Please wait a minute...
Journal of Integrative Agriculture  2018, Vol. 17 Issue (2): 461-472    DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(17)61741-6
Agricultural Economics and Management Advanced Online Publication | Current Issue | Archive | Adv Search |
Designing price-contingent vegetable rotation schedules using agent-based simulation
LI Jing1, Daniel Rodriguez2, WANG Hao-xiang1, WU Liu-san1
1 Faculty of Engineering, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210031, P.R.China
2 Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), University of Queensland, Toowoomba 4350, Australia
Download:  PDF in ScienceDirect  
Export:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
Abstract  Chinese vegetable production cooperatives supply their members, mostly smallholder farmers, with a rotation schedule for the year.  Since vegetable prices are not stable throughout the year, designing a rotation schedule that maximizes expected profits, distributes farmers’ profits more equitably, maintains the diversity of produce in the market, and reduces the risk of pests and diseases, requires adaptive, price-contingent rotation schedules (here, called “self-adaptive adjustment”).  This study uses an agent-based simulation (ABS) to design self-adaptive rotation schedules that deliver these aims.  The self-adaptive adjustment strategy was more profitable for farmers when faced with price volatility, and more equitable as well.  This work provides a decision-support tool for managers of Chinese vegetable production cooperatives to provide farmers with more profitable and equitable rotation schedules.   
Keywords:  operation research in agriculture        self-adaptive algorithm        cooperatives       market fluctuation  
Received: 07 February 2017   Accepted:
Fund: 

This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC, 71301077).

Corresponding Authors:  Correspondence LI Jing, Tel: +86-25-58606710, Fax: +86-25-58606573, E-mail: phdlijing@njau.edu.cn   

Cite this article: 

LI Jing, Daniel Rodriguez, WANG Hao-xiang, WU Liu-san . 2018. Designing price-contingent vegetable rotation schedules using agent-based simulation. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 17(2): 461-472.

Ahumada O, Villalobos J R, Mason A N. 2012. Tactical planning of the production and distribution of fresh agricultural products under uncertainty. Agricultural Systems, 112, 17–26.

Alfandari L, Plateau A, Schepler X. 2015. A branch-and-price-and-cut approach for sustainable crop rotation planning. European Journal of Operational Research, 241, 872–879.

Ashworth A J, Allen F L, Saxton A M, Tyler D D. 2016. Long-term corn yield impacted by cropping rotations and bio-covers under no-tillage. Agronomy Journal, 108, 1495–1502.

Bachinger J, Zander P R. 2007. A tool for generating and evaluating crop rotations for organic farming systems. European Journal of Agronomy, 26, 130–143.

Bell A R, Robinson D T, Malik A, Dewal S. 2015. Modular ABM development for improved dissemination and training. Environmental Modelling and Software, 73, 189–200.

Berger T, Troost C. 2014. Agent-based modelling of climate adaptation and mitigation options in agriculture. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65, 323–348.

Bochtis D D, Sørensen C G, Green O A. 2012. DSS for planning of soil-sensitive field operations. Decision Support Systems, 53, 66–75.

Boyer C N, Brorsen B W, Fain J R. 2015. Private-value auction versus posted-price selling: An agent-based model approach. Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, 22, 249–262.

Buchmann C M, Grossmann K, Schwarz N. 2016. How agent heterogeneity model structure and input data determine the performance of an empirical ABM - A real-world case study on residential mobility. Environmental Modelling and Software, 75, 77–93. 

Burt O R, Allison J R. 1963. Farm management decisions with dynamic programming. Journal of Farm Economics, 45, 121–136.

Dias T, Dukes A, Antunes P M. 2015. Accounting for soil biotic effects on soil health and crop productivity in the design of crop rotations. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 95, 447–454.

Ghimire R, Lamichhane S, Acharya B S, Bista P, Sainju U M. 2017. Tillage, crop residue, and nutrient management effects on soil organic carbon in rice-based cropping systems: A review. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 16, 1–15.

