中国农业生产的技术效率衰退会终结吗?——基于开放与收敛视角的考察

doi:10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2012.15.022

中国农业科学 ›› 2012, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (15): 3189-3196.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2012.15.022

中国农业生产的技术效率衰退会终结吗?——基于开放与收敛视角的考察

马述忠, 冯, 晗

浙江大学区域经济开放与发展研究中心，杭州 310027

收稿日期:2011-08-19 出版日期:2012-08-01 发布日期:2011-11-18
通讯作者: 马述忠，Tel：13588085121；E-mail：mashuzhong@zju.edu.cn
作者简介:马述忠，Tel：13588085121；E-mail：mashuzhong@zju.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金重点项目（10AGJ004）、浙江省自然科学基金重点项目（26110066）、中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金

Will the Recession of Efficiency in China’s Agriculture End? —An Investigation Based on the Angle of Openness and Convergence

MA Shu-Zhong, FENG HAN

浙江大学区域经济开放与发展研究中心，杭州 310027

Received:2011-08-19 Online:2012-08-01 Published:2011-11-18

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 【目的】过去数十年，中国农业生产的技术效率一直处于衰退之中。论文试图研究开放环境对中国农业生产技术效率的影响，进而预测中国农业生产技术效率在未来的走势。【方法】应用基于Malmquist指数的DEA和效率回归方法。【结果】中国农业生产技术效率存在显著的收敛倾向，并且这种倾向在开放环境中还会进一步增强。此外，中国农业生产技术效率的“均衡”水平在近年来已先于真实水平并开始复苏。【结论】在开放的推动下，中国农业生产的技术效率衰退将会终止，增长即将到来。

关键词: 中国, 农业生产率, 技术效率变化, 开放, 收敛

Abstract: 【Objective】 The technology efficiency in China’s agriculture had keep recession for decades. This paper tries to find the influence of the open environment on China’s agricultural productivity, and answer whether the recession of efficiency in China’s agriculture will end. 【Method】 A second stage regression using the output-oriented Malmquist productivity indexes and their decompositions of China’s agricultural sector as dependent variables.【Result】A robust convergence in China's agricultural efficiency was found, which also has been enlarged by the open environment. It was also found that the “equilibrium” efficiency level was growing in the recent years.【Conclusion】The results show that the open environment will end the recession of China’s agricultural efficiency at last.

Key words: China, agriculture productivity, efficiency change, open environment, convergence

马述忠, 冯, 晗. 中国农业生产的技术效率衰退会终结吗?——基于开放与收敛视角的考察[J]. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(15): 3189-3196.

MA Shu-Zhong, FENG , HAN . Will the Recession of Efficiency in China’s Agriculture End? —An Investigation Based on the Angle of Openness and Convergence[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(15): 3189-3196.

0
/ / 推荐

导出引用管理器 EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks

链接本文: https://www.chinaagrisci.com/CN/10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2012.15.022

https://www.chinaagrisci.com/CN/Y2012/V45/I15/3189

参考文献

[1]Mao W, Koo W. Productivity growth, technological progress, and efficiency change in Chinese agriculture after rural economic reforms: a DEA approach. China Economic Review, 1997, 8 (2): 157-174.

[2]Tian W M, Wan G H. Technical efficiency and its determinants in China’s grain production. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 2000, 13(2): 159-174.

[3]陈卫平. 中国农业生产率增长、技术进步与效率变化：1990—2003年. 中国农村观察, 2006(1): 18-23.

Chen W P. Productivity growth, technical progress and efficiency change in Chinese agriculture: 1990-2003. China Rural Survey, 2006(1): 18-23. (in Chinese)

[4]Chen P Z, Yu M M, Chang C C, Hsu S H. Total factor productivity growth in China’s agricultural sector. China Economic Review, 2008, 19(4): 580-593.

[5]Jin S, Ma H Y, Huang J K, Hu R F, Scott R. Productivity, efficiency and technical change: measuring the performance of China’s transforming agriculture. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 2010, 33(3): 191-207.

[6]颜鹏飞, 王兵. 技术效率、技术进步与生产率增长：基于DEA的实证分析. 经济研究, 2004(12): 55-65.

Yan P F, Wang B. Technical efficiency, technical progress and productivity growth: an empirical analysis based on DEA. Economic Research Journal, 2004(12): 55-65. (in Chinese)

[7]车维汉, 杨荣. 技术效率、技术进步与中国全要素生产率提高——基于国际比较的实证分析. 财经研究, 2010(3): 113-123.

Che W H, Yang R. Technical efficiency, technical progress and the increase of agricultural total factor productivity in China: empirical study based on international comparisons. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2010(3): 113-123. (in Chinese)

[8]Chen Z, Song S F. Efficiency and technology gap in China’s agriculture: a regional meta-frontier analysis. China Economic Review, 2008, 19: 287-296.

[9]李谷成, 冯中朝, 占绍文. 家庭禀赋对农户家庭经营技术效率的影响冲击——基于湖北省农户的随机前沿生产函数实证. 统计研究, 2008(1): 35-42.

Li G C, Feng Z C, Zhan S W. An empirical analysis about the effect of household endowments on the technical efficiency of farmer’s household management-evidence from the farmers of Hubei province. Statistical Research, 2008(1): 35-42. (in Chinese)

[10]Coelli T J, Rao D S P. Total factor productivity growth in agriculture: a malmquist index analysis of 93 countries, 1980-2000. Agricultural Economics, 2005, 32 (1): 115-134.

[11]孔祥智, 方松梅, 庞晓鹏, 马九杰. 西部地区农户禀赋对农业技术采纳的影响分析. 经济研究, 2004(12): 85-95, 122.

