中国农业科学 ›› 2015, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (10): 1915-1925.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2015.10.005

• 耕作栽培·生理生化·农业信息技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于遥感影像NDVI数据的中国种植制度分布变化

杨婷,赵文利,王哲怡,陆星彤,卢珊   

  1. 东北师范大学地理科学学院,长春 130024
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-09 出版日期:2015-05-16 发布日期:2015-05-16
  • 通讯作者: 卢珊,E-mail:lus123@nenu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:杨婷,E-mail:yangting472@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(41001258)、吉林省科技厅项目(20130101075JC)、吉林省教育厅“十二五”科学技术研究规划项目

Changes of Cropping System in China Based on Remotely Sensed NDVI data

YANG Ting, ZHAO Wen-li, WANG Zhe-yi, LU Xing-tong, LU Shan   

  1. School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024
  • Received:2014-05-09 Online:2015-05-16 Published:2015-05-16

摘要: 【目的】利用1986和1996年的十天合成NOAA-AVHRR-NDVI数据以及2000年SPOT-VEGETATION-NDVI数据对中国主要的种植制度(熟制)分布进行制图,对比二次差分法和离散傅里叶转换法对熟制信息提取的有效性;比较中国多年熟制分布图,研究中国近些年的熟制变化,同时结合气象数据,分析影响熟制变化的可能因素,为粮食产量变化及其原因分析提供理论依据。【方法】首先,利用欧空局全球陆地覆盖数据(ESA GlobCover),提取中国农业植被区域。其次,使用ENVI和ArcGIS软件,分别利用二次差分法和傅里叶变换法对1986年的植被指数数据进行农业熟制的分布提取,并以中国科学院植物研究所编著的1:400万比例尺的《中国植被图》中的熟制信息作为参考,对两种方法提取熟制信息精度进行检验;采用二次差分法分别绘出1996年及2006年熟制分布图,说明中国熟制分布的变化。最后,利用零级带≥0℃积温划分指标,分析年积温等气候因素对熟制的影响。【结果】(1) 二次差分法和傅里叶变换法提取的熟制分布结果都基本符合中国农业熟制的分布规律,遵循越往南熟制越复杂的规律。一年一熟区主要分布在东北大部分地区,一年两熟区分布在河南、河北、山东和安徽一带,而一年三熟的区域零星分布在湖北省以南的省份。熟制分类的精度分别为76.5%和69.4%,kappa系数分别为0.64和0.51,二次差分法的分类精度高于傅里叶变换。(2)利用分类精度较高的二次差分法提取中国1986年、1996年到2006年的熟制分布信息,发现中国熟制间的界线发生了不同程度的北移和西扩,尤其是一年两熟的北界由1986的辽南葫芦岛北移到辽中本溪、沈阳一线,西界也由1986年的甘肃平凉、陕西宝鸡一带西扩至宁夏临夏回族自治州、青海海东地区。同时熟制之间的转换也是复杂多变的,一年一熟制的面积从1986年到2006年减少了33万平方公里,一年两熟增加了36万平方公里,一年三熟的面积增加了4万平方公里。(3)从年积温的分布来看,4 200和6 100积温等值线都有不同程度的北移西扩,说明积温变化可能是引起中国熟制北移的重要原因。【结论】基于时序序列的遥感数据可以进行中国熟制分布的实际变化监测。二次差分法是一种有效提取中国熟制信息的方法。中国熟制的界线,尤其是一年两熟的界限有一定程度的北移和西扩,使得一年一熟的面积大幅减少而一年两熟的面积有很大的增加,而一年三熟的面积变化不大。气候变暖对中国的熟制分布有一定的影响。通过遥感方法研究中国熟制的分布及其变化,能够及时、准确地了解和评价中国农作物生产情况和生产潜力,便于农业相关部门制定及时、有效的农业政策。

关键词: 种植制度, NDVI, 二次差分法, 傅里叶变换法

Abstract: 【Objective】 The objective of this paper was to map the cropping systems of China using ten day NOAA- AVHRR- NDVI data of 1986 and 1996 years, and SPOT-VEGETATION-NDVI data of 2000. In order to extract the cropping systems information, the accuracies of the twice difference algorithm and Fourier transform method were compared. The performed better method was applied to map the cropping systems distributions for each year. On the basis of the cropping systems distributions, the changes of cropping systems in recent years would be known. Some meteorological data were used to reveal the possible reason of the change of cropping systems. The results were expected to provide information about the crop yield changes and their reasons.【Method】First, the cropping area was subset from the global land cover map provided by the European Space Agency (ESA GlobCover). Second, the cropping system distribution of 1986 was mapped using twice difference algorithm and Fourier transform method by ENVI and ArcGIS software. The accuracies of the two methods were compared using the cropping system information in the “Vegetation Map of China” at the scale of 1:4 000 000 as a reference. The cropping systems distributions of 1996 and 2006 were mapped by the twice difference algorithm. The distributions were compared to extract the change information of cropping systems. At last, the accumulated temperature indicators of the zero-grade zone were used to analyze the possible impact of the climate change on the cropping systems change.【Result】The twice difference algorithm and the Fourier transform both provided reasonable accuracy for mapping cropping system of China. The area of one crop a year was mainly in the northeast area, the two crops a year was distributed in Henan, Hebei, Shandong, and Anhui provinces, and the three crops a year was covered by the area south to the Hubei Province. The accuracy of twice difference algorithm (overall accuracy was 76.5% and Kappa coefficient was 0.64) was a little higher than the Fourier transform (overall accuracy was 69.4% and Kappa coefficient was 0.51) in this research. The northern limit of the two crops a year moved from Huludao, Liaoning Province in 1986 to Benxi and Shenyang, Liaoning Province in 2006. The western limit of it also moved from Pingliang, Gansu Province, Baoji, Shanxi Province in 1986 to Linxia, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region and Haidong, Qinghai Province in 2006. The cross transformation was so complicated that the area of the one crop a year decreased by 330 thousand square kilometers, two crops a year increased by 360 thousand square kilometers, and three crops a year increased by 40 thousand square kilometers. The contour line of the accumulated temperature of the 4 200ºC and 6 100 ºC also moved to north and west in the studied years. The results may imply that the temperature is a main impact factor of changes of cropping systems.【Conclusion】Remote sensing data based on time sequence could be used to monitor real change of cropping system in China. The twice difference algorithm is a valid method to extract the crop systems information in China. The limit of the cropping system, especially for the two crops a year moved northwards and westwards. This movements resulted in the large scale decrease of one crop a year and significant increase of two crop a year, while the three crops a year did not change much. The global warming had an effect on the cropping system changes in China. Analyzing the distribution and change of cropping system in China by remote sensing data can not only help us understand and evaluate the crop production and production potential timely and accurately, but also benefit the agriculture-related departments for drawing up effective agricultural policies.

Key words: cropping system, NDVI, twice difference algorithm, Fourier transform