中国农业科学 ›› 2012, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (10): 1935-1945.doi: 10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2012.10.006
霍治国, 李茂松, 王丽, 肖晶晶, 黄大鹏, 王春艳
收稿日期:
2011-03-21
出版日期:
2012-05-15
发布日期:
2011-12-01
通讯作者:
通信作者李茂松,Tel:010-82106022;E-mail:lims868@yahoo.cn
作者简介:
霍治国,Tel:010-68408953;E-mail:huozhigg@cams.cma.gov.cn
基金资助:
国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201006026)
HUO Zhi-Guo, LI Mao-Song, WANG Li, XIAO Jing-Jing, HUANG Da-Peng, WANG Chun-Yan
Received:
2011-03-21
Online:
2012-05-15
Published:
2011-12-01
摘要: 基于已有研究成果,采用农作物病虫害发生危害时空变化对降水时空变化响应事实检测的方法,系统分析降水变化对农作物病虫害影响的已有观测事实及其变化规律性,提出其影响的最新认知,并对今后的发展方向进行了展望。已有影响事实检测表明:一定区域、时段的降水偏少、高温干旱有利于部分害虫的繁殖加快、种群数量增长,降水、雨日偏多有利于部分病害发生程度和害虫迁入数量的明显增加,病虫危害损失加重;暴雨洪涝可使部分病害发生突增,危害显著加重;暴雨可使部分迁入成虫数量突增、田间幼虫数量锐减;降水强度大,可使部分田间害虫的死亡率明显增加、虫口密度显著降低。高温干旱年可使部分病虫害大发生、飞蝗可比常年多发生1代,持续多雨年可使部分病虫害发生界限北移。梅雨期长且梅雨量多的年份有利于江淮地区稻飞虱、稻纵卷叶螟的迁入危害,稻纵卷叶螟迁入早的年份可比常年多繁殖1代。西太平洋副热带高压偏强年份有利于害虫迁入始见期提早、数量增加、范围扩大、危害加重。台风暴雨可使部分病害突发流行、田间虫口密度显著降低,台风多雨有利于害虫的迁入危害。厄尔尼诺年的当年、次年易暴发农作物病虫害。降水变化对农作物病虫害影响的时空变化及其规律性、发生与灾变的影响预估、风险评估及适应对策将是未来需要重点解决的关键问题。
霍治国, 李茂松, 王丽, 肖晶晶, 黄大鹏, 王春艳. 降水变化对中国农作物病虫害的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2012, 45(10): 1935-1945.
HUO Zhi-Guo, LI Mao-Song, WANG Li, XIAO Jing-Jing, HUANG Da-Peng, WANG Chun-Yan. Impacts of Precipitation Variations on Crop Diseases and Pests in China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2012, 45(10): 1935-1945.
[1]霍治国, 刘万才, 邵振润, 姜瑞中. 试论开展中国农作物病虫害危害流行的长期气象预测研究. 自然灾害学报, 2000, 9(1): 117-121.Huo Z G, Liu W C, Shao Z R, Jiang R Z. On developing long-term meteorological prediction research of crops pests and diseases prevailing in China. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2000, 9(1): 117-121. (in Chinese)[2]霍治国, 王石立. 农业和生物气象灾害. 北京: 气象出版社, 2009: 1-15, 163-213, 267-281.Huo Z G, Wang S L. Agrometeorological and Biometeorological Disaster. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2009: 1-15, 163-213, 267-281. (in Chinese)[3]Thomson L J, Macfadyen S, Hoffmann A A. Predicting the effects of climate change on natural enemies of agricultural pests. Biological Control, 2010, 52(3): 296-306. [4]Gould E A, Higgs S. Impact of climate change and other factors on emerging arbovirus diseases. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2009, 103(2): 109-121.[5]Stoate C, Báldi A, Beja P, Boatman N D, Herzon I, van Doorn A, de Snoo G R, Rakosy L, Ramwell C. Ecological impacts of early 21st century agricultural change in Europe - A review. Journal of Environmental Management, 2009, 91(1): 22-46.[6]丁一汇, 任国玉, 石广玉, 宫 鹏, 郑循华, 翟盘茂, 张德二, 赵宗慈, 王绍武, 王会军, 罗 勇, 陈德亮, 高学杰, 戴晓苏. 气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅰ): 中国气候变化的历史和未来趋势. 