Please wait a minute...
Journal of Integrative Agriculture  2018, Vol. 17 Issue (04): 940-948    DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(17)61848-3
Agricultural Economics and Management Advanced Online Publication | Current Issue | Archive | Adv Search |
Estimating the average treatment effect of adopting stress tolerant variety on rice yield in China
ZHOU Jie-hong1, TANG Li-qun1, Xiaohua Yu1, 2 
1 Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, P.R.China 
2 Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, University of Goettingen, Goettingen 37073, Germany
Download:  PDF (824KB) ( )  
Export:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
Abstract  Climate extremes, characterized by droughts and floods, have become one of the major constraints to sustainable improvement of rice productivity.  Variety choice, considered as one of the main adaptation measures, could help farmers reduce yield loss resulting from these extremes.  Based on a three-year panel survey of 1 080 Chinese rice farms in major rice producing provinces, we assume Hicksian neutral technology and employ an IV regression to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) on rice yield for adopting stress tolerant variety, and find that farmers who adopted the stress tolerant variety on average increased rice yield by 15.5% in comparison to the non-adopters.
Keywords:  climate extremes        rice        stress tolerant variety        yield        ATE,       endogeneity  
Received: 30 June 2017   Accepted:
Fund: 

The research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC, 71773109 and 71273234) and the Key Project of the Ministry of Education of China (16JJD63007).

Corresponding Authors:  Correspondence Xiaohua Yu, Tel: +49-551-3919574, E-mail: xyu@uni-goettingen.de   

Cite this article: 

ZHOU Jie-hong, TANG Li-qun, Xiaohua Yu. 2018. Estimating the average treatment effect of adopting stress tolerant variety on rice yield in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 17(04): 940-948.

Bai J F, Xu Z, Qiu H G, Liu H. 2015. Optimising seed portfolios to cope ex ante with risks from bad weather: Evidence from a recent maize farmer survey in China. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 59, 242–257.

Bradshaw B, Dolan H, Smit B. 2004. Farm-level adaptation to climatic variability and change: Crop diversification in the Canadian prairies. Climatic Change, 67, 119–141.

Bryan E, Deressa T T, Gbetibouo G A, Ringler C. 2009. Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: Options and constraints. Environmental Science and Policy, 12, 413–426.

Cao R. 2011. Empirical study on the factors influencing rape framers’ adoption of new variety. Economic Perspective, 8, 146–147. (in Chinese)

Challinor A J, Wheeler T R, Craufurd P Q, Ferro C A, Stephenson D B. 2007. Adaptation of crops to climate change through genotypic responses to mean and extreme temperatures. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 119, 190–204.

Chen H, Wang J X, Huang J K. 2014. Policy support, social capital and farmers’ adaptation to drought in crop production of China. Global Environmental Change, 24, 193–202.

Chen S. 2015. The impact of climate change on the wheat productivity: Evidence from Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. China Rural Economy, 7, 4–16. (in Chinese)

CMA (China Meteorological Administration). 2004. Trial Procedures for the Early-warning Signal Issuance of Unexpected Meteorological Disasters. China Meteorological Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)

Cuculeanu V, Marica A, Simota C. 1999. Climate change impact on agricultural crops and adaptation options in Romania. Climate Research, 12, 153–160.

Deressa T T, Hassan R M, Ringler C, Alemu T, Yesuf M. 2009. Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 19, 248–255.

Deschenes O, Greenstone M. 2007. The economic impacts of climate change: Evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather. The American Economic Review, 97, 354–385.

Di Falco S, Chavas J P. 2009. On crop biodiversity, risk exposure and food security in the highlands of Ethiopia. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 91, 599–611.

Di Falco S, Veronesi M, Yesuf M. 2011. Does adaptation provide food security? A micro perspective from Ethiopia. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 93, 829–846.

FAO. 2014. FAOSTAT. Statistics Database of Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome.

Freedman D A. 2006. On the so-called “Huber Sandwich Estimator” and “Robust Standard Errors”. The American Statistician, 60, 299–302.

