Journal of Integrative Agriculture ›› 2013, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (10): 1884-1895.DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60597-3

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

Economic Growth, Demographic Change and Rural-Urban Migration in China

 ZHONG Fu-ning, LI Qing, XIANG Jing , ZHU Jing   

  1. 1 Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, P.R.China
    2 Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, P.R.China
  • 收稿日期:2013-01-19 出版日期:2013-10-01 发布日期:2013-10-01
  • 通讯作者: Correspondence ZHONG Fu-ning, Tel: +86-25-84395735, E-mail: fnzhong@njau.edu.cn

Economic Growth, Demographic Change and Rural-Urban Migration in China

 ZHONG Fu-ning, LI Qing, XIANG Jing , ZHU Jing   

  1. 1 Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, P.R.China
    2 Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, P.R.China
  • Received:2013-01-19 Online:2013-10-01 Published:2013-10-01
  • Contact: Correspondence ZHONG Fu-ning, Tel: +86-25-84395735, E-mail: fnzhong@njau.edu.cn

摘要: Is China able to maintain fast growth after three decades? This paper tries to answer this question by: 1) arguing that factors contributed to sustained long-run growth at supply side; 2) focusing on contributions of demographic dividend especially that of rural-urban migration; and 3) analyzing rural demographic change with information collected through village-wide household survey. Policy alternatives to realize remaining potential demographic dividend are proposed based on the analysis of changing rural demographic structure.

关键词: demographic dividend , rural-urban migration , economic growth , China

Abstract: Is China able to maintain fast growth after three decades? This paper tries to answer this question by: 1) arguing that factors contributed to sustained long-run growth at supply side; 2) focusing on contributions of demographic dividend especially that of rural-urban migration; and 3) analyzing rural demographic change with information collected through village-wide household survey. Policy alternatives to realize remaining potential demographic dividend are proposed based on the analysis of changing rural demographic structure.

Key words: demographic dividend , rural-urban migration , economic growth , China