Gibon A, Sheeren D, Monteil C, Ladet S, Balent G. 2010. Modelling and simulating change in reforesting mountain landscapes using a social-ecological framework. Landscape Ecology, 25, 267–285.

Hamm L, Brorsen B W, Hagan M T. 2007. Comparison of stochastic global optimization methods to estimate neural network weights. Neural Processing Letters, 26, 145–158.

He C, Guo X, Wang W, Wu J. 2007. Study on the optimum N rates under spring cabbage-maize-winter cabbage rotation system. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 6, 1322–1329.

Isern D, Abelló S. Moreno A. 2012. Development of a multi-agent system simulation platform for irrigation scheduling with case studies for garden irrigation. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 87, 1–13.

Jackson M. 2005. A Survey of Network Formation Models, Stability and Efficiency. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.

Jensen R. 2007. The digital provide information (technology), market performance, and welfare in the south Indian fisheries sector. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122, 879–924.

Li J, An Q, Wang J. 2015a. Dynamic analysis of cost and efficiency for Chinese vegetable, based on the data from 2011 to 2014. Price Theory and Practice, 4, 65–67. (in Chinese)

Li J, Ding C, Liu W. 2014. Adaptive learning algorithm of self-organizing teams. Expert Systems with Applications, 41, 2630–2637.

Li J, Rodriguez D, Tang X. 2017. Effects of land lease policy on changes in land use, mechanization and agricultural pollution. Land Use Policy, 64, 405–413.

Li J, Rodriguez D, Zhang D, Ma K. 2015b. Crop rotation model for contract farming with constraints on similar profits. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 119, 12–18.

Liang Q, Hendrikse G, Huang Z, Xu X. 2015. Governance structure of chinese farmer cooperatives evidence from Zhejiang Province. Agribusiness, 31, 198–214.

Ma Y, Meng C. 2008. The dual-agency relations in farmer cooperatives in China - The problem and improvement ideas. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 5, 55–60. (in Chinese)

Mackrell D, Kerr D, Hellens L V. 2009. A qualitative case study of the adoption and use of an agricultural decision support system in the Australian cotton industry, the socio-technical view. Decision Support Systems, 47, 143–153.

Mao L, Zhang L, Zhang S, Evers J B, van der Werf W, Wang J, Spiertz H. 2015. Resource use efficiency, ecological intensification and sustainability of intercropping systems. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 14, 1542–1550.

MOA (Ministry of Agriculture of China). 2007. Yield of vegetables in 2005. China Vegetables, 1, 40–41. (in Chinese)

Münch T, Mirschel B W, Nendel W C. 2014. Considering cost accountancy items in crop production simulations under climate change. European Journal of Agronomy, 52, 57–68.

Murray-Rust D, Dendoncker N, Dawson T P, Acostamichlik L, Karali E. 2011. Conceptualising the analysis of socio-ecological systems through ecosystem services and agent based modelling. Journal of Land Use Science, 6, 83–99.

Nidumolu U B, van Keulen H, Lubbers M, Mapfumo A. 2007. Combining multiple goal linear programming and inter-stakeholder communication matrix to generate land use planning options. Environmental Modelling Software, 22, 73–83.

Osaki M, Batalha M O. 2014. Optimization model of agricultural production system in grain farms under risk, in Sorriso Brazil. Agricultural System, 127, 178–188.

Palsule-Desai O D. 2015. Cooperatives for fruits and vegetables in emerging countries rationalization and impact of decentralization. Transportation Research (Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review), 81, 114–140.

Radulescu M, Radulescu C Z, Zbaganu G. 2014. A portfolio theory approach to crop planning under environmental constraints. Annals of Operations Research, 219, 243–264.

Reddy M, Kumar D N. 2008. Evolving strategies for crop planning and operation of irrigation reservoir system using multi-objective differential evolution. Irrigation Science, 26, 177–190.