气候变化研究进展, 2006, 2(1): 3-8.Ding Y H, Ren G Y, Shi G Y, Gong P, Zheng X H, Zhai P M, Zhang D E, Zhao Z C, Wang S W, Wang H J, Luo Y, Chen D L, Gao X J, Dai X S. National assessment report of climate change (Ⅰ): climate change in China and its future trend. Advance in Climate Change Research, 2006, 2(1): 3-8. (in Chinese )[7]丁一汇, 任国玉, 赵宗慈, 徐 影, 罗 勇, 李巧萍, 张 锦. 中国气候变化的检测及预估. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2007, 1(1): 1-10. Ding Y H, Ren G Y, Zhao Z C, Xu Y, Luo Y, Li Q P, Zhang J. Detection, attribution and projection of climate change over China. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2007, 1(1): 1-10. (in Chinese )[8]钱维宏, 符娇兰, 张玮玮, 林 祥. 近40年中国平均气候与极值气候变化的概述. 地球科学进展, 2007, 22(7): 673-684. Qian W H, Fu J L, Zhang W W, Lin X. Changes in mean climate and extreme climate in China during the last 40 years. Advances in Earth Science, 2007, 22(7): 673-684. (in Chinese)[9]水利部应对气候变化研究中心. 全球变暖及我国气候变化的事实. 中国水利, 2008(2): 28-30, 34. Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources. Global warming and climate change in China. China Water Resources, 2008(2): 28-30, 34. (in Chinese)[10]林云萍, 赵春生. 中国地区不同强度降水的变化趋势. 北京大学学报: 自然科学版, 2009, 45(6): 995-1002. Lin Y P, Zhao C S. Trends of precipitation of different intensity in China. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis, 2009, 45(6): 995-1002. (in Chinese)[11]王琪珍, 卜庆雷, 王承军. 莱芜市气候变化特征及其对农业生产的影响. 现代农业科技, 2009(15): 295-297.Wang Q Z, Bu Q L, Wang C J. The characters of climatic change and its impacts on agriculture in Laiwu, Shandong Province. Modern Agricultural Science and Technology, 2009(15): 295-297. (in Chinese)[12]张文斌. 张掖地区农作物主要病虫害的发生变化趋势及综合治理对策. 甘肃农业科技, 2000(11): 37-39. Zhang W B. Occurrence trend of main crops diseases and insect pests and comprehensive control measures in Zhangye, Gansu Province. Gansu Agricultural Science and Technology, 2000(11): 37-39. (in Chinese)[13]秦引雪, 古仙果, 樊改英, 张东霞. 山西运城棉区棉蚜近10多年来严重发生的原因分析及防治对策探讨. 中国植保导刊, 2005, 25(12): 28-30.Qin Y X, Gu X G, Fan G Y, Zhang D X. Analysis on serious occurrence reason and control measures of cotton aphid during the latest ten years in Yuncheng, Shanxi Province. China Plant Protection, 2005, 25(12): 28-30. (in Chinese)[14]祁德富. 气候因素与苜蓿蚜种群数量变化规律初探. 青海大学学报: 自然科学版, 1999, 17(3): 30-32. Qi D F. Discussion on relations between climatic factors and dynamics of population growth of black bean aphid (Aphis craccivora Koch). Journal of Qinghai University: Natural Science Edition, 1999, 17(3): 30-32. (in Chinese)[15]于谅文, 邹慎茂, 侯成晓, 王志葵. 1996年玉米蚜大发生特点及致因分析. 植保技术与推广, 1997, 17(3): 15-16. Yu L W, Zou S M, Hou C X, Wang Z K. Analysis on characteristics and causes of outbreak of maize aphides in 1996. