The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia

doi:10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60701-7

Journal of Integrative Agriculture ›› 2014, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (4): 660-665.DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60701-7

The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia

Robert Mendelsohn

School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven CT 06511, USA

收稿日期:2013-11-04 出版日期:2014-04-01 发布日期:2014-04-16
通讯作者: Robert Mendelsohn, E-mail: Robert. Mendelsohn@yale.edu
作者简介:Robert Mendelsohn, E-mail: Robert. Mendelsohn@yale.edu

The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia

Robert Mendelsohn

School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven CT 06511, USA

Received:2013-11-04 Online:2014-04-01 Published:2014-04-16
Contact: Robert Mendelsohn, E-mail: Robert. Mendelsohn@yale.edu
About author:Robert Mendelsohn, E-mail: Robert. Mendelsohn@yale.edu

摘要/Abstract

摘要： Asian agriculture is responsible for two thirds of global agricultural GDP. There have been numerous studies exploring the impact of climate change on crops in specific locations in Asia but no study has yet analyzed crops across the entire continent. This study relies on a Ricardian study of China that estimated climate coefficients for Chinese crops. These coefficients are then used to interpolate potential climate damages across the continent. With carbon fertilization, the model predicts small aggregate effects with a 1.5°C warming but damages of about US$84 billion with 3°C warming. India is predicted to be especially vulnerable.

关键词: agriculture , climate change , Asia , Ricardian

Abstract: Asian agriculture is responsible for two thirds of global agricultural GDP. There have been numerous studies exploring the impact of climate change on crops in specific locations in Asia but no study has yet analyzed crops across the entire continent. This study relies on a Ricardian study of China that estimated climate coefficients for Chinese crops. These coefficients are then used to interpolate potential climate damages across the continent. With carbon fertilization, the model predicts small aggregate effects with a 1.5°C warming but damages of about US$84 billion with 3°C warming. India is predicted to be especially vulnerable.

Key words: agriculture , climate change , Asia , Ricardian

Robert Mendelsohn. The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia[J]. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2014, 13(4): 660-665.

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The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia

The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Asia

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