Rodriguez D, Cox H, deVoil P, Power B. 2014. A whole farm modelling approach to understand impacts and increase preparedness to climate change in Australia. Agricultural Systems, 126, 50–61.

Rodriguez D, deVoil P, Power B, Crimp S, Meinke H. 2011. The intrinsic plasticity of farm businesses and their resilience to change. Field Crops Research, 124, 157–170.

Saha A. 1994a. A two-season agricultural household model of output and price uncertainty. Development Economics, 45, 245–296.

Saha A. 1994b. Compensated optimal response under uncertainty in agricultural household models. Agricultural Economics, 11, 111–123.

Sandes E F D O, Ralha C G, Melo A C M A D. 2014. An agent-based solution for dynamic multi-node wavefront balancing in biological sequence comparison. Expert Systems with Applications, 41, 4929–4938.

Santos L M R, Munari P, Costa A M. 2015. A branch-price-and-cut method for the vegetable crop rotation scheduling problem with minimal plot sizes. European Journal of Operational Research, 245, 581–590.

Serrano E, Iglesias C A. 2015. Validating viral marketing strategies in twitter via agent-based social simulation. Expert Systems with Applications, 50, 140–150.

Sindelar A J, Schmer M R, Jin V L, Wienhold B J, Varvel G E. 2016. Crop rotation affects corn, grain sorghum, and soybean yields and nitrogen recovery. Agronomy Journal, 108, 1592–1602.

Stanger T F, Lauer J G. 2008. Corn grain yield response to crop rotation and nitrogen over 35 years. Agronomy Journal, 100, 643–650.

Tang C S, Wang Y, Zhao M. 2005. The implications of utilizing market information and adopting agricultural advice for farmers in developing economies. Production and Operations Management, 24, 1197–1215.

Tang Q, Ren T, Wilko S, Liu H, Lei B, Lin T, Zhang G. 2012. Study on environmental risk and economic benefits of rotation systems in farmland of Erhai Lake Basin. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 11, 1038–1047.

Tayyebi A, Meehan T D, Dischler J, Radloff G, Ferris M, Gratton C, Smartscape T M. 2016. A web-based decision support system for assessing the tradeoffs among multiple ecosystem services under crop-change scenarios. Computers Electronics in Agriculture, 121, 916–924.

Troost C, Walter T, Berger T. 2015. Climate, energy and environmental policies in agriculture simulating likely farmer responses in Southwest Germany. Land Use Policy, 46, 50–64.

Wagner N, Agrawal V. 2014. An agent-based simulation system for concert venue crowd evacuation modeling in the presence of a fire disaster. Expert Systems with Applications, 41, 2807–2815.

Van der Wal M M, de Kraker J, Kroeze C, Kirschner P A, Valkering P. 2016. Can computer models be used for social learning? A serious game in water management. Environmental Modelling and Software, 75,119–132.

Wu W. 2015. Analysis on cost, benefit and influence factors of vegetable production in China. Journal of Changjiang Vegetable, 12, 53–56. (in Chinese)

Xinjingbao. 2015. Bigger prices increase of Beijing

vegetables. [2015-08-02]. http://finance.sina.com.cn/consume/20150731/023022838440.shtml  (in Chinese)

Xiong J, Zheng Y. 2008. Analysis on agency cost in famer cooperatives controlled by minority members in China. Agricultural Economy, 11, 76–78.

Xu X. 2005. Institutional Analysis on Farmer Specialized Cooperatives in China. The Publishing House of Economic Science, Beijing, China. (in Chinese)

Yimutian. 2015. Fluctuation of cucumber prices in 2015.[2015-08-02]. http://hangqing.ymt.com/chandi_7799_0_0  (in Chinese)

Yin Y, Liang C, Pei Z. 2015. Effect of greenhouse soil management on soil aggregation and organic matter in northeast China. Catena, 133, 412–419.
No related articles found!
No Suggested Reading articles found!