中国农业科学 ›› 2010, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (9): 1904-1911 .doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2010.09.017

• 贮藏·保鲜·加工 • 上一篇    下一篇

柑橘气象指数保险合同费率厘定分析及设计

娄伟平,吴利红,陈华江,毛裕定

  

  1. (南京信息工程大学大气科学学院)
  • 收稿日期:2009-11-02 修回日期:2009-12-04 出版日期:2010-05-01 发布日期:2010-05-01

Analysis and Design of Premium Rates Determined for Weather-Based Index Insurance Contract of Citrus

LOU Wei-ping, WU Li-hong, CHEN Hua-jiang, MAO Yu-ding
  

  1. (南京信息工程大学大气科学学院)
  • Received:2009-11-02 Revised:2009-12-04 Online:2010-05-01 Published:2010-05-01

摘要:

【目的】设计柑橘气象指数保险合同,为开展柑橘政策性农业保险提供技术支撑。【方法】根据柑橘减产率与气象因子的关系,应用极值理论分析导致巨灾结果的气象风险的尾部分布,确定保险费率,综合区域产量指数保险和气象指数保险优点,设计柑橘气象指数保险合同。【结果】确定了浙江省西部地区各县的纯保险费率和气象灾害赔付金额。淳安、兰溪、金华市区、丽水市区气象灾害纯保险费率为1.8%—3.0%,建德、常山、江山、龙游、衢州市区气象灾害纯保险费率为5.5%—6.6%。【结论】气象指数保险合同针对政策性农业保险经营需求设计,可以有效解决传统农业保险和国外指数保险存在的问题,设计成气象衍生品进入金融市场。

关键词: 柑橘, 农业保险, 气象指数, 合同

Abstract:

【Objective】 The objective of the research was to design weather-based index insurance contract for citrus and to provide technology for policy-guided agricultural insurance. 【Method】 Based on relationship between citrus yield loss rates and weather factors, the tail distribution of weather disaster risk led to catastrophic results was calculated by extreme value theory and premium rate was counted. Weather-based index insurance contact was designed based on the advantage of area yield crop insurance and weather index insurance. 【Result】 The pure premium rates and indemnity caused by meteorological disasters were calculated for each county in western Zhejiang. The pure premium rates for meteorological disasters insurance were from 1.8 percent to 3.0 percent in Chun’an, Lanxi, Jinhua, Lishui, and from 5.5 percent to 6.6 percent in Jiande, Changshan, Jiangshan, Longyou, and Quzhou. 【Conclusion】 Weather-based index insurance contact was designed for needs of policy-guided agricultural insurance. It will reduce the shortcomings existing in traditional agricultural insurance and abroad index insurance. Weather derivatives could be designed based on it to enter the financial markets.

Key words: citrus, agricultural insurance, weather-based index, contact