Holst R, Yu X, Grün C. 2013. Climate change, risk and grain yields in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 12, 1279–1291.

Huang J, Hu R, Cao J, Rozelle S. 2008. Training programs and in-the-field guidance to reduce China’s overuse of fertilizer without hurting profitability. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 63, 165–167.

Huang J, Wang Y, Wang J. 2015. Farmers’ adaptation to extreme weather events through farm management and its impacts on the mean and risk of rice yield in China. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 97, 602–617.

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2014. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, UK.

IRRI (International Rice Research Institute). 2013. Cluster Demonstrations of Stress Tolerant Rice Varieties in Stress Prone Parts of India. Annual Report Submitted to National Food Security Mission, Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India. International Rice Research Institute, New Delhi Office, India.

Ju H, Xu Y, Xiong W. 2007. The impacts of climate change on agriculture in China. Environment Protection, 6A, 71–73. (in Chinese)

Kawasaki K, Uchida S. 2016. Quality matters more than quantity: Asymmetric temperature effects on crop yield and quality grade. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 98, 1195–1209.

Kim K, Chavas J P. 2003. Technological change and risk management: An application to the economics of corn production. Agricultural Economics, 29, 125–142.

Lin E. 1997. Simulation Analysis of The Impacts of Global Climate Change on Agricultural Production in China. China’s Agricultural Science and Technology Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)

Liu M, Chen B. 2000. The analysis on correlativity grain yield fluctuation and its relation with agricultural natural disasters in China in recent years. Journal of Catastrophology, 15, 78–85. (in Chinese)

Long F, Yang Z, Peng L. 2011. The empirical study on the impacts of natural disaster on grain production: The case of rice production in China. China Rural Economy, 5, 33–44. (in Chinese)

Lybbert T J, Bell A. 2010. Stochastic benefit streams, learning, and technology diffusion: Why drought tolerance is not the new Bt. AgBioForum, 13, 13–24.

Mendelsohn R, Dinar A. 2009. Climate Change and Agriculture:    An Economic Analysis of Global Impacts, Adaptation, and Distributional Effects. Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenha.

Meng X, Rao J, Ye J. 2005. Research on the determinants that affect farmers’ selection behavior on new crop variety. Journal of Agrotechnical, 1, 20–26. (in Chinese)

Meza F J, Silva D, Vigil H. 2008. Climate change impacts on irrigated maize in Mediterranean climates: Evaluation of double cropping as an emerging adaptation alternative. Agricultural Systems, 98, 21–30.

MWR (Ministry of Water Resources, People’s Republic of China). 2014. Bulletin of Flood and Drought Disaster in China 2014. China Water Power Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)

NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics in China). 2012. China Statistical Yearbook 2012. China Statistical Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)

NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics in China). 2015. China Statistical Yearbook 2015. China Statistical Press, Beijing. (in Chinese)

Pan G, Gao M, Hu G. 2011. Impacts of climate change on agricultural production of China. Journal of Agro-Environment Science, 30, 1698–1706. (in Chinese)

Pray C, Nagarajan L, Li L, Huang J, Hu R, Selvaraj K N, Napasintuwong O, Babu R C. 2011. Potential impact of biotechnology on adaption of agriculture to climate change: The case of drought tolerant rice breeding in Asia. Sustainability, 3, 1723–1741.

De Salvo M, Raffael R, Moser R. 2013. The impact of climate change on permanent crops in an Alpine region: A Ricardian analysis. Agricultural Systems, 118, 23–32.

Schwan S, Yu X. 2017. Social protection as a strategy to address climate-induced migration. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-01-2017-0019

Selvaraj K N, Ramasamy C. 2006. Drought, agricultural risk and rural income: Case of a water limiting rice production environment, Tamil Nadu. Economic and Political Weekly, 41, 2739–2746.

Seo S N, Mendelsohn R. 2008. Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: A structural Ricardian model of African livestock management. Agricultural Economics, 38, 151–165.

Smit B, Skinner M W. 2002. Adaptation options in agriculture to climate change: A typology. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 7, 85–114.

