management. There are many studies on the yield gaps for crops around the world, which provide a scientific basis for enhancing the crop yield and closing the yield gap. However, there are large differences between their results because of different methods used. Due to the limitations of data and methods, most researches have been focused on the constraints of climate, soil, variety, and cultivation management factors on the yield in agricultural production, but ignored the wishes of farmers, policy and economic factors. Therefore, a subsequent study of crop yield gap should quantify the potential yield of the main crops in each region, and identify the constraints of climate, soil, variety, cultivation management, and socio-economic factors on the yield in agricultural production.

Key words: potential yield , yield gaps , yield constraints , research method