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 1997, 17(3): 15-16. (in Chinese)[16]段桂云, 段文广, 田庆明, 曹 华, 王秀琴. 酒泉市棉花病虫害发生规律与气象条件的初步分析. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2008, 2(1): 38-40. Duan G Y, Duan W G, Tian Q M, Cao H, Wang X Q. Analysis on the rule of pest propagation to cotton and the climatic factor in Jiuquan City. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2008, 2(1): 38-40. (in Chinese)[17]徐文华, 王瑞明, 丁志宽. 甜菜夜蛾在盐城农区的消长动态分析. 江西棉花, 2006, 28(6): 16-18. Xu W H, Wang R M, Ding Z K. Analysis on the growth and decline dynamic of beet armyworm in Yancheng, Jiangsu Province. Jiangxi Cotton, 2006, 28(6): 16-18. (in Chinese)[18]杨荣明, 朱叶芹, 张瑞平. 江苏省1999年甜菜夜蛾发生特点及原因分析. 植保技术与推广, 2000, 20(4): 39, 43. Yang R M, Zhu Y Q, Zhang R P. Analysis on occurrence characteristics and cause of Spodoptera exigua in Jiangsu Province in 1999. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 2000, 20(4): 39, 43. (in Chinese)[19]谭学留, 潘云平, 张海燕, 潘玉真. 聊城、潍坊市2001年烟粉虱大发生原因调查分析. 植保技术与推广, 2002, 22(2): 15-16. Tan X L, Pan Y P, Zhang H Y, Pan Y Z. Investigation and analysis on outbreak of whitefly (Bemisia tabaci Gennadius) in Liaocheng and Weifang City in 2001. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 2002, 22(2): 15-16. (in Chinese)[20]张学坤, 周 玉, 王胜利, 魏 毅, 赵 鸣, 李维江. 棉田烟粉虱的发生特点与综合防治技术. 中国棉花, 2004(8): 25-26. Zhang X K, Zhou Y, Wang S L, Wei Y, Zhao M, Li W J. The occurrence characteristics and integrated control techniques of whitefly (Bemisia tabaci Gennadius) in cotton field. China Cotton, 2004(8): 25-26. (in Chinese)[21]杨秋生, 王长青. 水稻三化螟种群消长因子分析及综合治理对策. 湖北植保, 1998(5): 10-12. Yang Q S, Wang C Q. Analysis on the influence factors of population growth and decline and comprehensive control measures of rice yellow borer. Hubei Plant Protection, 1998(5): 10-12. (in Chinese)[22]Kiritani K. The impact of global warming and land-use change on the pest status of rice and fruit bugs (Heteroptera) in Japan. Global Change Biology, 2007, 13(8): 1586-1595.[23]Kiritani K. Predicting impacts of global warming on population dynamics and distribution of arthropods in Japan. Population Ecology, 2006, 48(1): 5-12.[24]Rosenzweig C, Lglesias A, Yang X B, Epstein P R, Chivian E. Climate change and extreme weather events: implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests. Global Change & Human Health, 2001, 2(2): 90-104.[25]杨寿椿. 皖西农业病虫发生动态和消长因素的探讨. 安徽农业科学, 1981(1): 39-44. Yang S C. Study on occurrence dynamics and influence factors of crop diseases and insect pests in the west of Anhui Province. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 1981(1): 39-44. (in Chinese)[26]叶生海, 陈国平, 程年娣, 方荣华, 柯美汉, 冷三成. 鄂州市水稻稻曲病流行的气象条件初探. 