Stern N H. 2006. The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge University Press, London.

Tang G, Li X, Guenther F, Sylvia P. 2000. Climate change and its impacts on China’s agriculture. Acta Geographica Sinica, 55, 129–138. (in Chinese)

Tubiello F N, Rosenzweig C, Goldberg R A, Jagtap S, Jones J W. 2007. Effects of climate change on US crop production: Simulation results using two different GCM scenarios. Part I: wheat, potato, maize, and citrus. Climate Research, 20, 259–270.

Virk S D, Witcombe J R. 2007. Trade-offs between on-farm varietal diversity and highly client-oriented breeding: A case study of upland rice in India. Genetic Resources and Crop Evolution, 54, 823–835.

Wang C, Lou X, Wang J. 2007. Influence of agricultural meteorological disasters on output of crop in China. Journal of Natural Disasters, 16, 37–43. (in Chinese)

Wang J X, Huang J K, Yan T T. 2013. Impacts of climate change on water and agricultural production in ten large river basins in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 12, 1267–1268.

Wang J X, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Huang J K, Rozelle S, Zhang L. 2009. The impact of climate change on China’s agriculture. Agricultural Economics, 40, 323–337.

Wang S. 2005. The impacts of future climatic change on agricultural production and corresponding countermeasures. Journal of Liaoning Academy of Education Administration, 22, 126–128. (in Chinese)

Wang Y J, Huang J K, Wang J X. 2014. Household and community assets and farmers’ adaptation to extreme weather event: The case of drought in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 13, 687–697.

Wooldridge J M. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. The MIT Press, USA.

World Bank. 2013. Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts, and the Case for Resilience. A Report for the World Bank by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics. The World Bank, Washington D.C., USA.

Wu C Y, Liu F F. 2015. The research of rice farmers’ behavior of adopting engineering adaptation measure to cope with floods under the background of climate change. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 3, 15–24.

Wu Z, Zhou Z. 2004. Effects of climatic changes on China’s agriculture and corresponding countermeasures. Journal of South China University of Tropical Agriculture, 10, 7–11. (in Chinese)

Yesuf M, Di Falco S, Deressa T, Ringler C, Kohlin G. 2008. The Impact of Climate Change and Adaptation on Food Production in Low-Income Countries: Evidence from the Nile Basin, Ethiopia. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C., USA.

Yu X, Zhao G. 2009. Chinese agricultural development in 30 years: A literature review. Frontiers of Economics in China, 4, 633–648. (in Chinese)

Yuan J, Yan Q. 2009. Research on factors of influencing farming household’s acceptance for hybrid maize. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Science, 14, 6651–6652. (in Chinese)

Zhou S D, Zhou W K, Zhu H G, Wang C X, Wang Y. 2010. The impact of climate change on agriculture and the countermeasures. Journal of Nanjing Agriculture University (Social Science Edition), 10, 34–39. (in Chinese)
 
