Journal of Integrative Agriculture ›› 2018, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (2): 461-472.DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(17)61741-6

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  • 收稿日期:2017-02-07 出版日期:2018-02-20 发布日期:2018-02-01

Designing price-contingent vegetable rotation schedules using agent-based simulation

LI Jing1, Daniel Rodriguez2, WANG Hao-xiang1, WU Liu-san1   

  1. 1 Faculty of Engineering, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210031, P.R.China
    2 Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), University of Queensland, Toowoomba 4350, Australia
  • Received:2017-02-07 Online:2018-02-20 Published:2018-02-01
  • Contact: Correspondence LI Jing, Tel: +86-25-58606710, Fax: +86-25-58606573, E-mail: phdlijing@njau.edu.cn
  • Supported by:

    This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC, 71301077).

Abstract: Chinese vegetable production cooperatives supply their members, mostly smallholder farmers, with a rotation schedule for the year.  Since vegetable prices are not stable throughout the year, designing a rotation schedule that maximizes expected profits, distributes farmers’ profits more equitably, maintains the diversity of produce in the market, and reduces the risk of pests and diseases, requires adaptive, price-contingent rotation schedules (here, called “self-adaptive adjustment”).  This study uses an agent-based simulation (ABS) to design self-adaptive rotation schedules that deliver these aims.  The self-adaptive adjustment strategy was more profitable for farmers when faced with price volatility, and more equitable as well.  This work provides a decision-support tool for managers of Chinese vegetable production cooperatives to provide farmers with more profitable and equitable rotation schedules.   

Key words: operation research in agriculture ,  self-adaptive algorithm ,  cooperatives , market fluctuation