湖北植保, 2005(2): 37-38.Ye S H, Chen G P, Cheng N D, Fang R H, Ke M H, Leng S C. Preliminary study on meteorological conditions of epidemic of rice false smut in Ezhou, Hubei Province. Hubei Plant Protection, 2005(2): 37-38. (in Chinese)[27]刘生兴, 杨望章. 水稻稻曲病流行的几个因素和综合防治. 福建稻麦科技, 2008, 26(2): 18-19. Liu S X, Yang W Z. Influence factors of epidemic of rice false smut and countermeasures. Fujian Science and Technology of Rice and Wheat, 2008, 26(2): 18-19. (in Chinese)[28]张达余, 嵇少长, 宋贤利. 夏涝年棉花病虫害发生规律与防御对策. 中国棉花, 1994(11): 25.Zhang D Y, Ji S C, Song X L. Occurrence characteristics and defensive countermeasures of cotton diseases and insect pests in flood years. China Cotton, 1994(11): 25. (in Chinese)[29]黄华南, 苏利荣, 张晓梅, 吴承和. 2008年大通湖区棉花黄萎病大发生原因分析及综合防治措施. 农药研究与应用, 2009, 13(2): 10-12. Huang H N, Su L R, Zhang X M, Wu C H. Causes of infestation of Verticillium wilt of cotton in Datonghu and control. Agrochemicals Research & Application, 2009, 13(2): 10-12. (in Chinese)[30]Patterson D T, Westbrook J K, Joyce R J V, Lingren P D, Rogasik J. Weeds, insects, and diseases. Climatic Change, 1999, 43(4): 711-727. [31]Chakraborty S, Murray G M, Magarey P A, Yonow T, O’Brien R G, Croft B J, Barbetti M J, Sivasithamparam K, Old K M, Dudzinski M J, Sutherst R W, Penrose L J, Archer C, Emmett R W. Potential impact of climate change on plant diseases of economic significance to Australia. Australasian Plant Pathology, 1998, 27(1): 15-35.[32]王秋芽, 刘思乡, 谢 炜, 刘洪华, 刘运华. 耒阳市稻纵卷叶螟重发原因分析及防治对策. 湖南农业科学, 2008(6): 88-89, 114.Wang Q Y, Liu S X, Xie W, Liu H H, Liu Y H. Analysis of grave occurrence reason and countermeasures of rice leaf roller in Leiyang, Hunan Province. Hunan Agricultural Sciences, 2008(6): 88-89, 114. (in Chinese)[33]许瑞秋, 曾成香, 黄岩彬, 黄荣锋, 江善赐. 稻纵卷叶螟主害代发生量与降雨关系的研究. 福建农业学报, 1999, 14(3): 23-25. Xu R Q, Zeng C X, Huang Y B, Huang R F, Jiang S C. Relation between the occurrence amount of the major pestilent generation of Cnaphalocrocis medinalis Guenee and rainfall. Fujian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 1999, 14(3): 23-25. (in Chinese)[34]欧明涛. 2003年五河县稻纵卷叶螟发生特点、原因及防治措施. 安徽农学通报, 2004, 10(3): 33. Ou M T. The occurrence characteristics, causes and countermeasures of rice leaf roller in Wuhe County in 2003. Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2004, 10(3): 33. (in Chinese)[35]万贤宗. 2007年宣州区五(3)代稻纵卷叶螟大发生原因分析. 安徽农学通报, 2009, 15(5): 175, 195. Wan X Z. Analysis on grave occurrence reason of G5(3) rice leaf roller. Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2009, 15(5): 175, 195. (in Chinese)[36]包华理, 陈忠诚, 杨丽梅, 陈怀仰, 赖真如, 邹寿发, 黄健民. 广东省稻飞虱发生区划及防治策略. 广东农业科学, 1996(4): 8-11. Bao H L, Chen Z C, Yang L M, Chen H Y, Lai Z R, Zou S F, Huang J M. Regionalization and control strategy of rice planthopper in Guangdong Province. Guangdong Agricultural Sciences, 1996(4): 8-11. (in Chinese)[37]高 苹, 武金岗, 陈 宁, 杨荣明, 吴洪颜. 