[1] GAO Peng, ZHANG Tuo, LEI Xing-yu, CUI Xin-wei, LU Yao-xiong, FAN Peng-fei, LONG Shi-ping, HUANG Jing, GAO Ju-sheng, ZHANG Zhen-hua, ZHANG Hui-min. Improvement of soil fertility and rice yield after long-term application of cow manure combined with inorganic fertilizers[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(7): 2221-2232.
[2] TIAN Jin-yu, LI Shao-ping, CHENG Shuang, LIU Qiu-yuan, ZHOU Lei, TAO Yu, XING Zhi-peng, HU Ya-jie, GUO Bao-wei, WEI Hai-yan, ZHANG Hong-cheng. Increasing the appropriate seedling density for higher yield in dry direct-seeded rice sown by a multifunctional seeder after wheat-straw return[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(2): 400-416.
[3] YANG Wen-jia, LI Yu-lin, LIU Wei-jian, WANG Shi-wen, YIN Li-na, DENG Xi-ping. Agronomic management practices in dryland wheat result in variations in precipitation use efficiency due to their differential impacts on the steps in the precipitation use process[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(1): 92-107.
[4] JIANG Hui, GAO Ming-wei, CHEN Ying, ZHANG Chao, WANG Jia-bao, CHAI Qi-chao, WANG Yong-cui, ZHENG Jin-xiu, WANG Xiu-li, ZHAO Jun-sheng. Effect of the L-D1 alleles on leaf morphology, canopy structure and photosynthetic productivity in upland cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.)[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2023, 22(1): 108-119.
[5] LI Teng, ZHANG Xue-peng, LIU Qing, LIU Jin, CHEN Yuan-quan, SUI Peng. Yield penalty of maize (Zea mays L.) under heat stress in different growth stages: A review[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(9): 2465-2476.
[6] GAO Zhi-ping, XU Min-li, ZHANG Hai-zi, LÜ Chuan-gen, CHEN Guo-xiang. Photosynthetic properties of the mid-vein and leaf lamina of field-grown, high-yield hybrid rice during senescence[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(7): 1913-1926.
[7] TIAN Chang, SUN Ming-xue, ZHOU Xuan, LI Juan, XIE Gui-xian, YANG Xiang-dong, PENG Jian-wei. Increase in yield and nitrogen use efficiency of double rice with long-term application of controlled-release urea[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(7): 2106-2118.
[8] ZHOU Tian-yang, LI Zhi-kang, LI En-peng, WANG Wei-lu, YUAN Li-min, ZHANG Hao, LIU Li-jun, WANG Zhi-qin, GU Jun-fei, YANG Jian-chang. Optimization of nitrogen fertilization improves rice quality by affecting the structure and physicochemical properties of starch at high yield levels[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(6): 1576-1592.
[9] Christian Adler PHARES, Selorm AKABA. Co-application of compost or inorganic NPK fertilizer with biochar influenced soil quality, grain yield and net income of rice[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(12): 3600-3610.
[10] Muhammad Amjad BASHIR, ZHAI Li-mei, WANG Hong-yuan, LIU Jian, Qurat-Ul-Ain RAZA, GENG Yu-cong, Abdur REHIM, LIU Hong-bin. Apparent variations in nitrogen runoff and its uptake in paddy rice under straw incorporation[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(11): 3356-3367.
[11] Ebrahim ROOHI, Reza MOHAMMADI, Abdoul Aziz NIANE, Javad VAFABAKHSH, Mozaffar ROUSTAEE, Mohammad Reza JALAL KAMALI, Shahriar SOHRABI, Shahriar FATEHI, Hossain TARIMORADI. Genotype×tillage interaction and the performance of winter bread wheat genotypes in temperate and cold dryland conditions[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(11): 3199-3215.
[12] XIE Jun, Blagodatskaya EVGENIA, ZHANG Yu, WAN Yu, HU Qi-juan, ZHANG Cheng-ming, WANG Jie, ZHANG Yue-qiang, SHI Xiao-jun. Substituting nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer with optimal amount of crop straw improved rice grain yield, nutrient use efficiency and soil carbon sequestration[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(11): 3345-3355.
[13] HUANG Li-ying, Li Xiao-xiao, ZHANG Yun-bo, Shah FAHAD, WANG Fei. dep1 improves rice grain yield and nitrogen use efficiency simultaneously by enhancing nitrogen and dry matter translocation[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(11): 3185-3198.
[14] CHEN Zhong-du, LI Feng-bo, XU Chun-chun, JI Long, FENG Jin-fei, FANG Fu-ping. Spatial and temporal changes of paddy rice ecosystem services in China during the period 1980–2014[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2022, 21(10): 3082-3093.
[15] LIU Xue-jing, YIN Bao-zhong, HU Zhao-hui, BAO Xiao-yuan, WANG Yan-dong, ZHEN Wen-chao. Physiological response of flag leaf and yield formation of winter wheat under different spring restrictive irrigation regimes in the Haihe Plain, China[J]. >Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2021, 20(9): 2343-2359.
No Suggested Reading articles found!