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Do farmers care about climate change? Evidence from five major grain producing areas of China
SONG Chun-xiao, LIU Rui-feng, Les Oxley, MA Heng-yun
2019, 18 (6): 1402-1414.   DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(19)62687-0
Abstract305)      PDF in ScienceDirect      
Using a logistic model, this paper empirically investigated farmers’ perception of climate change and its determinants based on a field survey of 1 350 rural households across five major grain producing provinces in China.  The results show: i) There is an apparent difference in perception levels for long-term temperature and precipitation changes.  Specifically, 57.4% of farmers perceived the long-term temperature change correctly, but only 29.7% of farmers perceived the long-term precipitation change correctly; ii) The factors influencing the farmers’ perceptions are almost completely different between precipitation and temperature, the former are mostly agriculture related, while latter are mostly non-agriculture related, except for farm size; and iii) Farmers are not expected to pay more attention to long-term precipitation changes over the crop growing seasons, because less than 30% of farmers can correctly perceive long-term precipitation change.  Therefore, to improve the accuracy of farmers’ perceptions of climate change, the government is recommended to: i) enhance education and training programs; ii) speed up land transfer and expand household land farm size; iii) develop farmer cooperative organizations; iv) invest more in agricultural infrastructure, specifically in major grain producing regions; and v) improve the agricultural environment and increase farming income.
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What determines irrigation efficiency when farmers face extreme weather events? A field survey of the major wheat producing regions in China
SONG Chun-xiao, Les Oxley, MA Heng-yun
2018, 17 (08): 1888-1899.   DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(18)62006-4
Abstract445)      PDF (882KB)(255)      
Water availability is a major constraint on grain production in China, therefore, improving irrigation efficiency is particularly important when agriculture faces extreme weather events.  This paper first calculates irrigation efficiency with a translog stochastic frontier production function and then investigates what happens when extreme weather events occur via a Tobit model.  The estimated results reveal several important features of irrigation practices: i) irrigation efficiency is lower when extreme weather events occur; ii) large variations in irrigation efficiency occur across irrigation facilities; iii) the farm plots exhibit an extreme distribution across efficiency levels; and iv) water-saving techniques, technology adoption, and the maintenance of farmers’ economic resilience are major determinants of irrigation efficiency.  Based on these results we propose the following recommendations: i) farmers should balance crop yield and water use; undertake relevant training programs and adopt water-saving techniques; ii) local governments and researchers should help farmers to find the optimal level of irrigation water use based on their own circumstances and provide better water-saving techniques and training programs rather than simply encouraging farmers to invest in irrigation facilities in the most extreme weather years; and iii) the income level of farm households should be increased so as to improve their resilience to natural disasters.
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The puzzle of the missing meat: Food away from home and China’s meat statistics
XIAO Hong-bo, CHEN Qiong, WANG Ji-min, Les Oxley, MA Heng-yun
2015, 14 (6): 1033-1044.   DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(14)60987-4
Abstract1707)      PDF in ScienceDirect      
From 1985, an increasing gap has emerged between the official statistical measures of meat production and meat consumption in China, which has raised concerns from many researchers using such data. In this paper we report the results of 428 observations (survey of 107 urban and rural households×4 quarters) from 7 provinces conducted in 2010, and compare them with the official statistical data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBSC). We conclude that the main reason for the discrepancy is due to the underreporting of consumption, which is due mainly to the omission of consumption away from home.
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