大气环流特征量的水稻白背飞虱发生程度预报模型的研究. 生态学杂志, 2005, 24(2): 146-152.Gao P, Wu J G, Chen N, Yang R M, Wu H Y. Atmospheric circulation characteristics (ACC) models for the prediction of the occurrence and development of Sogatella furcifera. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2005, 24(2): 146-152. (in Chinese)[38]余夕辉, 熊桂和, 桂宿奕, 何木兰, 胡时中. 稻田黏虫暴发原因浅析及预测. 中国植保导刊, 2006, 26(10): 21-23.Yu X H, Xiong G H, Gui S Y, He M L, Hu S Z. Analysis on causes of outbreak and prediction of Mythimna separate (Walker) in rice fields. China Plant Protection, 2006, 26(10): 21-23. (in Chinese)[39]路海明, 李存庆, 杨 军. 陕西省镇巴县2005年水稻稻曲病流行原因浅析. 陕西农业科学, 2006(2): 76, 106. Lu H M, Li C Q, Yang J. Analysis on epidemic reasons of rice false smut in Zhenba County, Shaanxi Province, in 2005. Shaanxi Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2006(2): 76, 106. (in Chinese)[40]向卫国, 胡红兵, 万 军, 胡 毅, 何树林, 何 明. 四川水稻稻飞虱发生的天气环流型式分析. 成都气象学院学报, 1995, 10(3): 211-219.Xiang W G, Hu H B, Wan J, Hu Y, He S L, He M. Analysis of the patterns of weather circulation in which plant hopper occurs in Sichuan Province. Journal of Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, 1995, 10(3): 211-219. (in Chinese)[41]敖淑平. 渝东地区近年气候变化与农作物病虫害演替趋势分析. 植物医生, 2008, 21(5): 4-5.Ao S P. Effect of climate change on succession trend of crop diseases and pests in eastern Chongqing area in recent years. Plant Doctor, 2008, 21(5): 4-5. (in Chinese)[42]张毅军, 颜胜安. 眉县农作物病虫害发生的气象条件分析. 陕西气象, 2009(4): 14-15. Zhang Y J, Yan S A. Analysis on meteorological conditions of occurrence of crops diseases and pests in Meixian, Shaanxi Province. Journal of Shaanxi Meteorology, 2009(4): 14-15. (in Chinese)[43]陆郝胜, 张 冬, 濮伟新. 洪涝灾害后棉花黄萎病的蔓延暴发. 中国棉花, 1998(12): 15. Lu H S, Zhang D, Pu W X. Spread and outbreak of cotton Verticillium wilt after flood. China Cotton, 1998(12): 15. (in Chinese)[44]尹仁国, 刘爱媛. 暴雨对蔬菜病虫草害的影响与防治对策. 长江蔬菜, 1994(2): 41-42. Yin R G, Liu A Y. Effects of rainstorm on vegetable diseases, pests and weeds injury and control measures. Journal of Changjiang Vegetables, 1994(2): 41-42. (in Chinese)[45]李新华. 昔阳县三代黏虫发生影响因子分析. 植保技术与推广, 2003, 23(8): 19-20. Li X H. Analysis on influence factors of occurrence of G3 Mythimna separate (Walker). Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 2003, 23(8): 19-20. (in Chinese)[46]沈建新. 2005年水稻黑条矮缩病轻发原因剖析. 浙江农业科学, 2008(1): 97-99. Shen J X. Analysis on causes of lower level occurrence of rice black-streaked dwarf viral disease in 2005. Journal of Zhejiang Agricultural Sciences, 2008(1): 97-99. (in Chinese)[47]王 冰, 李克斌, 尹 姣, 杜桂林, 郭 萧, 王玉卿, 曹雅忠. 风雨对麦长管蚜自然种群发展的干扰作用. 生态学报, 2009, 29(8): 4317-4324. Wang B, Li K B, Yin J, Du G L, Guo X, Wang Y Q, Cao Y Z. Rain and wind interfere with natural population development of Macrosiphum avenae (Fabricius). Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2009, 29(8): 4317-4324. (in Chinese)[48]金瑞华, 张家娴, 白章红, 刘 龙, 李冬明, 张遵雄, 姚文国, 张从仲, 耿秉晋, 张 平, 蔺创业, 张积儒. 苹果蠹蛾分布与降雨关系研究初报. 植物检疫, 1996, 10(3): 129-136, 141.Jin R H, Zhang J X, Bai Z H, Liu L, Li D M, Zhang Z X, Yao W G, Zhang C Z, Geng B J, Zhang P, Lin C Y, Zhang J R. Preliminary study on the relationship between the rainfall and distribution of Cydia pomonella (L.). Plant Quarantine, 1996, 10(3): 129-136, 141. (in Chinese)[49]张兴华, 李 捷. 2007年烟粉虱在江西棉区大发生及其原因分析. 江西农业学报, 2008, 20(6): 62-64. Zhang X H, Li J. Analysis on outbreak of tobacco whitefly in cotton fields of Jiangxi in 2007. Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi, 2008, 20(6): 62-64. (in Chinese)[50]刘建宁, 高玉凤, 张生忠, 杨宁生, 王 燕, 韩玉福. 吴忠市区玉米病虫发生动态分析及防治对策. 宁夏农林科技, 2006(6): 82-83. Liu J N, Gao Y F, Zhang S Z, Yang N S, Wang Y, Han Y F. Analysis on occurrence dynamic of cotton diseases and pests and countermeasures in Wuzhong City. Ningxia Journal of Agriculture and Forestry Science and Technology, 2006(6): 82-83. (in Chinese)[51]张纯胄, 陈永兵, 蒋志明, 胡丽秋. 涂园大白菜干烧心病的灾变条件及关键防治技术. 上海农业学报, 2000, 16(2): 89-93. Zhang C Z, Chen Y B, Jiang Z M, Hu L Q. Studies on disastrous conditions and key control techniques of dry burnt heart disease of Chinese cabbage in beach gardens. Acta Agriculturae Shanghai, 2000, 16(2): 89-93. (in Chinese)[52]闵召柱, 王玉建, 朱 燕, 张国鹏, 刘开成, 董勤成. 夏玉米病虫草危害加重原因及综合治理措施. 现代农业科技, 2007(1): 59-60.Min Z Z, Wang Y J, Zhu Y, Zhang G P, Liu K C, Dong Q C. Causes of aggravated damage by summer maize diseases, pests and weeds and comprehensive control measures. Modern Agricultural Science and Technology, 2007(1): 59-60. (in Chinese) [53]陈钰瑛. 江苏省夏季天气对稻飞虱初次迁入的影响. 植保技术与推广, 1995(4): 3-4.Chen Y Y. Effect of the summer weather on the early immigration of rice planthopper in Jiangsu Province. Plant Protection Technology and Extension, 1995(4): 3-4. (in Chinese)[54]姜春义, 顾卫中, 金中时, 沈书龙, 张爱俊. 90年代苏北沿海稻区褐稻虱发生特点及暴发原因分析. 江西植保, 2000, 23(2): 40-43.Jiang C Y, Gu W Z, Jin Z S, Shen S L, Zhang A J. Analysis on the occurrence characteristics and reasons of brown planthopper at the seaside rice area in the north of Jiangsu. Jiangxi Plant Protection, 2000, 23(2): 40-43. (in Chinese)[55]奚本贵, 姚满昌, 张 桥, 吴庭友, 秦吉洋, 张春云, 翁爱平. 2000-2007年仪征市稻纵卷叶螟的发生特点及治理对策探讨. 农技服务, 2008, 25(2): 90-91. Xi B G, Yao M C, Zhang Q, Wu T Y, Qin J Y, Zhang C Y, Weng A P. Study on occurrence characteristics of rice leaf roller in Yizheng City during 2000-2007 and countermeasures. Agriculture Service, 2008, 25(2): 90-91. (in Chinese)[56]陈善国. 苏北沿海地区稻纵卷叶螟大发生原因及防治对策探讨. 