Kong X Z, Fang S M, Pang X P, Ma J J. Analysis of the effect of household endowments on the agricultural technology adoption decision in west China. Economic Research Journal, 2004(12): 85-95, 122. (in Chinese)

[12]Madsen J. Technology spillover through trade and TFP convergence: 135 years of evidence for the OECD countries. Journal of International Economics, 2007, 72 (2): 464-480.

[13]Coelli T J, Rao D S P, O’Donnell C J, Battese G E. An Introduction to Efficiency and Productivity Analysis. 2nd ed. New York: Springer, 2005.

[14]Deng X, Huang J K, Scott R, Uchida E. Cultivated land conversion and potential agricultural productivity in China. Land Use Policy, 2006, 23(4): 372-384.

[15]白人朴. 我国农机化作业水平的统计误差分析. 现代农业装备, 2005(2): 72-76.

Bai R P. An analysis of the statistical errors in agricultural mechanization level in China. Modern Agricultural Machinery, 2005(2): 72-76. (in Chinese)

[16]Monchuk D, Chen Z, Bonaparte Y. Explaining production inefficiency in China’s agriculture using data envelopment analysis and semi-parametric bootstrapping. China Economic Review, 2010, 21: 346-354.

[17]Arnade C. Using a programming approach to measure international agricultural efficiency and productivity. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1998, 49 (1): 67-84.

[18]Huang J K, Rozelle S, Pray C, Wang Q. Plant biotechnology in China. Science, 2002, 295 (5555): 674-676.

[19]Herrmann-Pillath C, Kirchert D, Pan J C. Prefecture-level statistics as a source of research into China’s regional development. The China Quarterly, 2002, 172: 956-985.

[20]Tauer L W. Input aggregation and computed technical efficiency. Applied Economics Letters, 2001, 8(5): 295-297.

[21]Wu S, Walker D, Devadoss S, Lu Y C. Productivity growth and its components in Chinese agriculture after reforms. Review of Development, 2001, 5(3): 375-391.

[22]Chen Z, Huffman W E, Rozelle S. Farm technology and technical efficiency: evidence from four regions in China. China Economic Review, 2009, 20 (2): 153-161.

[23]Rawski T, Mead R. On the trail of China’s phantom farmers. World Development, 1998, 20 (5): 767-781.

中国农业生产的技术效率衰退会终结吗?——基于开放与收敛视角的考察

Will the Recession of Efficiency in China’s Agriculture End? —An Investigation Based on the Angle of Openness and Convergence

PDF

赞

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 0

[1]	刘针杉, 涂红霞, 周荆婷, 马艳, 柴久凤, 王旨意, 杨鹏飞, 杨小芹, Kumail Abbas, 王浩, 王燕, 王小蓉. 中国樱桃正反交F₁代果实主要性状的遗传分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2023, 56(2): 345-356.
[2]	张洁,姜长岳,王跃进. 中国野生毛葡萄转录因子VqWRKY6与VqbZIP1互作调控抗白粉病功能分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(23): 4626-4639.
[3]	吴秋琳,姜玉英,刘媛,刘杰,马景,胡高,杨明进,吴孔明. 草地贪夜蛾在中国西北地区的迁飞路径[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(10): 1949-1960.
[4]	邓艾兴,刘猷红,孟英,陈长青,董文军,李歌星,张俊,张卫建. 田间增温1.5℃对高纬度粳稻产量和品质的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(1): 51-60.
[5]	丁茜,赵凯茜,王跃进. 中国野生毛葡萄芪合酶基因表达及对葡萄抗白粉病的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(2): 310-323.
[6]	张丽,汤亚飞,李正刚,于琳,蓝国兵,佘小漫,何自福. 侵染广东省葫芦科作物的中国南瓜曲叶病毒的分子特征[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(19): 4097-4109.
[7]	宋美洁,欧爱群,薛晓锋,吴黎明,寿旗扬,王凯. 蜂胶提取物对脂多糖诱导小鼠急性乳腺炎及乳腺屏障功能的保护作用[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(12): 2675-2688.
[8]	郑信诗,尚鹏祥,李景远,丁新伦,吴祖建,张洁. 木尔坦棉花曲叶病毒“C4 ORF”编码蛋白对病毒致病性的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(10): 2095-2104.
[9]	张维理,张认连,冀宏杰,KOLBE H,陈印军. 中德农业源污染管控制度比较研究[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(5): 965-976.
[10]	颜鹏,韩文炎,李鑫,张丽平,张兰. 中国茶园土壤酸化现状与分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(4): 795-801.
[11]	李宝鑫,杨俐苹,卢艳丽,师校欣,杜国强. 我国葡萄主产区的土壤养分丰缺状况[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(17): 3553-3566.
[12]	赵晴月,许世杰,张务帅,张哲,姚智,陈新平,邹春琴. 中国玉米主产区土壤养分的空间变异及影响因素分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(15): 3120-3133.
[13]	李冬初,黄晶,马常宝,薛彦东,高菊生,王伯仁,张杨珠,柳开楼,韩天富,张会民. 中国稻田土壤有机质时空变化及其驱动因素[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(12): 2410-2422.
[14]	王鸣雷,史文娇. 中国北方新增耕地的时空变化及驱动因素分区[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(12): 2435-2449.
[15]	魏潇,章秋平,刘宁,张玉萍,徐铭,刘硕,张玉君,马小雪,刘威生. 不同来源中国李（Prunus salicina L.）的多样性与近缘种关系[J]. 中国农业科学, 2019, 52(3): 568-578.