中国植保导刊, 2005, 25(8): 17-18.Chen S G. Analysis on the factors causing the outbreak of rice leaf roller and control measures in coastal area in the north of Jiangsu Province. China Plant Protection, 2005, 25(8): 17-18. (in Chinese)[57]吴 涛, 周 游, 周登文, 李永松, 刘久波. 2008年荆州市稻纵卷叶螟大发生特点及原因分析. 湖北植保, 2009(3): 22-23. Wu T, Zhou Y, Zhou D W, Li Y S, Liu J B. Analysis on outbreak characteristics and reason of rice leaf roller in Jingzhou, Hubei Province, in 2008. Hubei Plant Protection, 2009(3): 22-23. (in Chinese)[58]霍治国, 陈 林, 叶彩玲, 刘 玲. 气候条件对中国水稻稻飞虱为害规律的影响. 自然灾害学报, 2002, 11(1): 97-102.Huo Z G, Chen L, Ye C L, Liu L. Effect of climate on outbreak of China rice planthopper. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2002, 11(1): 97-102. (in Chinese)[59]侯婷婷, 霍治国, 卢志光, 叶彩玲, 王建强, 李世奎. 副热带高压与我国稻飞虱发生关系的研究. 自然灾害学报, 2003, 12(2): 213-219. Hou T T, Huo Z G, Lu Z G, Ye C L, Wang J Q, Li S K. Relationship between the west Pacific subtropical high and occurrence of rice planthopper in China. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2003, 12(2): 213-219. (in Chinese)[60]蒙绍南, 张木新, 谢乃官, 毛秀珍. 广西贵港、梧州、防城、钦州4市洪涝灾后病虫动态. 广西植保, 2001, 14(4): 24-26. Meng S N, Zhang M X, Xie N G, Mao X Z. Occurrence dynamics of crops diseases and pests after flood in Guigang, Wuzhou, Fangcheng and Qinzhou Cities. Guangxi Plant Protection, 2001, 14(4): 24-26. (in Chinese)[61]孙思清, 邵守英, 刘鸿岩. 台风暴雨对赤松毛虫虫口密度的影响. 山东林业科技, 1997(6): 22-23. Sun S Q, Shao S Y, Liu H Y. Effects of typhoon rainstorm on population density of Dendrolimus spectabilis. Journal of Shandong Forestry Science and Technology, 1997(6): 22-23. (in Chinese) [62]张夕林, 王东华, 张武龙, 钱 明. 迁入虫量和气候条件对沿江地区褐飞虱大发生的影响分析. 上海农业科技, 2009(4): 148-149. Zhang X L, Wang D H, Zhang W L, Qian M. Effect of immigration and climate condition on the outbreaks of brown planthopper in the Yangtze River Valley. Shanghai Agricultural Science and Technology, 2009(4): 148-149. (in Chinese)[63]龚道溢, 王绍武. 近百年ENSO对全球陆地及中国降水的影响. 科学通报, 1999, 44(3): 315-320. Gong D Y, Wang S W. Influence of ENSO on the precipitation over China and global land in the last century. Chinese Science Bulletin, 1999, 44(3): 315-320. (in Chinese)[64]赵振国. 厄尔尼诺现象对北半球大气环流和中国降水的影响. 大气科学, 1996, 20(4): 422-428.Zhao Z G. Impact of El Nino events on atmospheric circulations in the northern hemisphere and precipitation in China. Scientia Atmospherica Sinica, 1996, 20(4): 422-428. (in Chinese)[65]赵圣菊, 姚彩文. 厄尼诺与小麦赤霉病大流行关系的研究. 灾害学, 1988, 3(3): 21-28. Zhao S J, Yao C W. A study on the relationship between the El Nino and the great prevaillind of the wheat scab. Journal of Catastrophology, 1988, 3(3): 21-28. (in Chinese)[66]居为民, 高 苹, 武金岗. 太湖地区小麦赤霉病与ENSO事件之关系及其预报. 科技通报, 2001, 17(3): 22-26.Ju W M, Gao P, Wu J G. Relationship of ENSO to winter wheat Gibberellin in the area of Taihu Lake and its prediction. Bulletin of Science and Technology, 2001, 17(3): 22-26. (in Chinese)[67]冯崇川, 张联社. 陕西小麦黄矮病演变与厄尔尼诺现象. 西北农业学报, 1999, 8(1): 57-59.Feng C C, Zhang L S. The relationship of wheat yellow dwarf disease in Shaanxi and El Nino appearance. Acta Agriculturae Boreali-Occidentalis Sinica, 1999, 8(1): 57-59. (in Chinese)[68]朱 敏, 胡国文, 唐 健, 马辛宇, 唐启义. 全球气候异常(ENSO事件的发生)对我国褐飞虱大发生的影响. 中国农业科学, 1997, 30(5): 1-5.Zhu M, Hu G W, Tang J, Ma X Y, Tang Q Y. Effect of globe climate abnormality (ENSO phenomena occurrence) on outbreak of rice brown planthopper in China. Scientia Agricutura Sinica, 1997, 30(5): 1-5. (in Chinese)[69]霍治国, 叶彩玲, 钱 拴, 陈 林, 刘万才. 气候异常与中国小麦白粉病灾害流行关系的研究.自然灾害学报, 2002, 11(2): 85-90.Huo Z G, Ye C L, Qian S, Chen L, Liu W C. Relationship between climatic anomaly and prevailling of the wheat powdery mildew in China. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2002, 11(2): 85-90. (in Chinese) |
[1] | 赵政鑫,王晓云,田雅洁,王锐,彭青,蔡焕杰. 未来气候条件下秸秆还田和氮肥种类对夏玉米产量及土壤氨挥发的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2023, 56(1): 104-117. |
[2] | 郭世博,张方亮,张镇涛,周丽涛,赵锦,杨晓光. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度的可能影响XIV.东北大豆高产稳产区及农业气象灾害分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(9): 1763-1780. |
[3] | 任义方,杨章平,零丰华,肖良文. 江苏奶牛热应激风险区划及其受气候变化的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2022, 55(22): 4513-4525. |
[4] | 唐建昭,王靖,肖登攀,潘学标. 马铃薯生长模型的研究进展及发展前景[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(5): 921-932. |
[5] | 张卫建,严圣吉,张俊,江瑜,邓艾兴. 国家粮食安全与农业双碳目标的双赢策略[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(18): 3892-3902. |
[6] | 房蕊,于镇华,李彦生,谢志煌,刘俊杰,王光华,刘晓冰,陈渊,刘居东,张少庆,吴俊江,Stephen J HERBERT,金剑. 大气CO2浓度和温度升高对农田土壤碳库及微生物群落结构的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(17): 3666-3679. |
[7] | 王飞,孙增光,尹飞,郭彬彬,刘领,焦念元. 增温增CO2对间作玉米光合特性的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2021, 54(1): 58-70. |
[8] | 弓开元,何亮,邬定荣,吕昌河,李俊,周文彬,杜军,于强. 青藏高原高寒区青稞光温生产潜力和产量差时空分布特征及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(4): 720-733. |
[9] | 王鸣雷,史文娇. 中国北方新增耕地的时空变化及驱动因素分区[J]. 中国农业科学, 2020, 53(12): 2435-2449. |
[10] | 孙建飞,郑聚锋,程琨,叶仪,庄园,潘根兴. 面向自愿减排碳交易的生物质炭基肥固碳减排计量方法研究[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(23): 4470-4484. |
[11] | 张镇涛,杨晓光,高继卿,王晓煜,白帆,孙爽,刘志娟,明博,谢瑞芝,王克如,李少昆. 气候变化背景下华北平原夏玉米适宜播期分析[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(17): 3258-3274. |
[12] | 景立权,户少武,穆海蓉,王云霞,杨连新. 大气环境变化导致水稻品质总体变劣[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(13): 2462-2475. |
[13] | 刘维,李祎君,吕厚荃. 早稻抽穗开花至成熟期气候适宜度对气候变暖与提前移栽的响应[J]. 中国农业科学, 2018, 51(1): 49-59. |
[14] | 张婷,师志刚,王根平,高翔,夏雪岩,杨伟红,张喜瑞,田晓建,程汝宏,刁现民. 华北夏谷区2001—2015年谷子育种变化[J]. 中国农业科学, 2017, 50(23): 4475-4485. |
[15] | 孙新素,龙致炜,宋广鹏,陈长青. 气候变化对黄淮海地区夏玉米-冬小麦种植模式和产量的影响[J]. 中国农业科学, 2017, 50(13): 2476-2487. |
|